Result
2:1
16/03/2023 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
- Referee: Jug M. (Slo)
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar
31.3% | Draw
30% | Lazio
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
AZ Alkmaar - Lazio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.76) |
3.18 ↓
(3.51) |
2.46 ↑
(2.35) |
5.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Lazio?
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 12 - 27.9%). Lazio will win (votes: 14 - 32.6%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 39.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.9% – 54.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- AZ has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (75%), a chance of semis (39%), a chance of final (18%), a small chance of win league (8%).
- Lazio has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a chance of qtrs (25%), a small chance of semis (15%), a small chance of final (8%), a very small chance of win league (4%).
- This event has quality 65, very big importance 100, big match rating 82. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- AZ is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Lazio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in AZ: Bazoer R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lazio: Immobile C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in AZ: Dekker M.
(Injury)
Martins Indi B.
(Hip Injury)
Vanheusden Z.
(Injury)
Westerveld S.
(Knee Injury)
de Wit D.
(Leg Injury)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches AZ won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Lazio?
AZ Alkmaar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lazio won against AZ Alkmaar?
Lazio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Lazio were as follows:
07.03.2023
Lazio
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:2
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 2 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | |
| 2 | Crystal Palace (10) | Fiorentina (15) | |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 4 | Mainz (7) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
