Lecce vs Cremonese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
08/03/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 28
  • Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
boliviaBoliviaESPN 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, FuboTV
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 3, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 3
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 2
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 3
vietnamVietnamON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldStarzplay Sports app

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.600.95
Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
35
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
44
Passes
69% (177/258)70% (249/355)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.600.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.661.27
Total shots
910
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
33
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
78
Shots outside the box
22
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1819
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
2819
Passes
69% (177/258)70% (249/355)
Long passes
44% (26/59)42% (31/73)
Passes in final third
56% (48/86)49% (53/109)
Crosses
20% (3/15)18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.52
Throw ins
1637
Fouls
1928
Tackles
53% (8/15)60% (12/20)
Duels won
7377
Clearances
6121
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
1.271.66
Goals prevented
0.27-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Pierotti S. , Gallo A. (A),
  • 38', 2 - 0, Stulic N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 44', Bianchetti M. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Siebert J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bianchetti M. , Zerbin A. ,
  • 46', Vardy J. , Djuric M. ,
  • 46', Vandeputte J. , Payero M. ,
  • 47', 2 - 1, Bonazzoli F. , Djuric M. (A),
  • 53', Djuric M. 🟨,
  • 62', Thorsby M. , Okereke D. ,
  • 65', Stulic N. , Cheddira W. ,
  • 74', Pezzella G. , Sanabria A. ,
  • 79', Banda L. , Gandelman O. ,
  • 79', Pierotti S. , Jean G. ,
  • 89', Coulibaly L. , Fofana S. ,
  • 90+7', Luperto S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lecce
40.7%
Draw
32.2%
Cremonese
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 31.5% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 32.1% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Lecce - Cremonese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.15)
    2.97
    (3.02)
    3.5
    (3.92)
    4.7%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Lecce - Cremonese?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 18 - 41.9%). Cremonese will win (votes: 6 - 14%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 44.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.4%59%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Lecce (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Cremonese (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Lecce (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Lecce (1.55) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Lecce (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Lecce (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Lecce (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Lecce (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Cremonese (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2.
    • Lecce has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cremonese is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Lecce is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Lecce: Camarda F. (Injury) Gaspar K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Cremonese: Baschirotto F. (Muscle Injury) Collocolo M. (Injury) Moumbagna F. (Muscle Injury) Terracciano F. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Lecce: Berisha M. (Injury) Gandelman O. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Cremonese were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Cremonese - Lecce 2:0
    04.02.2023 Cremonese - Lecce 0:2
    02.10.2022 Lecce - Cremonese 1:1
    Latest results of Lecce
    28.02.2026 Como - Lecce 3:1
    21.02.2026 Lecce - Inter Milan 0:2
    16.02.2026 Cagliari - Lecce 0:2
    08.02.2026 Lecce - Udinese 2:1
    01.02.2026 Torino - Lecce 1:0
    Latest results of Cremonese
    01.03.2026 Cremonese - Milan 0:2
    22.02.2026 Roma - Cremonese 3:0
    15.02.2026 Cremonese - Genoa 0:0
    09.02.2026 Atalanta - Cremonese 2:1
    01.02.2026 Cremonese - Inter Milan 0:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter30223566:244269
    2AC Milan30189347:232463
    3Napoli30195646:301662
    4Como30169553:223157
    5Juventus30159652:292354
    6AS Roma301731040:231754
    7Atalanta301311641:271450
    8Lazio301110931:28343
    9Bologna301261238:36242
    10Sassuolo301161336:40-439
    11Udinese301161335:42-739
    12Parma308101221:38-1734
    13Genoa30891336:42-633
    14Torino30961534:53-1933
    15Cagliari30791431:42-1130
    16Fiorentina306111335:44-929
    17Cremonese30691525:44-1927
    18Lecce30761721:40-1927
    19Verona30391822:52-3018
    20Pisa302121623:54-3118

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B