Lazio vs Lecce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Olimpico (Rome).

Serie A - Round 38
Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport Variety 2, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 3
Angola	Z Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 4
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 8
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.64	0.42
Ball Possession
73%	27%
Total shots
26	9
Shots on target
7	3
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
14	4
Passes
88% (436/498)	64% (128/201)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64	0.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.55	0.49
Total shots
26	9
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
12	5
Blocked Shots
7	1
Shots inside the Box
18	6
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
14	4
Touches in opposition box
47	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
11	11
Passes
88% (436/498)	64% (128/201)
Long passes
59% (19/32)	38% (21/56)
Passes in final third
82% (159/193)	43% (26/61)
Crosses
25% (16/63)	67% (6/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.22	0.41
Throw-ins
17	19
Fouls
11	11
Tackles
63% (5/8)	67% (4/6)
Duels won
49	47
Clearances
16	65
Interceptions
7	5
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	7
xGOT faced
0.49	1.55
Goals prevented
-0.51	1.55

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Guendouzi M. 🟨,
37', Pierotti S. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Coulibaly L. ⚽, Krstovic N. (A),
45+2', Pierotti S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Isaksen G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
46', Marusic A. ↓, Hysaj E. ↑,
59', Karlsson J. ↓, Helgason T. J. ↑,
60', Berisha M. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
69', Falcone W. 🟨,
73', Tavares N. ↓, Pellegrini Lu. ↑,
73', Ramadani Y. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
76', Rovella N. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,
77', Zaccagni M. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
88', Krstovic N. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
90+3', Romagnoli A. 🟥,

Chances of winning

Lazio
66.4%

Draw
21.2%

Lecce
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

21.1%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

20.5%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Lazio - Lecce Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.49)	4.5 ↓ (4.6)	7.58 ↑ (7.18)	4.8% (3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Lazio - Lecce?

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 45 - 93.8%). Lecce will win (votes: 2 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 87% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.5, 1st Half - Lazio (votes: 4 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lazio will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 2.
Lazio is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Lecce's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Lecce may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Lazio is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Lazio: Lazzari M. (Thigh Injury) Patric (Foot Injury)
There will not play in Lecce: Gonzalez J. (Heart Problems) Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Tete Morente (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Lazio: Tavares N. (Calf Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Lazio won against Lecce?

Lazio has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Lazio?

Lecce has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Lecce were as follows:

21.12.2024 Lecce - Lazio 1:2

14.01.2024 Lazio - Lecce 1:0

20.08.2023 Lecce - Lazio 2:1

12.05.2023 Lazio - Lecce 2:2

04.01.2023 Lecce - Lazio 2:1

Latest results of Lazio

18.05.2025 Inter Milan - Lazio 2:2 ✺

10.05.2025 Lazio - Juventus 1:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Empoli - Lazio 0:1 ✺

28.04.2025 Lazio - Parma 2:2 ✺

23.04.2025 Genoa - Lazio 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Lecce

18.05.2025 Lecce - Torino 1:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Verona - Lecce 1:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Lecce - Napoli 0:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Atalanta - Lecce 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Lecce - Como 0:3 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
2	Juventus	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
3	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	5:3	2	6
4	AS Roma	2	2	0	0	2:0	2	6
5	Udinese	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
6	Inter	2	1	0	1	6:2	4	3
7	Lazio	2	1	0	1	4:2	2	3
8	AC Milan	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3
9	Como	2	1	0	1	2:1	1	3
10	Bologna	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
11	Atalanta	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
12	Fiorentina	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
13	Pisa	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
14	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
15	Genoa	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
16	Parma	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
17	Lecce	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
18	Verona	2	0	1	1	1:5	-4	1
19	Torino	2	0	1	1	0:5	-5	1
20	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	2:5	-3	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B