Result
0:2
14/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Matosa M. (Slo)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
 Switzerland | Play RTS, Play RTS, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (424/488) | 77% (183/237) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (424/488) | 77% (183/237) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (50/74) | 44% (17/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (62/91) | 67% (76/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.61 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Basic I. 🟨,
- 41', Vorogovskiy Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', 0 - 1, Lekoueiry B. ⚽,
- 51', Ebong M. 🟨,
- 66', 0 - 2, Diakite G. ⚽,
- 69', Sene M. K. ↓, Butler-Oyedeji N. ↑,
- 69', Lekoueiry B. ↓, N'Diaye S. ↑,
- 72', Camara O. ↓, Camaj D. ↑,
- 72', Tomasov M. ↓, Zhaksylykov N. ↑,
- 72', Gripshi N. ↓, Beysebekov A. ↑,
- 75', Beysebekov A. 🟨,
- 77', Mouanga K. ↓, Abdallah H. ↑,
- 83', Geoffrey C. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
- 83', Vorogovskiy Y. ↓, Shomko D. ↑,
- 86', Ebong M. 🟨,
- 89', Diakite G. ↓, Ajdini A. ↑,
- 90+2', N'Diaye S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Astana
44.3% | Draw
25.3% | Lausanne-Sport
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Astana's performance.Lausanne-Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Astana - Lausanne-Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.33) |
3.7 ↑
(3.5) |
3.03 ↑
(2.6) |
7%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Astana - Lausanne-Sport?
Users Predictions:
51 users predict this event. Astana will win (votes: 37 - 72.5%). Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 4 - 7.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 19.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Astana: 60.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Astana (votes: 19 - 67.9%). Lausanne-Sport (votes: 2 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 7 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Astana (1.52) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Astana (1.32) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 37 high ROI users predict this event. Astana (votes: 28 - 75.7%). Lausanne-Sport (votes: 2 - 5.4%). Tie (votes: 7 - 18.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-3. 2nd leg.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Astana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lausanne-Sport has had a series of home games.
- Astana might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Astana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Astana won against Lausanne-Sport?
Astana has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lausanne-Sport won against Astana?
Lausanne-Sport has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Astana - Lausanne-Sport were as follows:
07.08.2025
Lausanne-Sport
-
Astana
3:1
Latest results of Lausanne-Sport
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
