Crvena Zvezda Belgrade vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań
12/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
60.6%
Draw
21.4%
Lech Poznań
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 22.3% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 21.5% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.62)
    4.47
    (4.3)
    5.28
    (5.21)
    5%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
    • Crvena Zvezda is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Lech is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Crvena Zvezda is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Crvena Zvezda will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Crvena Zvezda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    06.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:3
    Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV0 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticTBD #8
    5BaselTBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14