Las Palmas vs Burgos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/02/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas).

LaLiga2 - Round 25
Referee: Sanchez R. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Bolivia	DAZN
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Uruguay	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.91	0.20
Ball possession
66%	34%
Total shots
16	5
Shots on target
6	1
Big chances
4	0
Corner kicks
8	2
Passes
87% (496/571)	77% (229/298)
Yellow cards
5	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.91	0.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.65	0.11
Total shots
16	5
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked shots
6	2
Shots inside the box
11	3
Shots outside the box
5	2
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
4	0
Corner kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
37	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
12	13
Passes
87% (496/571)	77% (229/298)
Long passes
27% (6/22)	49% (26/53)
Passes in final third
77% (142/184)	69% (61/89)
Crosses
30% (8/27)	33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.25	0.49
Throw ins
25	17
Fouls
13	12
Tackles
64% (7/11)	44% (8/18)
Duels won
41	47
Clearances
13	43
Interceptions
7	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.11	1.65
Goals prevented
0.11	1.65

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Jese 🟨,
39', Atienza M. 🟨,
45', Cordoba I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Amatucci L. 🟨,
62', Marvin 🟨,
63', Jese ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
63', Amatucci L. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
68', Pejino ↓, Pedrola E. ↑,
80', Sergio Barcia 🟨,
81', Nino F. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
81', Morante I. ↓, Exposito M. ↑,
81', Garcia A. ↓, Benedetti N. ↑,
81', Fuster M. ↓, Miyashiro T. ↑,
88', Lizancos A. 🟨,
89', Martinez B. ↓, del Cerro S. ↑,
90', Curro ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
90', Cordoba I. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
90+4', Pedrola E. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/nhzhh5hz

Chances of winning

Las Palmas
50%

Draw
30.2%

Burgos
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

27.9%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

30.2%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Palmas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Las Palmas - Burgos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.82)	3.12 ↓ (3.35)	4.76 ↑ (4.55)	6% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Burgos?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Burgos will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 15.4% – 84.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Las Palmas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Burgos has had a series of home games.
In this match, Las Palmas is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Las Palmas: Ramirez S. (Knee Injury) Recoba J. (Knee Injury) Viera J. (Personal Reasons) Viti (Injury)
There will not play in Burgos: Miguel F. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Las Palmas: Benedetti N. (Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Las Palmas won against Burgos?

Las Palmas has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Las Palmas?

Burgos has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Burgos were as follows:

07.09.2025 Burgos - Las Palmas 0:0

06.02.2023 Burgos - Las Palmas 0:0

01.11.2022 Las Palmas - Burgos 0:2

Latest results of Las Palmas

30.01.2026 Real Sociedad B - Las Palmas 1:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Las Palmas - Córdoba 1:2 ✺

18.01.2026 Racing Santander - Las Palmas 4:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Las Palmas - Deportivo La Coruña 1:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Zaragoza - Las Palmas 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Burgos

31.01.2026 Burgos - Leganés 2:1 ✺

23.01.2026 Málaga - Burgos 3:0 ✺

18.01.2026 Burgos - Huesca 1:0 ✺

15.01.2026 Burgos - Valencia 0:2 ✺

10.01.2026 Burgos - Eibar 1:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	28	16	5	7	56:36	20	53
2	Castellon	28	14	7	7	46:29	17	49
3	Almeria	28	14	7	7	53:40	13	49
4	Dep. La Coruna	28	14	7	7	44:31	13	49
5	Malaga	28	14	5	9	41:31	10	47
6	Las Palmas	28	11	12	5	34:22	12	45
7	Ceuta	28	13	5	10	36:39	-3	44
8	Burgos CF	28	12	7	9	30:26	4	43
9	Gijon	28	12	6	10	38:36	2	42
10	Cordoba	28	11	8	9	38:37	1	41
11	Eibar	28	10	8	10	31:30	1	38
12	Andorra	28	9	8	11	35:40	-5	35
13	Albacete	28	9	8	11	33:39	-6	35
14	Cadiz CF	28	9	8	11	29:35	-6	35
15	Leganes	28	8	10	10	29:28	1	34
16	Real Sociedad B	28	9	7	12	38:39	-1	34
17	Granada CF	28	7	11	10	32:33	-1	32
18	Valladolid	28	8	8	12	29:38	-9	32
19	Huesca	28	8	6	14	26:37	-11	30
20	Cultural Leonesa	28	7	6	15	27:44	-17	27
21	Mirandes	28	6	6	16	28:45	-17	24
22	Zaragoza	28	5	9	14	23:41	-18	24

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation