Larne vs Shamrock Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Larne - Shamrock Rovers
Result
1:4
24/10/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 17
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, Premier Sports 1 ROI, TNT Sports 4
usaUsaParamount+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.62
Ball Possession
43%57%
Goal Attempts
912
Shots on Goal
36
Shots off Goal
32
Blocked Shots
34
Free Kicks
1316
Corner Kicks
28
Offsides
00
Throw-ins
1321
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Fouls
1613
Yellow Cards
21
Total Passes
374499
Completed Passes
305431
Crosses Completed
46
Interceptions
710

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Burns D. ,
  • 24', 0 - 2, Kenny J. , Burke G. (A),
  • 27', Graham S. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 3, Cosgrove T. (Own goal), Burke G. (A),
  • 37', Cosgrove T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 3, Gallagher C. , Thomson J. (A),
  • 54', 1 - 4, Burke G. ,
  • 60', Thomson J. , McEneff J. ,
  • 60', Mandroiu D. , Nugent D. ,
  • 66', Burke G. , Noonan C. ,
  • 73', McEneff A. , Byrne J. ,
  • 73', Poom M. , Watts D. ,
  • 73', Burns D. , Clarke T. ,
  • 73', Sloan D. , Randall M. ,
  • 73', Magee B. , Lusty M. ,
  • 90+3', Lopes R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Cosgrove T. , Want S. ,

Chances of winning


Larne
25.8%
Draw
31.8%
Shamrock Rovers
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.1% 27.4% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 29.2% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Larne's form might have worsened.
  • Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Larne - Shamrock Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.63
    (3)
    2.97
    (3.4)
    2.23
    (2.25)
    6.1%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Larne - Shamrock Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Larne will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Shamrock will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shamrock: 23.2%66.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Windsor Park.
    • Recent matches Larne is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Shamrock is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Shamrock have a series of home games.
    • Shamrock will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Larne: McKendry C. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Shamrock: Farrugia N. (Red Card) Gaffney R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Larne: Marsh G. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shamrock: Greene A. (Injury) Hoare S. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Larne
    19.10.2024 Larne - Crusaders 1:1
    06.10.2024 Larne - Dungannon Swifts 0:3
    03.10.2024 Molde - Larne 3:0
    27.09.2024 Cliftonville - Larne 1:3
    24.09.2024 Larne - Loughgall 2:0
    Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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