Result
2:1
21/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 81', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 86', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Laredo 64.3% | Draw 21.3% | Castro 14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Laredo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)The chances for Castro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laredo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro than the current prediction. (-1%)
Laredo - Castro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.41 (1.41) |
4.25 ↑ (4.22) |
6.24 (6.24) |
10.7% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 10).
- Laredo is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Castro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Castro has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Laredo is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Laredo will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Laredo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Laredo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Laredo won against Castro?
Laredo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castro won against Laredo?
Castro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Laredo - Castro were as follows:
09.11.2025
Castro
-
Laredo
0:0
07.04.2024
Castro
-
Laredo
0:0
18.11.2023
Laredo
-
Castro
0:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 65:10 | 55 | 66 |
| 2 | Laredo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 49:20 | 29 | 56 |
| 3 | Tropezon | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:23 | 17 | 51 |
| 4 | Vimenor | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 38:24 | 14 | 51 |
| 5 | Atletico Albericia | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 49:30 | 19 | 49 |
| 6 | Escobedo | 27 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 49:34 | 15 | 49 |
| 7 | Guarnizo | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 49 |
| 8 | Cayon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 47 |
| 9 | Torina | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 45 |
| 10 | Bezana | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:31 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Castro | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 38:37 | 1 | 34 |
| 12 | CD Barquereno | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31:46 | -15 | 28 |
| 13 | UC Cartes | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22:40 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 | Revilla | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:55 | -25 | 23 |
| 15 | CD Colindres | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 18:37 | -19 | 18 |
| 16 | Selaya | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17:35 | -18 | 18 |
| 17 | Montanas | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:73 | -46 | 18 |
| 18 | Noja | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 16:47 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation