Laval vs Guingamp – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stade Francis Le Basser (Laval).

Ligue 2 - Round 26
Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.60	3.57
Ball possession
42%	58%
Total shots
19	17
Shots on target
11	7
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
6	7
Passes
79% (298/377)	84% (444/530)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.60	3.57
xG on target (xGOT)
2.07	2.52
Total shots
19	17
Shots on target
11	7
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked shots
6	6
Shots inside the box
13	12
Shots outside the box
6	5
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
6	7
Touches in opposition box
23	45
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free kicks
12	15
Passes
79% (298/377)	84% (444/530)
Long passes
39% (21/54)	59% (40/68)
Passes in final third
70% (71/101)	66% (79/119)
Crosses
13% (2/15)	35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.80	2.06
Throw ins
20	18
Fouls
15	12
Tackles
46% (6/13)	73% (8/11)
Duels won
46	44
Clearances
28	24
Interceptions
11	15
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	8
xGOT faced
2.52	2.07
Goals prevented
0.52	0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Sellouki M. ⚽, Commaret M. (A),
40', Dago T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Kielt S. ⚽, Sagna A. (A),
60', Ahile T. 🟨,
65', Dago T. ↓, Houdayer M. ↑,
67', Kielt S. ↓, Samoura A. ↑,
67', Hatchi J. ↓, Mbemba F. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Samoura A. ⚽,
74', Sagna A. ↓, Demoncy Y. ↑,
74', Ahile T. ↓, Matondo T. ↑,
82', Sanna S. ↓, Tchokounte M. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Sellouki M. ⚽, Houdayer M. (A),
86', Sissoko A. 🟨,
87', Thomas T. ↓, Mandouki C. ↑,
87', Mbayo D. ↓, Clavreul E. ↑,

Chances of winning

Laval
27.1%

Draw
29.7%

Guingamp
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

30.6%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

29.4%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guingamp, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Laval - Guingamp Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.01)	3.15 ↑ (3.03)	2.16 ↓ (2.39)	6.8% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Laval - Guingamp?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Guingamp will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 19% – 81%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Laval (votes: 1 - 50%). Guingamp (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Guingamp (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Laval (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Guingamp (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Laval won 2.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Guingamp might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Laval: Maggiotti J. (Inactive) Samb L. (Inactive) Vargas T. (Inactive)
There will not play in Guingamp: Gomis D. (Inactive) Hemia A. (Knee Injury) N'Landu D. (Knee Injury) Ott G. (Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive) Samoura A. (Inactive) Sidibe K. (Yellow Cards)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Laval won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 0.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Laval won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Laval won against Guingamp?

Laval has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Laval?

Guingamp has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Laval - Guingamp were as follows:

19.12.2025 Guingamp - Laval 0:1

31.10.2025 Guingamp - Laval 2:0

29.03.2025 Guingamp - Laval 2:0

23.08.2024 Laval - Guingamp 0:1

17.05.2024 Guingamp - Laval 0:1

Latest results of Laval

27.02.2026 Laval - Nancy 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Saint-Étienne - Laval 2:1 ✺

13.02.2026 Laval - Annecy 2:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Le Mans - Laval 1:1 ✺

04.02.2026 Lyon - Laval 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Guingamp

28.02.2026 Guingamp - Rodez 0:0 ✺

23.02.2026 Le Mans - Guingamp 1:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Guingamp - Saint-Étienne 1:2 ✺

06.02.2026 Dunkerque - Guingamp 0:0 ✺

30.01.2026 Montpellier - Guingamp 3:1 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Troyes	29	17	7	5	51:30	21	58
2	St Etienne	29	16	6	7	51:30	21	54
3	Le Mans	29	14	11	4	45:29	16	53
4	Reims	30	12	12	6	43:28	15	48
5	Red Star	29	13	9	7	32:27	5	48
6	Rodez	29	11	12	6	36:34	2	45
7	Montpellier	30	12	8	10	35:27	8	44
8	Annecy	30	12	7	11	36:34	2	43
9	Pau FC	30	11	9	10	41:48	-7	42
10	Dunkerque	29	10	10	9	44:35	9	40
11	Guingamp	30	10	10	10	39:42	-3	40
12	Boulogne	29	9	8	12	30:38	-8	35
13	Grenoble	30	6	14	10	29:36	-7	32
14	Clermont	30	7	9	14	34:41	-7	30
15	Nancy	30	7	9	14	27:43	-16	30
16	Laval	30	4	13	13	26:43	-17	25
17	Amiens	30	6	6	18	34:52	-18	24
18	Bastia	29	3	12	14	16:32	-16	21

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National