Result
0:3
01/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8 |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (414/505) | 83% (392/473) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (414/505) | 83% (392/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (30/57) | 33% (17/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (76/114) | 73% (74/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.31 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | 1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Marvin 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 48', 0 - 1, Marmol M. ⚽, Fuster M. (A),
- 52', Maestre S. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 2, Fuster M. ⚽, Jese (A),
- 61', Maestre S. ↓, Bicho ↑,
- 61', Ojeda T. ↓, Diallo Selu M. ↑,
- 62', Garcia V. ↓, Justo M. ↑,
- 64', Diallo Selu M. 🟨,
- 72', Fuster M. ↓, Viera J. ↑,
- 74', Bicho 🟨,
- 82', Clemente E. 🟨,
- 85', Moreno V. 🟨,
- 85', Sergio Barcia 🟨,
- 88', Jese ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
- 88', Moreno V. ↓, Sobrino R. ↑,
- 89', Clemente E. ↓, Herzog J. ↑,
- 90+1', 0 - 3, Ramirez S. ⚽,
- 90+2', Marvin ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
- 90+3', Amatucci L. ↓, Pedrola E. ↑,
- 90+4', Ribeiro L. 🟨,
- 90+7', Miyashiro T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Leonesa
30.9% | Draw
30.5% | Las Palmas
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Las Palmas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Las Palmas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Leonesa - Las Palmas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↓
(3.48) |
3.06 ↓
(3.32) |
2.44 ↑
(2.13) |
6.8%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Leonesa - Las Palmas?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Las Palmas (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 1 - 50%). Las Palmas (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7).
- Recent form of Leonesa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Las Palmas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Leonesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Las Palmas might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Las Palmas: Garcia A.
(Muscle Injury)
Recoba J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Las Palmas: Alex Suarez
(Back Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Leonesa won against Las Palmas?
Leonesa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Las Palmas won against Leonesa?
Las Palmas has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Las Palmas were as follows:
20.12.2025
Las Palmas
-
Leonesa
4:0
Latest results of Leonesa
Latest results of Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 62:40 | 22 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 46:34 | 12 | 52 |
| 3 | Almeria | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 56:42 | 14 | 52 |
| 4 | Malaga | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 49:37 | 12 | 51 |
| 5 | Castellon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 49:37 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 39:24 | 15 | 48 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 32:26 | 6 | 47 |
| 8 | Gijon | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 45 |
| 9 | Ceuta | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 37:45 | -8 | 44 |
| 10 | Eibar | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 42 |
| 11 | Cordoba | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 41:43 | -2 | 41 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad B | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 40 |
| 13 | Andorra | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 37:41 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | Albacete | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 | Cadiz CF | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31:36 | -5 | 38 |
| 16 | Granada CF | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
| 17 | Valladolid | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 35:43 | -8 | 36 |
| 18 | Leganes | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 31:32 | -1 | 34 |
| 19 | Huesca | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 30 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 28:49 | -21 | 27 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 28:49 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
