Result
2:2
03/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 11
- Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (321/383) | 72% (152/210) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (321/383) | 72% (152/210) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (30/51) | 40% (17/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (83/113) | 70% (47/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (8/37) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Aimar D. ⚽, Alvarado A. (A),
- 9', 1 - 1, Carabali F. ⚽, Mejia E. (A),
- 14', Flor F. 🟨,
- 20', Pastran L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Carabali F. ↓, Montano M. ↑,
- 63', Pastran L. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
- 63', Diaz M. ↓, Alzugaray L. ↑,
- 65', Reasco D. ↓, Cevallos J. ↑,
- 65', Guisamano J. ↓, Ledesma A. ↑,
- 71', Quintero J. ↓, de la Cruz D. I. ↑,
- 71', Minda K. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 80', Cela A. ↓, Rivera B. ↑,
- 81', Mejia E. ↓, Mejia J. ↑,
- 83', Cornejo F. ↓, Cabeza A. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Pazmino D. ⚽, Cevallos J. (A),
- 85', Pazmino D. 🟨,
- 86', Mina R. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 2, Arce A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
LDU Quito
61.5% | Draw
23% | El Nacional
15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
LDU Quito - El Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↑
(1.5) |
4.03 ↓
(4.12) |
5.96 ↓
(5.99) |
8%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- LDU Quito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, LDU Quito is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against El Nacional?
LDU Quito has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against LDU Quito?
El Nacional has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - El Nacional were as follows:
01.02.2025
El Nacional
-
LDU Quito
0:1
02.10.2024
LDU Quito
-
El Nacional
0:1
21.09.2024
LDU Quito
-
El Nacional
1:1
06.04.2024
El Nacional
-
LDU Quito
1:2
18.08.2023
LDU Quito
-
El Nacional
0:0
Latest results of LDU Quito
Latest results of El Nacional
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
| 5 | Aucas | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Libertad | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 34 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 31 |
| 9 | Emelec | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 28 |
| 10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
| 14 | Manta | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 23 |
| 15 | Tecnico U | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 19 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24:39 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
