Result
0:1
27/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 7
- Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Dsports 9 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 9 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, DSports 9 |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2 |
 Thailand | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
 Usa | ESPN App |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (506/570) | 79% (274/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (506/570) | 79% (274/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (24/43) | 33% (18/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (113/143) | 57% (38/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 50% (2/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', Gui Guedes 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Arribas S. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
- 45', Embarba A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gui Guedes ↓, Baba I. ↑,
- 46', Monte N. 🟨,
- 58', Lukovic M. 🟥,
- 66', Embarba A. 🟨,
- 68', Loiodice E. ↓, Gil I. ↑,
- 69', Arribas S. ↓, Clua S. ↑,
- 69', Dzodic S. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
- 70', Soko P. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
- 74', Marvin 🟨,
- 78', Viera J. ↓, Jese ↑,
- 83', Amatucci L. ↓, Viti ↑,
- 84', Gutierrez C. ↓, Cedeno E. ↑,
- 84', Fuster M. ↓, Pejino ↑,
- 89', Melamed N. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
- 90+5', Viti 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ye5k8cum
Chances of winning
Las Palmas
23.4% | Draw
35.9% | Almería
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Las Palmas's form might have worsened.Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almería's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+20%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Palmas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-12.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almería, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Las Palmas - Almería Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.02 ↑
(2.16) |
3.45 ↑
(3.33) |
2.91 ↓
(3.48) |
-20%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Almería?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Almería will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 1.
- Las Palmas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Almería's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Las Palmas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Las Palmas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Las Palmas: Ramirez S.
(Knee Injury)
Viti
(Health problems)
- There will not play in Almería: Chumi
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Almería: Lopy D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Las Palmas won against Almería?
Las Palmas has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Las Palmas?
Almería has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Almería were as follows:
17.03.2024
Las Palmas
-
Almería
0:1
28.10.2023
Almería
-
Las Palmas
1:2
23.07.2023
Las Palmas
-
Almería
0:0
Latest results of Las Palmas
Latest results of Almería
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. La Coruna | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Cadiz CF | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Andorra | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Racing Santander | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Huesca | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | Burgos CF | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Almeria | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Eibar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Valladolid | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Las Palmas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 11 | Ceuta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 11 |
| 12 | Leganes | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Gijon | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Castellon | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Malaga | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 16 | Albacete | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Mirandes | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Cultural Leonesa | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 21 | Cordoba | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
| 22 | Real Sociedad B | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
