Las Palmas vs Eibar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
19/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.51
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
77% (253/330)84% (410/491)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.51
xG on target (xGOT)
3.320.99
Total shots
119
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
04
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
1617
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1716
Passes
77% (253/330)84% (410/491)
Long passes
44% (17/39)61% (41/67)
Passes in final third
55% (33/60)66% (70/106)
Crosses
20% (2/10)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.421.15
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
1617
Tackles
54% (7/13)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4268
Clearances
3016
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.993.32
Goals prevented
-0.010.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 42', 1 - 0, Garcia A. , Amatucci L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 60', Arbilla A. 🟨,
  • 62', Gil I. , Fuster M. ,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Lukovic M. , Marvin (A),
  • 71', Guruzeta J. , Ares A. ,
  • 71', Magunazelaia Argoitia J. , Javier Marton ,
  • 71', Nolaskoain P. , Garrido A. ,
  • 76', Corpas J. , Alkain X. ,
  • 79', Garcia A. , Rodriguez K. ,
  • 79', Lukovic M. , Cardona M. ,
  • 79', Arbilla A. , Martinez J. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Javier Marton , Alkain X. (A),
  • 86', Marvin 🟨,
  • 89', Loiodice E. , Gonzalez I. ,
  • 89', Marvin , Herzog J. ,
  • 90+1', Alex Suarez 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Clemente E. , Rodriguez K. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mpmpwarf

Chances of winning


Las Palmas
42.9%
Draw
31.7%
Eibar
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 31% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 31.1% 20.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Las Palmas's form might have worsened.
  • Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Palmas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Las Palmas - Eibar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.95)
    3
    (3.04)
    3.7
    (4.55)
    5.8%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Eibar?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Eibar will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 33.2%76.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 1.
    • Las Palmas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Eibar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Eibar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Las Palmas might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Las Palmas: Jese (Muscle Injury) Marmol M. (Muscle Injury) Ramirez S. (Knee Injury) Viera J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Eibar: Madariaga A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Las Palmas: Recoba J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Eibar: Cubero S. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Eibar were as follows:
    08.05.2023 Eibar - Las Palmas 0:1
    06.11.2022 Las Palmas - Eibar 1:1
    Latest results of Las Palmas
    10.10.2025 Granada - Las Palmas 0:0
    05.10.2025 Las Palmas - Cádiz 1:0
    27.09.2025 Las Palmas - Almería 0:1
    20.09.2025 Leganés - Las Palmas 0:1
    Latest results of Eibar
    12.10.2025 Eibar - Castellón 0:0
    03.10.2025 Ceuta - Eibar 1:0
    21.09.2025 Eibar - Real Sociedad B 2:1
    13.09.2025 Cádiz - Eibar 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander27155753:351850
    2Castellon27147645:261949
    3Almeria27146752:391348
    4Dep. La Coruna27137741:291246
    5Malaga27135940:31944
    6Las Palmas271012531:22942
    7Cordoba27118837:33441
    8Gijon271251038:36241
    9Ceuta271251035:39-441
    10Burgos CF27117929:26340
    11Eibar27981028:29-135
    12Cadiz CF27981028:32-435
    13Real Sociedad B27971136:36034
    14Albacete27971132:38-634
    15Leganes27891029:28133
    16Granada CF27711932:32032
    17Andorra27881131:39-832
    18Huesca27861326:36-1030
    19Valladolid27781228:38-1029
    20Cultural Leonesa27761427:41-1427
    21Mirandes27661528:44-1624
    22Zaragoza27591323:40-1724

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation