Result
2:0
13/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 27
- Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (416/479) | 79% (272/346) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.24 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (416/479) | 79% (272/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (29/46) | 48% (31/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (92/133) | 70% (69/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 3.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Bianda W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 70', Thomas T. 🟨,
- 70', Fayad K. ↓, Gueguin A. ↑,
- 73', Mbayo D. ↓, Houdayer M. ↑,
- 74', Mouanga Y. ↓, Vidal-Cartoux N. ↑,
- 83', Sellouki M. ↓, Montet E. ↑,
- 83', Thomas T. ↓, Benard W. ↑,
- 85', Issoufou Y. ↓, Molebe E. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 0, Sainte-Luce T. ⚽, Molebe E. (A),
- 90', 2 - 0, Pays N. ⚽,
- 90+1', Mandouki C. ↓, Maddy E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Montpellier
51.8% | Draw
27.6% | Laval
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+1%)
Montpellier - Laval Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(1.87) |
3.4 ↑
(3.34) |
4.54 ↑
(4.25) |
6.4%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Laval?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Laval will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 59.8% – 94.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Montpellier will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Montpellier is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Montpellier: Junior Pereira da Silva E.
(Red Card)
Mahboub F.
(Inactive)
Mbuku N.
(Yellow Cards)
Ngosso G.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Laval: Maddy E.
(Inactive)
Maggiotti J.
(Inactive)
Samb L.
(Inactive)
Vargas T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Laval?
Montpellier has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Laval won against Montpellier?
Laval has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Laval were as follows:
27.09.2025
Laval
-
Montpellier
0:1
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes ✔ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 60:32 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 48:31 | 17 | 59 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 54:38 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 57 |
| 5 | Rodez | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 43:38 | 5 | 55 |
| 6 | Reims | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Annecy | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 48:37 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 40:30 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45:57 | -12 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 51:42 | 9 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Clermont | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Nancy | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Laval | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 28:47 | -19 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens ✔ | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
Clinched Spots for Teams
Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National
