Result
4:3
12/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.21 | 1.10 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
73% (255/348) | 79% (333/422) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 6 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.21 | 1.10 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.97 | 1.55 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
27 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 6 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
73% (255/348) | 79% (333/422) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (26/62) | 48% (40/83) |
Passes in final third |
---|
62% (78/126) | 59% (64/109) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (6/21) | 17% (2/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.04 | 1.01 |
Throw-ins |
---|
13 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (9/16) | 79% (11/14) |
Duels won |
---|
55 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.55 | 1.97 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.45 | -1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 9', 1 - 0, Marcos Serrato ⚽,
- 16', 2 - 0, Webber J. ⚽, St.Clair H. (A),
- 32', 2 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Stojanovic S. (A),
- 39', Gartig E. 🟨,
- 45+2', 2 - 2, Smart S. ⚽, Nigro G. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 59', Howell M. ↓, Boudadi Y. ↑,
- 60', Goldthorp E. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
- 60', Stauffer L. ↓, Pierre D. ↑,
- 60', Webber J. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 3, Smart S. ⚽,
- 71', Stojanovic S. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
- 71', Leal P. ↓, O'Driscoll R. ↑,
- 75', Smart S. 🟨,
- 76', 3 - 3, Calheira T. ⚽, Marcos Serrato (A),
- 81', Noel V. ↓, Gannon C. ↑,
- 82', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
- 85', Pierre D. 🟨,
- 87', Pearson C. 🟨,
- 89', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 90+1', O'Driscoll R. 🟨,
- 90+2', 4 - 3, Gartig E. (Own goal),
- 90+5', Marcos Serrato ↓, Colli G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tulsa 54.3% | Draw 26% | Las Vegas Lights 19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.7 ↓ (1.83) |
3.56 ↑ (3.37) |
4.7 ↑ (4.11) |
8.2% (8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tulsa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Las Vegas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tulsa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Las Vegas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tulsa is the team to beat.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Las Vegas Lights?
Tulsa has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Las Vegas Lights won against Tulsa?
Las Vegas Lights has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights were as follows:
19.04.2025
Las Vegas Lights
-
Tulsa
1:4
11.09.2024
Tulsa
-
Las Vegas Lights
1:1
16.03.2024
Las Vegas Lights
-
Tulsa
1:3
13.05.2023
Las Vegas Lights
-
Tulsa
1:1
Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Louisville City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 38 |
3 | Loudoun | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 27 |
4 | North Carolina | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
5 | Pittsburgh | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
7 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
8 | Miami FC | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 18 |
9 | Birmingham | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | Rhode Island | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
11 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 14 |
12 | Hartford Athletic | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 29 |
2 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
3 | New Mexico | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22:17 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 24 |
5 | Phoenix Rising | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 23 |
6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
7 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
8 | Orange County SC | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 20 |
9 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Lexington | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Las Vegas Lights | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
12 | Colorado Springs | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )