Burgos vs Las Palmas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Burgos - Las Palmas
Result
0:0
07/09/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.421.32
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
615
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
75% (250/332)87% (460/527)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.421.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.241.04
Total shots
615
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1717
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
75% (250/332)87% (460/527)
Long passes
41% (32/79)53% (26/49)
Passes in final third
54% (53/98)76% (99/130)
Crosses
42% (5/12)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.61
Throw-ins
2414
Fouls
1613
Tackles
56% (10/18)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4648
Clearances
2330
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
1.040.24
Goals prevented
1.040.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Loiodice E. 🟨,
  • 56', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 🟨,
  • 57', Cardona M. , Viera J. ,
  • 61', Lukovic M. 🟨,
  • 69', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. , Appin K. ,
  • 71', Fuster M. , Gil I. ,
  • 78', Morante I. 🟨,
  • 78', Chapela I. , Martinez B. ,
  • 78', Lizancos A. , Mollejo V. ,
  • 84', Gonzalez I. , Recoba J. ,
  • 84', Lukovic M. , Jese ,
  • 89', Curro , Mejia M. ,
  • 89', Morante I. , Gonzalez S. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mrxwea6t

Chances of winning


Burgos
41.1%
Draw
30.9%
Las Palmas
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 30% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 28.9% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burgos's performance.
  • Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Las Palmas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Las Palmas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Burgos - Las Palmas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.5)
    3.02
    (2.95)
    3.3
    (2.56)
    6.9%
    (13%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Burgos - Las Palmas?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4%82.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Las Palmas: Gil I. (Injury) Ramirez S. (Injury) Rodriguez K. (Health problems)
    • There are questionable in Burgos: Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1:0).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Las Palmas were as follows:
    06.02.2023 Burgos - Las Palmas 0:0
    01.11.2022 Las Palmas - Burgos 0:2
    Latest results of Burgos
    31.08.2025 FC Andorra - Burgos 2:1
    15.08.2025 Burgos - Leonesa 5:1
    09.08.2025 Burgos - Valladolid 2:2
    02.08.2025 Burgos - Eibar 1:0
    Latest results of Las Palmas
    31.08.2025 Las Palmas - Málaga 0:1
    25.08.2025 Córdoba - Las Palmas 1:3
    17.08.2025 Las Palmas - FC Andorra 1:1
    02.08.2025 Tenerife - Las Palmas 1:1
    24.07.2025 Cádiz - Las Palmas 2:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. La Coruna844017:61116
    2Racing Santander851221:14716
    3Cadiz CF84319:6315
    4Andorra842213:10314
    5Las Palmas84228:5314
    6Huesca84138:10-213
    7Burgos CF833213:9412
    8Valladolid83329:6312
    9Almeria833214:14012
    10Eibar832310:7311
    11Castellon832313:12111
    12Ceuta83238:12-411
    13Leganes82428:7110
    14Gijon830511:14-39
    15Cordoba82339:12-39
    16Albacete722314:16-28
    17Mirandes82249:12-38
    18Granada CF822411:15-48
    19Malaga82246:10-48
    20Cultural Leonesa72147:12-57
    21Zaragoza81344:8-46
    22Real Sociedad B813411:16-56

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