Le Mans vs Grenoble – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
23/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 7
  • Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.291.07
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
55% (122/220)86% (447/521)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.291.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.100.05
Total shots
711
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
715
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
26
Free Kicks
1016
Passes
55% (122/220)86% (447/521)
Long passes
30% (19/64)51% (26/51)
Passes in final third
42% (28/66)70% (95/136)
Crosses
8% (1/12)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.330.90
Throw-ins
2625
Fouls
1610
Tackles
52% (11/21)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5469
Clearances
2520
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.050.10
Goals prevented
0.05-0.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Voyer H. 🟨,
  • 17', Voyer H. 🟨,
  • 24', Robin M. , Cossier I. ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Gueye D. , Quarshie E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Mion M. , Xantippe M. ,
  • 62', Quarshie E. 🟨,
  • 63', Bechikh M. , Maurin E. ,
  • 63', Kerouedan A. , Djitte M. ,
  • 63', Paquiez G. , Valls T. ,
  • 65', Gueye D. , Colas E. ,
  • 66', Quarshie E. , Lauray A. ,
  • 77', Xantippe M. 🟨,
  • 82', Calodat L. , Abanda L. ,
  • 82', Vercruysse J. , Rossignol M. ,
  • 85', Maurin E. 🟨,
  • 86', Vidal C. , Zahui N. ,
  • 90+4', Rossignol M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2jjn432f

Chances of winning


Le Mans
42.4%
Draw
30.7%
Grenoble
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 26.8% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 26.3% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Le Mans's form might have worsened.
  • Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Le Mans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Le Mans - Grenoble Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (1.85)
    3.25
    (3.45)
    3.61
    (3.95)
    -0.6%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Le Mans - Grenoble?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Le Mans will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Le Mans will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).
    • Le Mans is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Grenoble has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Le Mans is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Le Mans: Abanda L. (Inactive) Gomes M. (Red Card) Harhouz W. (Inactive) Luvambo T. (Inactive) Oggad B. (Inactive) Rossignol M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Grenoble: Bangre M. (Inactive) Benet J. (Injury) Diba S. (Inactive) Djitte M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Le Mans won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Le Mans won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Le Mans
    19.09.2025 Dunkerque - Le Mans 2:2
    12.09.2025 Le Mans - Rodez 0:1
    30.08.2025 Reims - Le Mans 1:0
    22.08.2025 Le Mans - Bastia 1:0
    18.08.2025 Le Mans - Montpellier 1:2
    Latest results of Grenoble
    19.09.2025 Grenoble - Annecy 1:3
    13.09.2025 Grenoble - Dunkerque 1:0
    30.08.2025 Saint-Étienne - Grenoble 1:1
    22.08.2025 Clermont - Grenoble 2:1
    15.08.2025 Grenoble - Laval 1:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes27166544:271754
    2St Etienne27155746:291750
    3Le Mans271211437:261147
    4Red Star27128731:27444
    5Reims271110639:261343
    6Rodez271110634:32243
    7Montpellier271251033:25841
    8Dunkerque27109842:291339
    9Annecy271161035:30539
    10Guingamp27109838:38039
    11Pau FC27108940:44-438
    12Boulogne27961230:38-833
    13Grenoble27612924:30-630
    14Clermont27771330:36-628
    15Nancy27761424:40-1627
    16Amiens27651630:46-1623
    17Laval273111321:39-1820
    18Bastia273101414:30-1619

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National