Result
4:1
19/01/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie A - Round 21
- Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football |
Asia | STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2, Moja TV |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 6, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+ |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
Hungary | Net4+ |
India | GXR World |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Israel | ONE Sport 2 |
Italy | 215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1 |
Mexico | ESPN |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte |
Norway | VG+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Tanzania | Azam Sports 4 |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.74 | 0.50 |
Ball Possession |
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49% | 51% |
Goal Attempts |
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19 | 7 |
Shots on Goal |
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7 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
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7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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5 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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5 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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16 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 11 |
Offsides |
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2 | 2 |
Fouls |
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11 | 10 |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 1 |
Red Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 18 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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33 | 14 |
Passes |
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81% (331/410) | 81% (347/431) |
Passes in the final third |
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70% (72/103) | 61% (49/80) |
Crosses |
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52% (11/21) | 27% (3/11) |
Tackles |
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69% (11/16) | 80% (8/10) |
Clearances Total |
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12 | 21 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 42', 0 - 1, Pierotti S. ⚽,
- 45', Pierotti S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 52', Adopo M. 🟨,
- 54', Adopo M. ↓, Deiola A. ↑,
- 54', Viola N. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
- 54', Makoumbou A. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
- 56', Pierotti S. ↓, Bonifazi K. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Gaetano G. ⚽, Deiola A. (A),
- 63', Krstovic N. ↓, Rebic A. ↑,
- 63', Helgason T. J. ↓, Ramadani Y. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Luperto S. ⚽, Marin R. (A),
- 73', Rebic A. 🟥,
- 74', Felici M. ↓, Augello T. ↑,
- 77', Tete Morente ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
- 77', Coulibaly L. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 1, Zortea N. ⚽, Augello T. (A),
- 81', Zortea N. 🟨,
- 83', 4 - 1, Obert A. ⚽, Marin R. (A),
- 86', Zortea N. ↓, Pavoletti L. ↑,
- 90+1', Deiola A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cagliari 48.9% | Draw 28.1% | Lecce 23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Cagliari - Lecce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.95 ↑ (1.91) |
3.4 ↓ (3.49) |
4.15 ↓ (4.17) |
4.8% (5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cagliari - Lecce?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Lecce will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 22% – 61.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 0.
- Cagliari is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Lecce is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recently Cagliari have a series of guest games.
- In this match Cagliari is a favorite.
- There will not play in Cagliari: Ciocci G.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lecce: Banda L.
(Broken ankle)
Berisha M.
(Thigh Injury)
Gallo A.
(Injury)
Gaspar K.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez J.
(Chest Injury)
Pelmard A.
(Coach's decision)
Rafia H.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Cagliari: Jankto J.
(Injury)
Luvumbo Z.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cagliari won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Lecce?
Cagliari has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Cagliari?
Lecce has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cagliari - Lecce were as follows:
31.08.2024
Lecce
-
Cagliari
1:0
05.05.2024
Cagliari
-
Lecce
1:1
06.01.2024
Lecce
-
Cagliari
1:1
Latest results of Cagliari
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B