Zaragoza vs Las Palmas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 20
  • Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3, TV Canaria
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 9
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.84
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
72% (282/394)80% (362/451)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.84
xG on target (xGOT)
1.050.63
Total shots
812
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1725
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
1820
Passes
72% (282/394)80% (362/451)
Long passes
32% (22/69)42% (26/62)
Passes in final third
41% (42/103)71% (82/115)
Crosses
18% (2/11)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.63
Throw-ins
2120
Fouls
2018
Tackles
76% (16/21)70% (16/23)
Duels won
5357
Clearances
627
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.631.05
Goals prevented
-1.370.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Jese , Fuster M. (A),
  • 39', Tachi 🟨,
  • 41', Viera J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Kodro K. ,
  • 61', Pejino , Pedrola E. ,
  • 61', Jese , Lukovic M. ,
  • 66', Sebastian J. , Cuenca M. A. ,
  • 66', Soberon M. , Moya T. ,
  • 69', Radovanovic A. , Saidu Y. ,
  • 72', Viera J. , Garcia A. ,
  • 81', Clemente E. 🟨,
  • 86', Kodro K. , Bakis S. ,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Pedrola E. , Loiodice E. (A),
  • 89', Fuster M. , Gil I. ,
  • 89', Clemente E. , Gutierrez C. ,
  • 90+2', Moya T. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Tasende D. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mr3byzvc

Chances of winning


Zaragoza
32.3%
Draw
32.4%
Las Palmas
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.8% 32.2% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 32.7% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Zaragoza - Las Palmas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (3.17)
    2.88
    (2.93)
    2.63
    (2.49)
    7%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Zaragoza - Las Palmas?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 21.4%67.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Zaragoza (votes: 1 - 25%). Las Palmas (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Zaragoza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Zaragoza: Aguirregabiria M. (Injury) Bazdar S. (Inactive) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Insua P. (Yellow Cards) Kosa S. (Injury) Radovanovic A. (Inactive) Sans P. (Inactive) de la Fuente P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Las Palmas: Garcia A. (Hamstring Injury) Ramirez S. (Knee Injury) Recoba J. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez K. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zaragoza won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).
    Latest results of Zaragoza
    21.12.2025 Burgos - Zaragoza 1:1
    13.12.2025 Zaragoza - Cádiz 1:2
    08.12.2025 Málaga - Zaragoza 1:1
    04.12.2025 Zaragoza - Burgos 0:1
    30.11.2025 Zaragoza - Leganés 3:2
    Latest results of Las Palmas
    20.12.2025 Las Palmas - Leonesa 4:0
    14.12.2025 Ceuta - Las Palmas 1:1
    08.12.2025 Las Palmas - Mirandés 0:0
    30.11.2025 Castellón - Las Palmas 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander382261079:572272
    2Almeria382171078:582070
    3Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    4Las Palmas381812851:321966
    5Castellon3818101065:481764
    6Malaga381891166:491763
    7Burgos CF3817111044:331162
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Ceuta381591446:58-1254
    12Gijon381571651:49252
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3811101741:50-943
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B381191846:54-842
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Huesca38992039:59-2036
    20Mirandes38992042:64-2236
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation