Result
0:1
27/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 8
- Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA French 2 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (417/496) | 77% (229/296) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (417/496) | 77% (229/296) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (39/62) | 40% (23/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (118/160) | 59% (54/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/29) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Mendy A. ⚽, Junior Pereira da Silva E. (A),
- 31', El Hannach N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sainte-Luce T. ↓, Mincarelli L. ↑,
- 56', Ngapandouetnbu S. 🟨,
- 63', Pays N. 🟨,
- 68', Sellouki M. ↓, Clavreul E. ↑,
- 68', Mendy A. ↓, Savanier T. ↑,
- 75', Orakpo V. 🟨,
- 77', Sanna S. ↓, Mupemba N. ↑,
- 83', Aradj Y. ↓, Bianda W. ↑,
- 83', Thomas T. ↓, Montet E. ↑,
- 84', Maggiotti J. ↓, Aristide M. ↑,
- 88', Pays N. ↓, Mahboub F. ↑,
- 88', El Hannach N. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
- 90+5', Mincarelli L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Laval
15.7% | Draw
34.8% | Montpellier
49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Laval's form might have worsened.Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montpellier's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+17.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laval, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-13.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montpellier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Laval - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.46 ↑
(2.85) |
3.8 ↑
(3.07) |
2.46 ↓
(2.59) |
-22.4%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Laval - Montpellier?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Montpellier will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 12)
- In recent matches, Laval has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Montpellier is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Laval may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Laval: Adilehou M.
(Inactive)
Camara M.
(Inactive)
Commaret M.
(Injury)
Maddy E.
(Inactive)
Montet E.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K.
(Leg Injury)
Gueguin A.
(Inactive)
Laporte J.
(Red Card)
Ngosso G.
(Knee Injury)
Sishuba A.
(Muscle Injury)
Tchato E.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Laval won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
- Including home match between the teams, Laval won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Laval won against Montpellier?
Laval has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Laval?
Montpellier has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Laval - Montpellier were as follows:
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Red Star | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 | Reims | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Le Mans | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Amiens | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Guingamp | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 13 |
| 11 | Clermont | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Rodez | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Annecy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Nancy | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
