Result
4:1
19/01/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie A - Round 21
- Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football |
 Asia | STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+ |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 India | GXR World |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | ONE Sport 2 |
 Italy | 215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1 |
 Mexico | ESPN |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Tanzania | Azam Sports 4 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 33 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (331/410) | 81% (347/431) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 70% (72/103) | 61% (49/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 27% (3/11) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 80% (8/10) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 42', 0 - 1, Pierotti S. ⚽,
- 45', Pierotti S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 52', Adopo M. 🟨,
- 54', Adopo M. ↓, Deiola A. ↑,
- 54', Viola N. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
- 54', Makoumbou A. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
- 56', Pierotti S. ↓, Bonifazi K. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Gaetano G. ⚽, Deiola A. (A),
- 63', Krstovic N. ↓, Rebic A. ↑,
- 63', Helgason T. J. ↓, Ramadani Y. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Luperto S. ⚽, Marin R. (A),
- 73', Rebic A. 🟥,
- 74', Felici M. ↓, Augello T. ↑,
- 77', Tete Morente ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
- 77', Coulibaly L. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 1, Zortea N. ⚽, Augello T. (A),
- 81', Zortea N. 🟨,
- 83', 4 - 1, Obert A. ⚽, Marin R. (A),
- 86', Zortea N. ↓, Pavoletti L. ↑,
- 90+1', Deiola A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cagliari
48.9% | Draw
28.1% | Lecce
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Cagliari - Lecce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.91) |
3.4 ↓
(3.49) |
4.15 ↓
(4.17) |
4.8%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cagliari - Lecce?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Lecce will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 22% – 61.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 0.
- Cagliari is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Lecce is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recently Cagliari have a series of guest games.
- In this match Cagliari is a favorite.
- There will not play in Cagliari: Ciocci G.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lecce: Banda L.
(Broken ankle)
Berisha M.
(Thigh Injury)
Gallo A.
(Injury)
Gaspar K.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez J.
(Chest Injury)
Pelmard A.
(Coach's decision)
Rafia H.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Cagliari: Jankto J.
(Injury)
Luvumbo Z.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cagliari won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Lecce?
Cagliari has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Cagliari?
Lecce has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cagliari - Lecce were as follows:
31.08.2024
Lecce
-
Cagliari
1:0
05.05.2024
Cagliari
-
Lecce
1:1
06.01.2024
Lecce
-
Cagliari
1:1
Latest results of Cagliari
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Napoli | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Cremonese | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Udinese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Inter | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Lazio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Como | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bologna | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Fiorentina | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Pisa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Genoa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Parma | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Lecce | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Verona | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 19 | Torino | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
| 20 | Sassuolo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
