Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 5
- Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 4, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (472/552) | 80% (303/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (472/552) | 80% (303/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (24/50) | 37% (19/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (74/101) | 63% (51/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (8/39) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', Meite B. 🟨,
- 4', Toure A. (Pen),
- 15', Sangante A. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Tosin A. ⚽, Karim D. (A),
- 25', Seko A. 🟨,
- 41', Abergel L. 🟨,
- 45+2', Samatta A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 1, Soumare I. ⚽, Lloris G. (A),
- 50', Talbi M. 🟨,
- 52', Avom A. 🟨,
- 55', Bamba M. 🟨,
- 62', Bamba M. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
- 62', Tosin A. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
- 63', Kechta Y. ↓, Ndiaye R. ↑,
- 63', Doucoure F. ↓, Namli Y. ↑,
- 74', Le Bris T. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
- 77', Samatta A. ↓, Pizarro D. ↑,
- 85', Toure A. ↓, Mambimbi F. ↑,
- 85', Delaine T. ↓, Vinette E. K. ↑,
- 90+2', Faye A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2tkc4tpr
Chances of winning
Le Havre
46.3% | Draw
28.3% | Lorient
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Le Havre's performance.Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorient might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Le Havre that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorient could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Le Havre - Lorient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.45) |
3.38 ↑
(3.37) |
3.76 ↑
(2.87) |
4.2%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Le Havre - Lorient?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 19 - 65.5%). Lorient will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 48.2% – 82.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Lorient (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Lorient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Le Havre might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N.
(Ankle Injury)
Katseris P.
(Thigh Injury)
Sanusi T.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
Yongwa D.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Le Havre: Zouaoui Y.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Lorient?
Le Havre has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Le Havre?
Lorient has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Lorient were as follows:
28.01.2024
Lorient
-
Le Havre
3:3
03.09.2023
Le Havre
-
Lorient
3:0
29.07.2023
Le Havre
-
Lorient
0:2
Latest results of Le Havre
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Marseille | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Lyon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Lens | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Lille | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Paris FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Rennes | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Nice | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Lorient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Nantes | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Metz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
