Lealtad vs UD Ourense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
29/11/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, de Prado S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Lealtad
31.6%
Draw
31.5%
UD Ourense
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 30.5% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 30.1% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • UD Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Lealtad - UD Ourense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (2.8)
    2.91
    (3.02)
    2.49
    (2.51)
    8.9%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Lealtad - UD Ourense?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).
    • Lealtad is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • UD Ourense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Lealtad
    23.11.2025 Langreo - Lealtad 4:0
    16.11.2025 Lealtad - Rayo Cantabria 1:0
    09.11.2025 Coruxo - Lealtad 1:0
    26.10.2025 Burgos Promesas - Lealtad 2:2
    Latest results of UD Ourense
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Fabril ✔ 31199356:193766
    2Oviedo B311510646:301655
    3Gimnastica Segoviana31139934:31348
    4UD Ourense31139933:31248
    5Real Avila311381045:43247
    6Salamanca311381040:32847
    7Numancia311210939:32746
    8Coruxo FC311361238:33545
    9Bergantinos311191136:33342
    10Langreo311191132:34-242
    11Rayo Cantabria31915754:431142
    12Sarriana311171339:36340
    13Atl. Astorga311171339:42-340
    14Marino de Luanco319121026:24239
    15Valladolid Promesas31991353:58-536
    16Burgos CF B317111336:52-1632
    17Lealtad31761827:47-2027
    18UD Samano ✔ 31362222:75-5315

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Dep. Fabril is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
    UD Samano is Relegated to