Larne vs Shamrock Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
24/10/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 17
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, Premier Sports 1 ROI, TNT Sports 4
usaUsaParamount+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.62
Ball Possession
43%57%
Goal Attempts
912
Shots on Goal
36
Shots off Goal
32
Blocked Shots
34
Free Kicks
1316
Corner Kicks
28
Offsides
00
Throw-ins
1321
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Fouls
1613
Yellow Cards
21
Total Passes
374499
Completed Passes
305431
Crosses Completed
46
Interceptions
710

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Burns D. ,
  • 24', 0 - 2, Kenny J. , Burke G. (A),
  • 27', Graham S. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 3, Cosgrove T. (Own goal), Burke G. (A),
  • 37', Cosgrove T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 3, Gallagher C. , Thomson J. (A),
  • 54', 1 - 4, Burke G. ,
  • 60', Thomson J. , McEneff J. ,
  • 60', Mandroiu D. , Nugent D. ,
  • 66', Burke G. , Noonan C. ,
  • 73', McEneff A. , Byrne J. ,
  • 73', Poom M. , Watts D. ,
  • 73', Burns D. , Clarke T. ,
  • 73', Sloan D. , Randall M. ,
  • 73', Magee B. , Lusty M. ,
  • 90+3', Lopes R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Cosgrove T. , Want S. ,

Chances of winning


Larne
25.8%
Draw
31.8%
Shamrock Rovers
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.1% 27.4% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 29.2% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Larne's form might have worsened.
  • Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Larne - Shamrock Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.63
    (3)
    2.97
    (3.4)
    2.23
    (2.25)
    6.1%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Larne - Shamrock Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Larne will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Shamrock will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shamrock: 23.2%66.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Windsor Park.
    • Recent matches Larne is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Shamrock is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Shamrock have a series of home games.
    • Shamrock will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Larne: McKendry C. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Shamrock: Farrugia N. (Red Card) Gaffney R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Larne: Marsh G. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shamrock: Greene A. (Injury) Hoare S. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Larne
    19.10.2024 Larne - Crusaders 1:1
    06.10.2024 Larne - Dungannon Swifts 0:3
    03.10.2024 Molde - Larne 3:0
    27.09.2024 Cliftonville - Larne 1:3
    24.09.2024 Larne - Loughgall 2:0
    Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2