Laval vs Metz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Francis Le Basser (Laval).

Ligue 2 - Round 34
Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.72	1.63
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
19	11
Shots on target
8	5
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
7	2
Passes
79% (261/332)	80% (330/410)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72	1.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.32	1.95
Total shots
19	11
Shots on target
8	5
Shots off target
5	1
Blocked Shots
6	5
Shots inside the Box
13	9
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
27	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
8	14
Passes
79% (261/332)	80% (330/410)
Long passes
64% (25/39)	48% (32/67)
Passes in final third
66% (77/117)	70% (52/74)
Crosses
38% (10/26)	0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.69	1.39
Throw-ins
17	10
Fouls
14	8
Tackles
60% (9/15)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
38	42
Clearances
12	21
Interceptions
4	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6
xGOT faced
1.95	1.32
Goals prevented
-1.05	-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Bokele Mputu M. ⚽, Diallo P. A. (A),
23', Bodart A. ↓, Sy P. ↑,
45+1', Vargas T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', Camara M. ↓, Zohi K. ↑,
60', Cherni A. ↓, Kokolo W. ↑,
63', Sane I. ↓, Mangondo J. ↑,
65', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
65', Diallo P. A. ↓, Sabaly C. ↑,
66', Nduquidi J. 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Sellouki M. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Vargas T. ⚽, Kokolo W. (A),
75', Lo A. ↓, Guerti I. ↑,
75', Sellouki M. ↓, Roye J. ↑,
82', Thomas T. ↓, Adeoti J. ↑,
82', Vargas T. ↓, Goncalves A. ↑,
83', Pellenard T. 🟨,
86', 2 - 2, Sabaly C. ⚽, Mangondo J. (A),
89', 2 - 3, Gueye I. ⚽, Van Den Kerkhof K. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5b5xj7a6

Chances of winning

Laval
49.5%

Draw
24.2%

Metz
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

26.8%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

26.3%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Laval's performance.

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laval than the current prediction. (-21.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Laval that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+19.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Laval - Metz Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (3.33)	3.92 ↑ (3.5)	3.56 ↑ (2.08)	5.4% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Laval - Metz?

Users Predictions: Laval will win (34 of 35 users predict this - 97.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.62% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Laval will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Metz is Qualified for Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Laval won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Laval may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Laval will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Laval: Adilehou M. (Inactive) Bianda W. (Ankle Injury) Doucoure S. (Inactive) Montet E. (Inactive) Ouaneh P. (Injury)
There will not play in Metz: Asoro J. (Injury) Deminguet J. (Injury) Sane S. (Injury) Sy P. (Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Laval won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Laval won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Laval won against Metz?

Laval has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Laval?

Metz has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Laval - Metz were as follows:

31.08.2024 Metz - Laval 1:1

01.04.2023 Metz - Laval 1:0

Latest results of Laval

02.05.2025 Dunkerque - Laval 0:0 ✺

25.04.2025 Laval - Amiens 1:0 ✺

18.04.2025 Laval - Rodez 2:1 ✺

14.04.2025 Bastia - Laval 5:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Laval - Grenoble 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Metz

02.05.2025 Metz - Rodez 3:3 ✺

26.04.2025 Pau - Metz 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Metz - Red Star 2:2 ✺

11.04.2025 Martigues - Metz 1:4 ✺

05.04.2025 Caen - Metz 2:2 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Grenoble	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Nancy	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	St Etienne	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Amiens	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Bastia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Clermont	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Guingamp	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Montpellier	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Reims	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Troyes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Laval	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Pau FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Rodez	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Annecy	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Dunkerque	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Red Star	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National