Result
1:2
02/05/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 32
- Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
 Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 2, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (233/295) | 86% (503/588) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (233/295) | 86% (503/588) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (31/56) | 44% (12/27) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (74/102) | 78% (159/203) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 20% (6/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.36 | -0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', 1 - 0, Deminguet J. ⚽, Hein G. (A),
- 58', Pogba P. ↓, Bamba A. ↑,
- 58', Adingra S. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
- 58', Camara L. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Balogun F. ⚽, Akliouche M. (A),
- 62', Coulibaly M. 🟨,
- 74', Stambouli B. ↓, Munongo B. ↑,
- 74', Mbala N. ↓, Abuashvili G. ↑,
- 74', Golovin A. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
- 81', Mawissa C. 🟨,
- 82', Deminguet J. ↓, Pandore J. ↑,
- 82', Kvilitaia G. ↓, Diallo H. ↑,
- 84', Mawissa C. ↓, Caio Henrique ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Fati A. ⚽, Caio Henrique (A),
Chances of winning
Metz
13.1% | Draw
17.3% | Monaco
69.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metz's form might have worsened.Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monaco's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monaco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Metz - Monaco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.24 ↑
(5.08) |
5.47 ↑
(4.62) |
1.37 ↓
(1.55) |
5.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Metz - Monaco?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Monaco will win
(43 of 48 users predict this - 89.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.94% – 98.22%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monaco will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 0.
- Metz has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Monaco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Monaco is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Metz: Kouao K.
(Yellow Cards)
Mangondo J.
(Knee Injury)
Michal L.
(Loan agreement)
Toure A.
(Injury)
Traore B.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Monaco: Idumbo S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Minamino T.
(Knee Injury)
Ouattara K.
(Knee Injury)
Salisu M.
(Knee Injury)
Vanderson
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Metz: Munongo B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Monaco: Caio Henrique
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 13:46. (average 0.7:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.8:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Monaco?
Metz has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Metz?
Monaco has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Monaco were as follows:
21.09.2025
Monaco
-
Metz
5:2
30.03.2024
Metz
-
Monaco
2:5
22.10.2023
Monaco
-
Metz
2:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70:27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61:33 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52:34 | 18 | 60 |
| 4 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:35 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56:46 | 10 | 56 |
| 6 | Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59:44 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44:49 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | Brest | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27:46 | -19 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Nice | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36:58 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29:51 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Metz ✔ | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32:72 | -40 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Metz is Relegated to Ligue 2
