Astana vs Lausanne-Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Astana - Lausanne-Sport
Result
0:2
14/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Matosa M. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
switzerlandSwitzerlandPlay RTS, Play RTS, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.222.85
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
1424
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
87% (424/488)77% (183/237)
Yellow Cards
51
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.222.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.032.61
Total shots
1424
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
67
Shots inside the Box
813
Shots outside the Box
611
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1927
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
918
Passes
87% (424/488)77% (183/237)
Long passes
68% (50/74)44% (17/39)
Passes in final third
68% (62/91)67% (76/113)
Crosses
28% (7/25)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.721.04
Throw-ins
2412
Fouls
189
Tackles
47% (9/19)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4549
Clearances
1133
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
2.611.03
Goals prevented
0.611.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Basic I. 🟨,
  • 41', Vorogovskiy Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', 0 - 1, Lekoueiry B. ,
  • 51', Ebong M. 🟨,
  • 66', 0 - 2, Diakite G. ,
  • 69', Sene M. K. , Butler-Oyedeji N. ,
  • 69', Lekoueiry B. , N'Diaye S. ,
  • 72', Camara O. , Camaj D. ,
  • 72', Tomasov M. , Zhaksylykov N. ,
  • 72', Gripshi N. , Beysebekov A. ,
  • 75', Beysebekov A. 🟨,
  • 77', Mouanga K. , Abdallah H. ,
  • 83', Geoffrey C. , Karimov R. ,
  • 83', Vorogovskiy Y. , Shomko D. ,
  • 86', Ebong M. 🟨,
  • 89', Diakite G. , Ajdini A. ,
  • 90+2', N'Diaye S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Astana
44.3%
Draw
25.3%
Lausanne-Sport
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 26% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 26.4% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Astana's performance.
  • Lausanne-Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Astana - Lausanne-Sport Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.33)
    3.7
    (3.5)
    3.03
    (2.6)
    7%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Astana - Lausanne-Sport?
  • Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Astana will win (votes: 37 - 72.5%). Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 4 - 7.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 19.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Astana: 60.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Astana (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Lausanne-Sport (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Astana (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • DC - Astana (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-3. 2nd leg.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Astana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Lausanne-Sport has had a series of home games.
    • Astana might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Astana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Astana - Lausanne-Sport were as follows:
    07.08.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Astana 3:1
    Latest results of Astana
    07.08.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Astana 3:1
    31.07.2025 Zimbru Chişinău - Astana 0:2
    24.07.2025 Astana - Zimbru Chişinău 1:1
    18.07.2025 Astana - Turan Turkistan 7:0
    13.07.2025 Ordabasy - Astana 1:0
    Latest results of Lausanne-Sport
    10.08.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Zürich 1:2
    07.08.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Astana 3:1
    03.08.2025 Thun - Lausanne-Sport 2:1
    31.07.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Vardar 5:0
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

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