Laval vs Metz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Laval - Metz
Result
2:3
10/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 34
  • Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.721.63
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
79% (261/332)80% (330/410)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.721.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.321.95
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
139
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2720
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
814
Passes
79% (261/332)80% (330/410)
Long passes
64% (25/39)48% (32/67)
Passes in final third
66% (77/117)70% (52/74)
Crosses
38% (10/26)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.691.39
Throw-ins
1710
Fouls
148
Tackles
60% (9/15)55% (6/11)
Duels won
3842
Clearances
1221
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
1.951.32
Goals prevented
-1.05-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Bokele Mputu M. , Diallo P. A. (A),
  • 23', Bodart A. , Sy P. ,
  • 45+1', Vargas T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 52', Camara M. , Zohi K. ,
  • 60', Cherni A. , Kokolo W. ,
  • 63', Sane I. , Mangondo J. ,
  • 65', Bokele Mputu M. , Van Den Kerkhof K. ,
  • 65', Diallo P. A. , Sabaly C. ,
  • 66', Nduquidi J. 🟨,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Sellouki M. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Vargas T. , Kokolo W. (A),
  • 75', Lo A. , Guerti I. ,
  • 75', Sellouki M. , Roye J. ,
  • 82', Thomas T. , Adeoti J. ,
  • 82', Vargas T. , Goncalves A. ,
  • 83', Pellenard T. 🟨,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Sabaly C. , Mangondo J. (A),
  • 89', 2 - 3, Gueye I. , Van Den Kerkhof K. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5b5xj7a6

Chances of winning


Laval
49.5%
Draw
24.2%
Metz
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 26.8% 45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 26.3% 46%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Laval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Laval's performance.
  • Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laval than the current prediction. (-21.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Laval that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+19.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Laval - Metz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (3.33)
    3.92
    (3.5)
    3.56
    (2.08)
    5.4%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Laval - Metz?
  • Users Predictions: Laval will win (34 of 35 users predict this - 97.14%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 91.62%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Laval will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Metz is Qualified for Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Laval won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Laval may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Laval will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Laval: Adilehou M. (Inactive) Bianda W. (Ankle Injury) Doucoure S. (Inactive) Montet E. (Inactive) Ouaneh P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Metz: Asoro J. (Injury) Deminguet J. (Injury) Sane S. (Injury) Sy P. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Laval won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Laval won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Laval - Metz were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Metz - Laval 1:1
    01.04.2023 Metz - Laval 1:0
    Latest results of Laval
    02.05.2025 Dunkerque - Laval 0:0
    25.04.2025 Laval - Amiens 1:0
    18.04.2025 Laval - Rodez 2:1
    14.04.2025 Bastia - Laval 5:2
    04.04.2025 Laval - Grenoble 1:2
    Latest results of Metz
    02.05.2025 Metz - Rodez 3:3
    26.04.2025 Pau - Metz 2:1
    19.04.2025 Metz - Red Star 2:2
    11.04.2025 Martigues - Metz 1:4
    05.04.2025 Caen - Metz 2:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5Amiens00000:000
    6Bastia00000:000
    7Clermont00000:000
    8Guingamp00000:000
    9Montpellier00000:000
    10Reims00000:000
    11Troyes00000:000
    12Laval00000:000
    13Pau FC00000:000
    14Rodez00000:000
    15Annecy00000:000
    16Dunkerque00000:000
    17Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National