Astana vs Lausanne-Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Astana - Lausanne-Sport
Result
0:2
14/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Matosa M. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
switzerlandSwitzerlandPlay RTS, Play RTS, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.222.85
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
1424
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
87% (424/488)77% (183/237)
Yellow Cards
51
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.222.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.032.61
Total shots
1424
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
67
Shots inside the Box
813
Shots outside the Box
611
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1927
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
918
Passes
87% (424/488)77% (183/237)
Long passes
68% (50/74)44% (17/39)
Passes in final third
68% (62/91)67% (76/113)
Crosses
28% (7/25)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.721.04
Throw-ins
2412
Fouls
189
Tackles
47% (9/19)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4549
Clearances
1133
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
2.611.03
Goals prevented
0.611.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Basic I. 🟨,
  • 41', Vorogovskiy Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', 0 - 1, Lekoueiry B. ,
  • 51', Ebong M. 🟨,
  • 66', 0 - 2, Diakite G. ,
  • 69', Sene M. K. , Butler-Oyedeji N. ,
  • 69', Lekoueiry B. , N'Diaye S. ,
  • 72', Camara O. , Camaj D. ,
  • 72', Tomasov M. , Zhaksylykov N. ,
  • 72', Gripshi N. , Beysebekov A. ,
  • 75', Beysebekov A. 🟨,
  • 77', Mouanga K. , Abdallah H. ,
  • 83', Geoffrey C. , Karimov R. ,
  • 83', Vorogovskiy Y. , Shomko D. ,
  • 86', Ebong M. 🟨,
  • 89', Diakite G. , Ajdini A. ,
  • 90+2', N'Diaye S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Astana
44.3%
Draw
25.3%
Lausanne-Sport
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 26% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 26.4% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Astana's performance.
  • Lausanne-Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Astana - Lausanne-Sport Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.33)
    3.7
    (3.5)
    3.03
    (2.6)
    7%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Astana - Lausanne-Sport?
  • Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Astana will win (votes: 37 - 72.5%). Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 4 - 7.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 19.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Astana: 60.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Astana (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Lausanne-Sport (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Astana (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • DC - Astana (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-3. 2nd leg.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Astana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Lausanne-Sport has had a series of home games.
    • Astana might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Astana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Astana - Lausanne-Sport were as follows:
    07.08.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Astana 3:1
    Latest results of Astana
    07.08.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Astana 3:1
    31.07.2025 Zimbru Chişinău - Astana 0:2
    24.07.2025 Astana - Zimbru Chişinău 1:1
    18.07.2025 Astana - Turan Turkistan 7:0
    13.07.2025 Ordabasy - Astana 1:0
    Latest results of Lausanne-Sport
    10.08.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Zürich 1:2
    07.08.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Astana 3:1
    03.08.2025 Thun - Lausanne-Sport 2:1
    31.07.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Vardar 5:0
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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