Result
4:3
12/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (255/348) | 79% (333/422) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (255/348) | 79% (333/422) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (26/62) | 48% (40/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (78/126) | 59% (64/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.45 | -1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 9', 1 - 0, Marcos Serrato ⚽,
- 16', 2 - 0, Webber J. ⚽, St.Clair H. (A),
- 32', 2 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Stojanovic S. (A),
- 39', Gartig E. 🟨,
- 45+2', 2 - 2, Smart S. ⚽, Nigro G. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 59', Howell M. ↓, Boudadi Y. ↑,
- 60', Goldthorp E. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
- 60', Stauffer L. ↓, Pierre D. ↑,
- 60', Webber J. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 3, Smart S. ⚽,
- 71', Stojanovic S. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
- 71', Leal P. ↓, O'Driscoll R. ↑,
- 75', Smart S. 🟨,
- 76', 3 - 3, Calheira T. ⚽, Marcos Serrato (A),
- 81', Noel V. ↓, Gannon C. ↑,
- 82', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
- 85', Pierre D. 🟨,
- 87', Pearson C. 🟨,
- 89', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 90+1', O'Driscoll R. 🟨,
- 90+2', 4 - 3, Gartig E. (Own goal),
- 90+5', Marcos Serrato ↓, Colli G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tulsa
54.3% | Draw
26% | Las Vegas Lights
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.83) |
3.56 ↑
(3.37) |
4.7 ↑
(4.11) |
8.2%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tulsa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Las Vegas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tulsa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Las Vegas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tulsa is the team to beat.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Las Vegas Lights?
Tulsa has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Las Vegas Lights won against Tulsa?
Las Vegas Lights has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights were as follows:
19.04.2025
Las Vegas Lights
-
Tulsa
1:4
11.09.2024
Tulsa
-
Las Vegas Lights
1:1
16.03.2024
Las Vegas Lights
-
Tulsa
1:3
13.05.2023
Las Vegas Lights
-
Tulsa
1:1
Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
