El Nacional vs LDU Quito – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro El Nacional - LDU Quito
24/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


El Nacional
24.3%
Draw
27.7%
LDU Quito
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.1% 26.7% 51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4% 25.9% 52.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • El Nacional - LDU Quito Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.8
    (4.2)
    3.38
    (3.47)
    1.93
    (1.81)
    7.6%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • LDU Quito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • LDU Quito could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - LDU Quito were as follows:
    03.05.2025 LDU Quito - El Nacional 2:2
    01.02.2025 El Nacional - LDU Quito 0:1
    02.10.2024 LDU Quito - El Nacional 0:1
    21.09.2024 LDU Quito - El Nacional 1:1
    06.04.2024 El Nacional - LDU Quito 1:2
    Latest results of El Nacional
    Latest results of LDU Quito
    21.08.2025 LDU Quito - Botafogo RJ 2:0
    17.08.2025 LDU Quito - Manta 1:1
    14.08.2025 Botafogo RJ - LDU Quito 1:0
    09.08.2025 SD Aucas - LDU Quito 1:0
    03.08.2025 LDU Quito - Mushuc Runa 2:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle25158245:202553
    2LDU Quito25128541:241744
    3Barcelona SC25135737:29844
    4Libertad26118740:34641
    5Dep. Cuenca25116830:25539
    6Aucas261151035:37-238
    7Orense25115927:29-238
    8U. Catolica2599746:331336
    9Emelec2598824:28-435
    10EL Nacional25771130:35-528
    11Delfin25610924:37-1328
    12Macara25691023:26-327
    13Manta255101031:42-1125
    14Tecnico U25671224:35-1125
    15Vinotinto25661329:36-724
    16Mushuc Runa ✔ 25551527:43-1620

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )