Result
1:1
12/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1 |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Poland | TVP 2, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, SportKlub 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', Veljkovic M. 🟨,
- 8', Gumny R. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
- 22', Bruno Duarte 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Ndiaye C. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Thordarson G. ↓, Ouma T. ↑,
- 57', Rodrigo 🟥,
- 58', Bruno Duarte ↓, Milosavljevic V. ↑,
- 72', Babicka S. ↓, Lucic V. ↑,
- 72', Olayinka P. ↓, Milson ↑,
- 72', Kozubal A. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
- 72', Szymczak F. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
- 79', Palma L. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
- 80', Milson 🟨,
- 80', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
- 81', Krunic R. 🟨,
- 86', Ndiaye C. ↓, Katai A. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Ishak M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
63.9% | Draw
21.7% | Lech Poznań
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.62) |
4.45 ↑
(4.3) |
6.89 ↑
(5.21) |
3.1%
(4.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win
(52 of 61 users predict this - 85.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.35% – 94.15%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (14 of 18 users predict this - 77.78%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
- Crvena Zvezda has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Lech is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Lech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Crvena Zvezda is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Crvena Zvezda will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Crvena Zvezda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Crvena Zvezda Belgrade won against Lech Poznań?
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
Lech Poznań has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań were as follows:
06.08.2025
Lech Poznań
-
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
1:3
Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Latest results of Lech Poznań
UEFA Champions League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | PSG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Inter | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Dortmund | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Juventus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Slavia Prague | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Pafos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 22 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 23 | Atl. Madrid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 | Chelsea | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | Ajax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | Ath Bilbao | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 33 | Monaco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Kairat Almaty | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 | Atalanta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
