Le Havre vs Metz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
4:4
26/04/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 31
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilCaze TV
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Tubi TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.341.49
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
55
Big chances
44
Corner kicks
64
Passes
82% (289/352)87% (341/394)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
2.341.49
xG on target (xGOT)
2.382.47
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
25
Blocked shots
72
Shots inside the box
87
Shots outside the box
65
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
02
Big chances
44
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2621
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
1212
Passes
82% (289/352)87% (341/394)
Long passes
35% (15/43)65% (40/62)
Passes in final third
59% (46/78)76% (82/108)
Crosses
17% (3/18)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.751.04
Throw ins
1923
Fouls
1212
Tackles
63% (17/27)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5840
Clearances
1819
Interceptions
615
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
2.472.38
Goals prevented
-1.53-1.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Samatta A. ⚽,
  • 9', 1 - 1, Kvilitaia G. ⚽, Hein G. (A),
  • 13', 2 - 1, Kechta Y. ⚽,
  • 18', Gbamin J. ↓, Mbala N. ↑,
  • 45+5', 2 - 2, Hein G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Toure A. ↓, Stambouli B. ↑,
  • 46', Ndiaye R. ↓, Gourna-Douath L. ↑,
  • 46', Mboula U. ↓, Pandore J. ↑,
  • 47', Kvilitaia G. 🟨,
  • 52', 3 - 2, Zouaoui Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 54', 3 - 3, Pandore J. ⚽, Mbala N. (A),
  • 61', 4 - 3, Doucoure F. ⚽, Soumare I. (A),
  • 69', Doucoure F. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
  • 79', Zouaoui Y. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
  • 79', Kechta Y. ↓, Boufal S. ↑,
  • 80', Gourna-Douath L. 🟨,
  • 83', Deminguet J. ↓, Abuashvili G. ↑,
  • 83', Kvilitaia G. ↓, Michal L. ↑,
  • 85', 4 - 4, Hein G. ⚽, Mbala N. (A),
  • 90+2', Ebonog S. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Ebonog S. ↓, Mosengo D. N. ↑,
  • 90+6', Pembele T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Le Havre
59%		Draw
22.8%		Metz
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 26.4% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 22.9% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Le Havre's performance.
  • Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Le Havre that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Le Havre - Metz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.62 ↓
    (1.89)    		 4.16 ↑
    (3.59)    		 5.27 ↑
    (4.01)    		 4.8%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Le Havre - Metz?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). Metz will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 50.6% – 85.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Metz (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Metz (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • Metz is Relegated to Ligue 2
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1.
    • Recent performances by Le Havre have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Metz's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Le Havre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Le Havre is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Le Havre: Sangante A. (Red Card) Toure A. (Knee Injury) Zagadou S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Metz: Ba O. (Injury) Ballo-Toure F. (Injury) Colin M. (Injury) Diallo H. (Injury) Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Munongo B. (Knee Injury) Traore B. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Le Havre: Ndiaye R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Metz: Mbala N. (Inactive) Melieres C. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 0.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Metz were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Metz - Le Havre 0:0
    21.04.2024 Le Havre - Metz 0:1
    29.10.2023 Metz - Le Havre 0:0
    13.03.2023 Metz - Le Havre 1:1
    24.10.2022 Le Havre - Metz 2:0
    Latest results of Le Havre
    18.04.2026 Angers - Le Havre 1:1 ✺
    12.04.2026 Nice - Le Havre 1:1 ✺
    05.04.2026 Le Havre - Auxerre 1:1 ✺
    22.03.2026 Paris FC - Le Havre 3:2 ✺
    15.03.2026 Le Havre - Lyon 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Metz
    19.04.2026 Metz - Paris FC 1:3 ✺
    10.04.2026 Olympique Marseille - Metz 3:1 ✺
    05.04.2026 Metz - Nantes 0:0 ✺
    22.03.2026 Rennes - Metz 0:0 ✺
    15.03.2026 Metz - Toulouse 3:4 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG ✔ 31224570:274370
    2Lens31204761:332864
    3Lyon32186852:341860
    4Lille32177851:351658
    5Rennes32168856:461056
    6Monaco321661056:48854
    7Marseille321651159:441553
    8Strasbourg311371150:41946
    9Lorient3210121044:49-542
    10Toulouse321181345:45041
    11Paris FC3210111144:47-341
    12Brest311081341:51-1038
    13Angers32971627:46-1934
    14Le Havre326141230:43-1332
    15Nice327101536:58-2231
    16Auxerre326101630:43-1328
    17Nantes32581929:51-2223
    18Metz32372232:72-4016

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