Result
2:0
18/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 30
- Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bolivia | ESPN 4 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Ecuador | ESPN 4 |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, DAZN France, Free, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Nigeria | SuperSport LaLiga |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Paraguay | ESPN 4 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 6, Voyo |
 South-africa | SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (318/382) | 87% (426/489) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (318/382) | 87% (426/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (25/54) | 48% (16/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (45/72) | 84% (183/219) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 21% (7/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -1.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Katseris P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Paixao I. ↓, Weah T. ↑,
- 57', Pavard B. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 0, Dieng B. ⚽, Pagis P. (A),
- 59', Abdelli H. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
- 59', Gouiri A. ↓, Nwaneri E. ↑,
- 69', Makengo J. ↓, Abergel L. ↑,
- 74', Nadir B. 🟨,
- 75', Dieng B. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
- 76', Hojbjerg P. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
- 76', Aubameyang P. ↓, Lamare El Kadmiri U. ↑,
- 82', Katseris P. ↓, Igor Silva ↑,
- 82', Pagis P. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
- 90', Weah T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lorient
20.1% | Draw
21.8% | Olympique Marseille
58.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olympique Marseille's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olympique Marseille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lorient - Olympique Marseille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.75 ↑
(3.81) |
4.35 ↑
(3.77) |
1.65 ↓
(1.88) |
4.7%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Lorient - Olympique Marseille?
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 3 - 9.4%). Marseille will win (votes: 24 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 60% – 90%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.75 - Marseille (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympique Marseille will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Marseille (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Lorient may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Marseille is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Lorient: Bamba M.
(Injury)
Fadiga B.
(Injury)
Kouassi A.
(Yellow Cards)
Le Bris T.
(Knee Injury)
Talbi M.
(Calf Injury)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Marseille: Aguerd N.
(Groin Injury)
Egan-Riley C.
(Injury)
Kondogbia G.
(Thigh Injury)
Medina F.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Lorient: Abergel L.
(Ankle Injury)
Karim D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:42. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.7:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Olympique Marseille?
Lorient has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Lorient?
Olympique Marseille has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
12.09.2025
Olympique Marseille
-
Lorient
4:0
12.05.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Lorient
3:1
10.12.2023
Lorient
-
Olympique Marseille
2:4
09.04.2023
Lorient
-
Olympique Marseille
0:0
14.01.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Lorient
3:1
Latest results of Lorient
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70:27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61:33 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52:34 | 18 | 60 |
| 4 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:35 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56:46 | 10 | 56 |
| 6 | Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59:44 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44:49 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | Brest | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27:46 | -19 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Nice | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36:58 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29:51 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Metz ✔ | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32:72 | -40 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Metz is Relegated to Ligue 2
