Result
0:0
28/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 6
- Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 5, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 8 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (376/420) | 83% (308/371) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (376/420) | 83% (308/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (30/47) | 44% (22/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (60/83) | 65% (62/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Zouaoui Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mboula U. ↓, Tsitaishvili G. ↑,
- 51', Deminguet J. 🟨,
- 61', Ebonog S. ↓, Ndiaye R. ↑,
- 61', Samatta A. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
- 74', Traore B. 🟨,
- 76', Zouaoui Y. ↓, Delaine T. ↑,
- 80', Hein G. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
- 81', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Abuashvili G. ↑,
- 85', Khadra R. ↓, Namli Y. ↑,
- 86', Toure A. ↓, Mambimbi F. ↑,
- 87', Deminguet J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
- 88', Youte Kinkoue E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Metz
35.5% | Draw
29.9% | Le Havre
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-2%)
Metz - Le Havre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.46) |
3.21 ↓
(3.4) |
2.79 ↓
(2.82) |
3.7%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Metz - Le Havre?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Le Havre will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 18.5% – 61.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Metz (votes: 1 - 20%). Le Havre (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Metz (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Metz (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Metz (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Le Havre (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 1.
- Metz has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Le Havre has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Metz: Mbaye M.
(Foot Injury)
Sane S.
(Red Card)
Stambouli B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Le Havre: Ebonog S.
(Knock)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Le Havre?
Metz has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Metz?
Le Havre has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Le Havre were as follows:
21.04.2024
Le Havre
-
Metz
0:1
29.10.2023
Metz
-
Le Havre
0:0
13.03.2023
Metz
-
Le Havre
1:1
24.10.2022
Le Havre
-
Metz
2:0
Latest results of Le Havre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 58:22 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Lens | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 54:24 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Monaco | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Rennes | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Lorient | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Nantes | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
