Result
2:2
21/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Castillo Marcilla A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 56', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 72', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lealtad
51.1% | Draw
28% | Sámano
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lealtad that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sámano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lealtad - Sámano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(1.95) |
3.28 ↑
(3.2) |
4.38 ↑
(3.67) |
8.9%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Lealtad has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sámano is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sámano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lealtad has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Sámano has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Lealtad is the team to beat.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Lealtad won against Sámano?
Lealtad has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sámano won against Lealtad?
Sámano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lealtad - Sámano were as follows:
Latest results of Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Fabril | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:3 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | R. Oviedo B | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Salamanca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Real Avila | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Marino de Luanco | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Sarriana | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Bergantinos | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Numancia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Rayo Cantabria | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Coruxo FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Valladolid Promesas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | UD Ourense | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Langreo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Burgos CF B | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Atl. Astorga | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 3 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | UD Samano | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
