Cagliari vs Lecce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Result
0:2
16/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 25
  • Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDAZN, Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
boliviaBoliviaDAZN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, FuboTV
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 2, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2, Sport 4
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 2
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayVG+
paraguayParaguayDAZN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDAZN, Disney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN, Disney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldStarzplay Sports app

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.011.36
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
04
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
82
Passes
79% (346/440)72% (217/300)
Expected goals (xG)
1.011.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.97
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
36
Shots inside the box
912
Shots outside the box
21
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
1926
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1416
Passes
79% (346/440)72% (217/300)
Long passes
39% (17/44)39% (23/59)
Passes in final third
65% (64/98)61% (49/80)
Crosses
19% (5/26)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.97
Throw ins
2324
Fouls
1614
Tackles
50% (10/20)57% (12/21)
Duels won
6966
Clearances
2632
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
20
xGOT faced
0.970.00
Goals prevented
-1.030.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 57', Pavoletti L. ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
  • 57', Zappa G. ↓, Mazzitelli L. ↑,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Gandelman O. ⚽, Sottil R. (A),
  • 76', 0 - 2, Ramadani Y. ⚽, Coulibaly L. (A),
  • 79', Obert A. ↓, Trepy Y. ↑,
  • 80', Cheddira W. ↓, Stulic N. ↑,
  • 80', Sottil R. ↓, Ndaba C. ↑,
  • 86', Pierotti S. ↓, Siebert J. ↑,
  • 86', Gandelman O. ↓, Ngom O. ↑,
  • 90+2', Coulibaly L. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,

Chances of winning


Cagliari
39.6%		Draw
33.4%		Lecce
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 30.3% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 30.4% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cagliari's form might have worsened.
  • Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cagliari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
    •

    Cagliari - Lecce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.41 ↑
    (2.05)    		 2.87 ↓
    (3.12)    		 3.53 ↓
    (4.01)    		 4.7%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Cagliari - Lecce?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 42 - 73.7%). Lecce will win (votes: 3 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 21.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 62.3% – 85.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Cagliari (1.98) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Cagliari (1.30) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Cagliari (3.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Cagliari (2.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Cagliari (2.38) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH 0 - Cagliari (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Cagliari (1.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.5 - Lecce (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cagliari will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 30 high ROI users predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 26 - 86.7%). Lecce (votes: 2 - 6.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 2.
    • Cagliari has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lecce's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cagliari is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Borrelli G. (Thigh Injury) Deiola A. (Injury) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Folorunsho M. (Knee Injury) Gaetano G. (Injury) Pedro J. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Lecce: Banda L. (Yellow Cards) Berisha M. (Injury) Camarda F. (Injury) Perez M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cagliari - Lecce were as follows:
    19.09.2025 Lecce - Cagliari 1:2
    19.01.2025 Cagliari - Lecce 4:1
    31.08.2024 Lecce - Cagliari 1:0
    05.05.2024 Cagliari - Lecce 1:1
    06.01.2024 Lecce - Cagliari 1:1
    Latest results of Cagliari
    09.02.2026 Roma - Cagliari 2:0 ✺
    31.01.2026 Cagliari - Verona 4:0 ✺
    24.01.2026 Fiorentina - Cagliari 1:2 ✺
    17.01.2026 Cagliari - Juventus 1:0 ✺
    12.01.2026 Genoa - Cagliari 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Lecce
    08.02.2026 Lecce - Udinese 2:1 ✺
    01.02.2026 Torino - Lecce 1:0 ✺
    24.01.2026 Lecce - Lazio 0:0 ✺
    18.01.2026 Milan - Lecce 1:0 ✺
    14.01.2026 Inter Milan - Lecce 1:0 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter29222565:234268
    2AC Milan29179344:212360
    3Napoli29185645:301559
    4Como29159548:222654
    5Juventus29158651:282353
    6AS Roma291631039:231651
    7Atalanta291211640:271347
    8Bologna291261138:34442
    9Lazio291010929:28140
    10Sassuolo291151335:39-438
    11Udinese291061333:42-936
    12Parma298101121:36-1534
    13Genoa29891236:40-433
    14Torino29961432:50-1833
    15Cagliari29791331:41-1030
    16Fiorentina296101334:43-928
    17Lecce29761621:39-1827
    18Cremonese29591523:44-2124
    19Pisa292121523:49-2618
    20Verona29391722:51-2918

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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