AZ Alkmaar vs Lazio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/03/2023 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
  • Referee: Jug M. (Slo)

Chances of winning


AZ Alkmaar
31.3%
Draw
30%
Lazio
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 26.6% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 27.7% 41.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • AZ Alkmaar - Lazio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.76)
    3.18
    (3.51)
    2.46
    (2.35)
    5.2%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Lazio?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 12 - 27.9%). Lazio will win (votes: 14 - 32.6%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 39.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.9%54.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • AZ has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (75%), a chance of semis (39%), a chance of final (18%), a small chance of win league (8%).
    • Lazio has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a chance of qtrs (25%), a small chance of semis (15%), a small chance of final (8%), a very small chance of win league (4%).
    • This event has quality 65, very big importance 100, big match rating 82. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • AZ is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Lazio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in AZ: Bazoer R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lazio: Immobile C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in AZ: Dekker M. (Injury) Martins Indi B. (Hip Injury) Vanheusden Z. (Injury) Westerveld S. (Knee Injury) de Wit D. (Leg Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches AZ won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Lazio were as follows:
    07.03.2023 Lazio - AZ Alkmaar 1:2
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    11.03.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Groningen 1:0
    07.03.2023 Lazio - AZ Alkmaar 1:2
    03.03.2023 Vitesse - AZ Alkmaar 0:1
    25.02.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Cambuur 2:1
    18.02.2023 Feyenoord - AZ Alkmaar 2:1
    Latest results of Lazio
    11.03.2023 Bologna - Lazio 0:0
    07.03.2023 Lazio - AZ Alkmaar 1:2
    03.03.2023 Napoli - Lazio 0:1
    27.02.2023 Lazio - Sampdoria 1:0
    23.02.2023 CFR Cluj - Lazio 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2