Metz vs Le Havre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
28/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 6
  • Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 5, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Sport

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.330.42
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
02
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
90% (376/420)83% (308/371)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.330.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.39
Total shots
711
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
62
Shots outside the Box
19
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1512
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1616
Passes
90% (376/420)83% (308/371)
Long passes
64% (30/47)44% (22/50)
Passes in final third
72% (60/83)65% (62/95)
Crosses
35% (6/17)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.37
Throw-ins
1724
Fouls
1616
Tackles
47% (9/19)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4744
Clearances
3322
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.390.00
Goals prevented
0.390.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Zouaoui Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mboula U. , Tsitaishvili G. ,
  • 51', Deminguet J. 🟨,
  • 61', Ebonog S. , Ndiaye R. ,
  • 61', Samatta A. , Doucoure F. ,
  • 74', Traore B. 🟨,
  • 76', Zouaoui Y. , Delaine T. ,
  • 80', Hein G. , Sane I. ,
  • 81', Bokele Mputu M. , Abuashvili G. ,
  • 85', Khadra R. , Namli Y. ,
  • 86', Toure A. , Mambimbi F. ,
  • 87', Deminguet J. , Toure A. ,
  • 88', Youte Kinkoue E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Metz
35.5%
Draw
29.9%
Le Havre
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 27.9% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 28.8% 32.6%

Metz - Le Havre Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.73
(2.46)
3.21
(3.4)
2.79
(2.82)
3.7%
(5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Metz - Le Havre?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Le Havre will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 18.5%61.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Metz (votes: 1 - 20%). Le Havre (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Metz (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Metz (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Metz (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Le Havre (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 1.
    • Metz has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Le Havre has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Metz: Mbaye M. (Foot Injury) Sane S. (Red Card) Stambouli B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Le Havre: Ebonog S. (Knock)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Le Havre were as follows:
    21.04.2024 Le Havre - Metz 0:1
    29.10.2023 Metz - Le Havre 0:0
    13.03.2023 Metz - Le Havre 1:1
    24.10.2022 Le Havre - Metz 2:0
    Latest results of Metz
    21.09.2025 Monaco - Metz 5:2
    14.09.2025 Metz - Angers 1:1
    31.08.2025 Paris FC - Metz 3:2
    23.08.2025 Lyon - Metz 3:0
    17.08.2025 Metz - Strasbourg 0:1
    Latest results of Le Havre
    21.09.2025 Le Havre - Lorient 1:1
    14.09.2025 Strasbourg - Le Havre 1:0
    31.08.2025 Le Havre - Nice 3:1
    24.08.2025 Le Havre - Lens 1:2
    16.08.2025 Monaco - Le Havre 3:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG21163248:163251
    2Lens21161437:172049
    3Lyon21133534:201442
    4Marseille21123646:271939
    5Lille21103834:30433
    6Rennes2187631:34-331
    7Strasbourg2193934:27730
    8Toulouse2186731:24730
    9Angers2185822:25-329
    10Monaco2184932:33-128
    11Lorient2177727:33-628
    12Brest2175928:33-526
    13Le Havre2158818:26-823
    14Nice21651027:38-1123
    15Paris FC2157926:34-822
    16Auxerre21351314:29-1514
    17Nantes21351319:37-1814
    18Metz21341421:46-2513

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