Crvena Zvezda Belgrade vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
polandPolandTVP 2, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, SportKlub 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
10
Total shots
811
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
11
Corner Kicks
33
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1513
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
1115
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Veljkovic M. 🟨,
  • 8', Gumny R. , Szymczak F. ,
  • 22', Bruno Duarte 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Ndiaye C. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Thordarson G. , Ouma T. ,
  • 57', Rodrigo 🟥,
  • 58', Bruno Duarte , Milosavljevic V. ,
  • 72', Babicka S. , Lucic V. ,
  • 72', Olayinka P. , Milson ,
  • 72', Kozubal A. , Rodriguez P. ,
  • 72', Szymczak F. , Fiabema B. ,
  • 79', Palma L. , Lisman K. ,
  • 80', Milson 🟨,
  • 80', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
  • 81', Krunic R. 🟨,
  • 86', Ndiaye C. , Katai A. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Ishak M. ,

Chances of winning


Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
63.9%
Draw
21.7%
Lech Poznań
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 22.3% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 21.5% 17.7%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.51
(1.62)
4.45
(4.3)
6.89
(5.21)
3.1%
(4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (52 of 61 users predict this - 85.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.35%94.15%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (14 of 18 users predict this - 77.78%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
    • Crvena Zvezda has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Lech is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Crvena Zvezda is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Crvena Zvezda will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Crvena Zvezda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    06.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:3
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich440014:31112
    2Arsenal440011:01112
    3Inter440011:11012
    4Manchester City431010:3710
    5PSG430114:599
    6Newcastle430110:289
    7Real Madrid43018:269
    8Liverpool43019:459
    9Galatasaray43018:629
    10Tottenham42207:258
    11Barcelona421112:757
    12Chelsea42119:637
    13Sporting CP42118:537
    14Dortmund421113:1127
    15Qarabag42118:717
    16Atalanta42113:5-27
    17Atl. Madrid420210:916
    18PSV41219:725
    19Monaco41214:6-25
    20Pafos41212:5-35
    21Bayer Leverkusen41216:10-45
    22Club Brugge KV41128:10-24
    23Eintracht Frankfurt41127:11-44
    24Napoli41124:9-54
    25Marseille41036:513
    26Juventus40317:8-13
    27Ath Bilbao41034:9-53
    28Royale Union SG41034:12-83
    29Bodo/Glimt40225:8-32
    30Slavia Prague40222:8-62
    31Olympiacos Piraeus40222:9-72
    32Villarreal40132:6-41
    33FC Copenhagen40134:12-81
    34Kairat Almaty40132:11-91
    35Benfica40042:8-60
    36Ajax40041:14-130

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