Result
0:1
25/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1, Silk Universal |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 75% | 25% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (524/606) | 59% (127/215) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (524/606) | 59% (127/215) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (24/49) | 20% (11/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (144/190) | 39% (19/49) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (11/51) | 50% (2/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 11 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 2.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | 2.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Cornejo F. 🟨,
- 36', Quintero J. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Medina J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bobadilla D. ↓, Dinenno J. ↑,
- 46', Franco A. ↓, Mailton ↑,
- 67', Ferreira ↓, Lucas Moura ↑,
- 67', Rigoni E. ↓, Lucca Marques ↑,
- 67', Medina J. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
- 80', Alzugaray L. ↓, Pastran L. ↑,
- 80', Cornejo F. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
- 82', Rodriguinho ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 90', Ramirez Leon B. J. ↓, Mina R. ↑,
- 90+5', Robert Arboleda 🟨,
Chances of winning
São Paulo
68.7% | Draw
21.4% | LDU Quito
9.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
São Paulo - LDU Quito Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.41) |
4.45 ↑
(4.34) |
9.61 ↑
(8.96) |
5.3%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for São Paulo - LDU Quito?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, São Paulo is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva
(Knee Injury)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
Oscar
(Back Injury)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
Soares C.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Ferreira
(Injury)
- There are questionable in LDU Quito: Alvarado A.
(Inactive)
Cabeza A.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against LDU Quito?
São Paulo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against São Paulo?
LDU Quito has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - LDU Quito were as follows:
18.09.2025
LDU Quito
-
São Paulo
2:0
31.08.2023
São Paulo
-
LDU Quito
1:1
24.08.2023
LDU Quito
-
São Paulo
2:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of LDU Quito
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | 1 : 3, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | LDU Quito | Palmeiras | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | Racing Club | 1 : 0 |
Final
