Breiðablik vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Breiðablik - Lech Poznań
Result
0:1
30/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport, SÝN Sport Ísland
polandPolandTVP Sport app, TVP Sport
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
58
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
139
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
22
Corner Kicks
58
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
913
Throw-ins
1019
Fouls
126
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Muminovic D. 🟨,
  • 23', Bjarnason A. , Valgeirsson V. ,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Ishak M. , Szymczak F. (A),
  • 39', Gumny R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kristinsson K. , Thorsteinsson A. ,
  • 46', Ishak M. , Palma L. ,
  • 62', Moutinho J. , Gurgul M. ,
  • 62', Kozubal A. , Lisman K. ,
  • 62', Szymczak F. , Pereira J. ,
  • 72', Steindorsson K. , Jonsson K. ,
  • 72', Einarsson V. , Thomsen T. ,
  • 75', Thordarson G. , Skrzypczak M. ,
  • 86', Omarsson O. , Gautason V. ,

Chances of winning


Breiðablik
32.2%
Draw
24.6%
Lech Poznań
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.1% 23.1% 57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7% 23.6% 59%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Breiðablik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Breiðablik's performance.
  • Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lech Poznań might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Breiðablik that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lech Poznań could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Breiðablik - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.97
    (5.01)
    3.84
    (4.16)
    2.18
    (1.66)
    5.6%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Breiðablik - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Breiðablik will win (votes: 20 - 58.8%). Lech will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Breiðablik: 42.3%75.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Breiðablik (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Lech (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Breiðablik (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-7. 2nd leg.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Lech has had a series of home games.
    • Lech could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Breiðablik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Breiðablik - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    22.07.2025 Lech Poznań - Breiðablik 7:1
    Latest results of Breiðablik
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)