Result
2:3
10/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 34
- Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (261/332) | 80% (330/410) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (261/332) | 80% (330/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (25/39) | 48% (32/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (77/117) | 70% (52/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (10/26) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.05 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Bokele Mputu M. ⚽, Diallo P. A. (A),
- 23', Bodart A. ↓, Sy P. ↑,
- 45+1', Vargas T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 52', Camara M. ↓, Zohi K. ↑,
- 60', Cherni A. ↓, Kokolo W. ↑,
- 63', Sane I. ↓, Mangondo J. ↑,
- 65', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
- 65', Diallo P. A. ↓, Sabaly C. ↑,
- 66', Nduquidi J. 🟨,
- 69', 1 - 1, Sellouki M. ⚽,
- 70', 2 - 1, Vargas T. ⚽, Kokolo W. (A),
- 75', Lo A. ↓, Guerti I. ↑,
- 75', Sellouki M. ↓, Roye J. ↑,
- 82', Thomas T. ↓, Adeoti J. ↑,
- 82', Vargas T. ↓, Goncalves A. ↑,
- 83', Pellenard T. 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 2, Sabaly C. ⚽, Mangondo J. (A),
- 89', 2 - 3, Gueye I. ⚽, Van Den Kerkhof K. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5b5xj7a6
Chances of winning
Laval
49.5% | Draw
24.2% | Metz
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Laval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Laval's performance.Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laval than the current prediction. (-21.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Laval that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+19.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Laval - Metz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(3.33) |
3.92 ↑
(3.5) |
3.56 ↑
(2.08) |
5.4%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Laval - Metz?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.75, 1st Half - Metz (4.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Metz (5.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Laval (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Laval (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Laval will win
(34 of 35 users predict this - 97.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.62% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Laval will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Laval (votes: 23 - 92%). Metz (votes: 2 - 8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Metz is Qualified for Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Laval won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Laval may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Laval will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Laval: Adilehou M.
(Inactive)
Bianda W.
(Ankle Injury)
Doucoure S.
(Inactive)
Montet E.
(Inactive)
Ouaneh P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Metz: Asoro J.
(Injury)
Deminguet J.
(Injury)
Sane S.
(Injury)
Sy P.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Laval won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Laval won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Laval won against Metz?
Laval has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Laval?
Metz has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Laval - Metz were as follows:
31.08.2024
Metz
-
Laval
1:1
01.04.2023
Metz
-
Laval
1:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 51:30 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | Red Star | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 44:35 | 9 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 16:32 | -16 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
