São Paulo vs LDU Quito – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores São Paulo - LDU Quito
Result
0:1
25/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilParamount+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1, Silk Universal
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
malaysiaMalaysiaMola
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainLaLiga+
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.840.55
Ball Possession
75%25%
Total shots
264
Shots on target
111
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
160
Passes
86% (524/606)59% (127/215)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.840.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.990.88
Total shots
264
Shots on target
111
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
91
Shots inside the Box
173
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
160
Touches in opposition box
325
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
147
Passes
86% (524/606)59% (127/215)
Long passes
49% (24/49)20% (11/54)
Passes in final third
76% (144/190)39% (19/49)
Crosses
22% (11/51)50% (2/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.410.13
Throw-ins
2714
Fouls
714
Tackles
53% (10/19)64% (14/22)
Duels won
5643
Clearances
1245
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
011
xGOT faced
0.882.99
Goals prevented
-0.122.99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Cornejo F. 🟨,
  • 36', Quintero J. 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Medina J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bobadilla D. , Dinenno J. ,
  • 46', Franco A. , Mailton ,
  • 67', Ferreira , Lucas Moura ,
  • 67', Rigoni E. , Lucca Marques ,
  • 67', Medina J. , Estrada M. ,
  • 80', Alzugaray L. , Pastran L. ,
  • 80', Cornejo F. , Minda K. ,
  • 82', Rodriguinho , Alisson ,
  • 90', Ramirez Leon B. J. , Mina R. ,
  • 90+5', Robert Arboleda 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


São Paulo
68.7%
Draw
21.4%
LDU Quito
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 21.9% 10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9% 20.7% 11.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • São Paulo - LDU Quito Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.41)
    4.45
    (4.34)
    9.61
    (8.96)
    5.3%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for São Paulo - LDU Quito?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 64.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, São Paulo is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva (Knee Injury) Jonathan Calleri (Knee Injury) Lucas Moura (Knee Injury) Luiz Gustavo (Contusion) Oscar (Back Injury) Ryan Francisco (Knee Injury) Soares C. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in São Paulo: Ferreira (Injury)
    • There are questionable in LDU Quito: Alvarado A. (Inactive) Cabeza A. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - LDU Quito were as follows:
    18.09.2025 LDU Quito - São Paulo 2:0
    31.08.2023 São Paulo - LDU Quito 1:1
    24.08.2023 LDU Quito - São Paulo 2:1
    Latest results of São Paulo
    21.09.2025 Santos - São Paulo 1:0
    18.09.2025 LDU Quito - São Paulo 2:0
    14.09.2025 São Paulo - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    30.08.2025 Cruzeiro - São Paulo 1:0
    Latest results of LDU Quito
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    6Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0
    7FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2River PlatePalmeiras1 : 3, 1 : 2
    3Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ1 : 1, 1 : 2
    4Velez SarsfieldRacing Club0 : 1, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1LDU QuitoPalmeiras
    2Flamengo RJRacing Club

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2