Lecce vs Pisa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Result
1:0
12/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 15
  • Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 4
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON E Channel, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.23
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
215
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
121
Passes
78% (291/373)79% (285/363)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.040.00
Total shots
215
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
112
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
3112
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
617
Passes
78% (291/373)79% (285/363)
Long passes
42% (26/62)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
65% (74/114)53% (31/59)
Crosses
41% (9/22)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.720.36
Throw-ins
2121
Fouls
176
Tackles
79% (11/14)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4465
Clearances
2430
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.001.04
Goals prevented
0.000.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Berisha M. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
  • 33', Calabresi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Calabresi A. ↓, Albiol R. ↑,
  • 59', Akinsanmiro E. ↓, Angori S. ↑,
  • 59', Moreo S. ↓, Tramoni M. ↑,
  • 66', Pierotti S. ↓, Banda L. ↑,
  • 67', Camarda F. ↓, Stulic N. ↑,
  • 72', 1 - 0, Stulic N. ⚽, Banda L. (A),
  • 74', Ndaba C. ↓, Gallo A. ↑,
  • 74', Sottil R. ↓, Tete Morente ↑,
  • 82', Caracciolo Ant. ↓, Buffon L. ↑,
  • 85', Tete Morente 🟨,
  • 90', Gaspar K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lecce
38.3%		Draw
33.4%		Pisa
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 30.8% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 30.4% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
    •

    Lecce - Pisa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.51 ↑
    (2.26)    		 2.86 ↓
    (3.09)    		 3.37 ↓
    (3.51)    		 4.6%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Lecce - Pisa?
  • Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 17 - 32.1%). Pisa will win (votes: 7 - 13.2%). It will Tie (votes: 29 - 54.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.3% – 68.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Lecce (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Pisa (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 18 - 75%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +1 - Lecce (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Lecce (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Lecce (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Pisa (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 18 - 69.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Lecce will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Lecce: Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Rafia H. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Pisa: Nzola M. (Red Card) Stengs C. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lecce: Pierret B. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pisa: Cuadrado J. (Muscle Injury) Denoon D. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    Latest results of Lecce
    07.12.2025 Cremonese - Lecce 2:0 ✺
    30.11.2025 Lecce - Torino 2:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Lazio - Lecce 2:0 ✺
    08.11.2025 Lecce - Verona 0:0 ✺
    02.11.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Pisa
    08.12.2025 Pisa - Parma 0:1 ✺
    30.11.2025 Pisa - Inter Milan 0:2 ✺
    24.11.2025 Sassuolo - Pisa 2:2 ✺
    07.11.2025 Pisa - Cremonese 1:0 ✺
    02.11.2025 Torino - Pisa 2:2 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter30223566:244269
    2AC Milan30189347:232463
    3Napoli30195646:301662
    4Como30169553:223157
    5Juventus30159652:292354
    6AS Roma301731040:231754
    7Atalanta301311641:271450
    8Lazio301110931:28343
    9Bologna301261238:36242
    10Sassuolo301161336:40-439
    11Udinese301161335:42-739
    12Parma308101221:38-1734
    13Genoa30891336:42-633
    14Torino30961534:53-1933
    15Cagliari30791431:42-1130
    16Fiorentina306111335:44-929
    17Cremonese30691525:44-1927
    18Lecce30761721:40-1927
    19Verona30391822:52-3018
    20Pisa302121623:54-3118

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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