Result
1:0
24/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 26
- Referee: Congo F. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (145/218) | 84% (319/380) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 49 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (145/218) | 84% (319/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (14/55) | 63% (29/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (38/74) | 74% (90/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 17% (5/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Reasco D. ⚽, Chala J. (A),
- 34', Alzugaray L. 🟨,
- 39', Bedoya A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cornejo F. ↓, Villamil G. ↑,
- 49', Velez C. 🟨,
- 57', Alvarado A. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
- 57', Quintero J. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 57', Bedoya A. 🟨,
- 64', Diaz M. 🟨,
- 68', Alzugaray L. ↓, Cabeza A. ↑,
- 68', Hernandez B. ↓, Montano M. ↑,
- 68', Guisamano J. ↓, Branda V. ↑,
- 77', Ramirez Leon B. J. 🟨,
- 78', Medina J. 🟨,
- 80', Gruezo C. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
- 89', Reasco D. ↓, De Jesus B. ↑,
- 89', Mejia Moreira J. D. ↓, Borja J. ↑,
- 90+4', Duran P. 🟨,
- 90+5', Chala J. ↓, Mazamba S. ↑,
Chances of winning
El Nacional
21.9% | Draw
26.9% | LDU Quito
51.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)The chances for LDU Quito have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
El Nacional - LDU Quito Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.15 ↓
(4.2) |
3.41 ↓
(3.47) |
1.82 ↑
(1.81) |
8.6%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for El Nacional - LDU Quito?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LDU Quito: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- El Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, LDU Quito is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against LDU Quito?
El Nacional has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against El Nacional?
LDU Quito has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - LDU Quito were as follows:
03.05.2025
LDU Quito
-
El Nacional
2:2
01.02.2025
El Nacional
-
LDU Quito
0:1
02.10.2024
LDU Quito
-
El Nacional
0:1
21.09.2024
LDU Quito
-
El Nacional
1:1
06.04.2024
El Nacional
-
LDU Quito
1:2
Latest results of El Nacional
Latest results of LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 53:21 | 32 | 62 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:26 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 4 | Orense | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 45 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 52:36 | 16 | 43 |
| 6 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 7 | Libertad | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 40:35 | 5 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 30 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 31:48 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
