Breiðablik vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Breiðablik - Lech Poznań
Result
0:1
30/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport, SÝN Sport Ísland
polandPolandTVP Sport app, TVP Sport
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
58
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
139
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
22
Corner Kicks
58
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
913
Throw-ins
1019
Fouls
126
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Muminovic D. 🟨,
  • 23', Bjarnason A. , Valgeirsson V. ,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Ishak M. , Szymczak F. (A),
  • 39', Gumny R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kristinsson K. , Thorsteinsson A. ,
  • 46', Ishak M. , Palma L. ,
  • 62', Moutinho J. , Gurgul M. ,
  • 62', Kozubal A. , Lisman K. ,
  • 62', Szymczak F. , Pereira J. ,
  • 72', Steindorsson K. , Jonsson K. ,
  • 72', Einarsson V. , Thomsen T. ,
  • 75', Thordarson G. , Skrzypczak M. ,
  • 86', Omarsson O. , Gautason V. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Breiðablik
32.2%
Draw
24.6%
Lech Poznań
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.1% 23.1% 57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7% 23.6% 59%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Breiðablik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Breiðablik's performance.
  • Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lech Poznań might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Breiðablik that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lech Poznań could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Breiðablik - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.97
    (5.01)
    3.84
    (4.16)
    2.18
    (1.66)
    5.6%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Breiðablik - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Breiðablik will win (votes: 20 - 58.8%). Lech will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Breiðablik: 42.3%75.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Breiðablik (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Lech (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Breiðablik (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-7. 2nd leg.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Lech has had a series of home games.
    • Lech could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Breiðablik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Breiðablik - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    22.07.2025 Lech Poznań - Breiðablik 7:1
    Latest results of Breiðablik
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV0 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticTBD #8
    5BaselTBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14