Crvena Zvezda Belgrade vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
polandPolandTVP 2, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, SportKlub 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
10
Total shots
811
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
11
Corner Kicks
33
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1513
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
1115
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Veljkovic M. 🟨,
  • 8', Gumny R. , Szymczak F. ,
  • 22', Bruno Duarte 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Ndiaye C. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Thordarson G. , Ouma T. ,
  • 57', Rodrigo 🟥,
  • 58', Bruno Duarte , Milosavljevic V. ,
  • 72', Babicka S. , Lucic V. ,
  • 72', Olayinka P. , Milson ,
  • 72', Kozubal A. , Rodriguez P. ,
  • 72', Szymczak F. , Fiabema B. ,
  • 79', Palma L. , Lisman K. ,
  • 80', Milson 🟨,
  • 80', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
  • 81', Krunic R. 🟨,
  • 86', Ndiaye C. , Katai A. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Ishak M. ,

Chances of winning


Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
63.9%
Draw
21.7%
Lech Poznań
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 22.3% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 21.5% 17.7%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.51
(1.62)
4.45
(4.3)
6.89
(5.21)
3.1%
(4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Crvena Zvezda (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Crvena Zvezda (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Crvena Zvezda (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • DC - Lech (2.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 - Lech (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (52 of 61 users predict this - 85.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.35%94.15%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (33 of 38 users predict this - 86.84%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 43 high ROI users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 36 - 83.7%). Lech (votes: 3 - 7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 9.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
    • Crvena Zvezda has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Lech is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Crvena Zvezda is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Crvena Zvezda will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Crvena Zvezda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    06.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:3
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal880023:41924
    2Bayern Munich870122:81421
    3Liverpool860220:81218
    4Tottenham852117:71017
    5Barcelona851222:14816
    6Chelsea851217:10716
    7Sporting CP851217:11616
    8Manchester City851215:9616
    9Real Madrid850321:12915
    10Inter850315:7815
    11PSG842221:111014
    12Newcastle842217:71014
    13Juventus834114:10413
    14Atl. Madrid841317:15213
    15Atalanta841310:10013
    16Bayer Leverkusen833213:14-112
    17Dortmund832319:17211
    18Olympiacos Piraeus832310:14-411
    19Club Brugge KV831415:17-210
    20Galatasaray83149:11-210
    21Monaco82428:14-610
    22Qarabag831413:21-810
    23Bodo/Glimt823314:15-19
    24Benfica830510:12-29
    25Marseille830511:14-39
    26Pafos82338:11-39
    27Royale Union SG83058:17-99
    28PSV822416:1608
    29Ath Bilbao82249:14-58
    30Napoli82249:15-68
    31FC Copenhagen822412:21-98
    32Ajax82068:21-136
    33Eintracht Frankfurt811610:21-114
    34Slavia Prague80355:19-143
    35Villarreal80175:18-131
    36Kairat Almaty80177:22-151

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)