Le Havre vs Lorient – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 5
  • Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 4, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.261.01
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
86% (472/552)80% (303/381)
Yellow Cards
36
Expected Goals (xG)
2.261.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.991.51
Total shots
138
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2418
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1520
Passes
86% (472/552)80% (303/381)
Long passes
48% (24/50)37% (19/51)
Passes in final third
73% (74/101)63% (51/81)
Crosses
21% (8/39)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.650.56
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
2015
Tackles
31% (5/16)59% (10/17)
Duels won
5661
Clearances
1935
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.510.99
Goals prevented
0.51-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', Meite B. 🟨,
  • 4', Toure A. (Pen),
  • 15', Sangante A. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Tosin A. ⚽, Karim D. (A),
  • 25', Seko A. 🟨,
  • 41', Abergel L. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Samatta A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Soumare I. ⚽, Lloris G. (A),
  • 50', Talbi M. 🟨,
  • 52', Avom A. 🟨,
  • 55', Bamba M. 🟨,
  • 62', Bamba M. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
  • 62', Tosin A. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
  • 63', Kechta Y. ↓, Ndiaye R. ↑,
  • 63', Doucoure F. ↓, Namli Y. ↑,
  • 74', Le Bris T. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
  • 77', Samatta A. ↓, Pizarro D. ↑,
  • 85', Toure A. ↓, Mambimbi F. ↑,
  • 85', Delaine T. ↓, Vinette E. K. ↑,
  • 90+2', Faye A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2tkc4tpr

Chances of winning


Le Havre
46.3%		Draw
28.3%		Lorient
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 28.2% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 28.7% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Le Havre's performance.
  • Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorient might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Le Havre that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorient could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Le Havre - Lorient Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.08 ↓
    (2.45)    		 3.38 ↑
    (3.37)    		 3.76 ↑
    (2.87)    		 4.2%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Le Havre - Lorient?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 19 - 65.5%). Lorient will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 48.2% – 82.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 5 - 50%). Lorient (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Le Havre (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Lorient (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Lorient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Le Havre might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Katseris P. (Thigh Injury) Sanusi T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Toure I. (Knee Injury) Yongwa D. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Le Havre: Zouaoui Y. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Lorient were as follows:
    28.01.2024 Lorient - Le Havre 3:3
    03.09.2023 Le Havre - Lorient 3:0
    29.07.2023 Le Havre - Lorient 0:2
    Latest results of Le Havre
    14.09.2025 Strasbourg - Le Havre 1:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Le Havre - Nice 3:1 ✺
    24.08.2025 Le Havre - Lens 1:2 ✺
    16.08.2025 Monaco - Le Havre 3:1 ✺
    09.08.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Le Havre 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Lorient
    12.09.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lorient 4:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 Lorient - Lille 1:7 ✺
    24.08.2025 Lorient - Rennes 4:0 ✺
    17.08.2025 Auxerre - Lorient 1:0 ✺
    09.08.2025 Angers - Lorient 1:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG23173352:193354
    2Lens23171544:202452
    3Lyon23143637:231445
    4Marseille23124748:311740
    5Lille23114836:31537
    6Rennes23107637:35237
    7Strasbourg23104939:30934
    8Monaco23104938:36234
    9Lorient2388732:36-432
    10Toulouse2387833:27631
    11Brest2386931:34-330
    12Angers23851022:28-629
    13Le Havre2368920:29-926
    14Nice23661130:43-1324
    15Paris FC23581027:40-1323
    16Auxerre23451417:33-1617
    17Nantes23451422:40-1817
    18Metz23341622:52-3013

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