Result
0:1
01/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Alvarez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Numancia
67.5% | Draw
20.7% | Lealtad
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Numancia - Lealtad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.42) |
4.43 ↑
(4) |
7.8 ↑
(6.74) |
8.8%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Numancia - Lealtad?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Numancia (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Numancia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lealtad has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Numancia is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Numancia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Numancia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Numancia won against Lealtad?
Numancia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lealtad won against Numancia?
Lealtad has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Numancia - Lealtad were as follows:
06.09.2025
Lealtad
-
Numancia
1:1
Latest results of Numancia
Latest results of Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Fabril | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 43:17 | 26 | 54 |
| 2 | Oviedo B | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 52 |
| 3 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Salamanca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 43 |
| 5 | UD Ourense | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 29:27 | 2 | 41 |
| 6 | Real Avila | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 37:38 | -1 | 41 |
| 7 | Coruxo FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Numancia | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 34:28 | 6 | 40 |
| 9 | Atl. Astorga | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 39 |
| 10 | Bergantinos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 32:28 | 4 | 38 |
| 11 | Marino de Luanco | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 22:20 | 2 | 34 |
| 12 | Rayo Cantabria | 27 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 32 |
| 13 | Sarriana | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Langreo | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 24:31 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Valladolid Promesas | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 43:49 | -6 | 29 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 28:44 | -16 | 25 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20:36 | -16 | 24 |
| 18 | UD Samano | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 20:60 | -40 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
