Crvena Zvezda Belgrade vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
polandPolandTVP 2, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, SportKlub 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
10
Total shots
811
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
11
Corner Kicks
33
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1513
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
1115
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Veljkovic M. 🟨,
  • 8', Gumny R. , Szymczak F. ,
  • 22', Bruno Duarte 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Ndiaye C. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Thordarson G. , Ouma T. ,
  • 57', Rodrigo 🟥,
  • 58', Bruno Duarte , Milosavljevic V. ,
  • 72', Babicka S. , Lucic V. ,
  • 72', Olayinka P. , Milson ,
  • 72', Kozubal A. , Rodriguez P. ,
  • 72', Szymczak F. , Fiabema B. ,
  • 79', Palma L. , Lisman K. ,
  • 80', Milson 🟨,
  • 80', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
  • 81', Krunic R. 🟨,
  • 86', Ndiaye C. , Katai A. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Ishak M. ,

Chances of winning


Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
63.9%
Draw
21.7%
Lech Poznań
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 22.3% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 21.5% 17.7%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.51
(1.62)
4.45
(4.3)
6.89
(5.21)
3.1%
(4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (52 of 61 users predict this - 85.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.35%94.15%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (14 of 18 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
    • Crvena Zvezda has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Lech is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Crvena Zvezda is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Crvena Zvezda will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Crvena Zvezda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    06.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:3
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal660017:11618
    2Bayern Munich650118:71115
    3PSG641119:81113
    4Manchester City641112:6613
    5Atalanta64118:6213
    6Inter640212:4812
    7Real Madrid640213:7612
    8Atl. Madrid640215:12312
    9Liverpool640211:8312
    10Dortmund632119:13611
    11Tottenham632113:7611
    12Newcastle631213:6710
    13Chelsea631213:8510
    14Sporting CP631212:8410
    15Barcelona631214:11310
    16Marseille630311:839
    17Juventus623112:1029
    18Galatasaray63038:809
    19Monaco62317:8-19
    20Bayer Leverkusen623110:12-29
    21PSV622215:1148
    22Qarabag621310:13-37
    23Napoli62136:11-57
    24FC Copenhagen621310:16-67
    25Benfica62046:8-26
    26Pafos61324:9-56
    27Royale Union SG62047:15-86
    28Ath Bilbao61234:9-55
    29Olympiacos Piraeus61236:13-75
    30Eintracht Frankfurt61148:16-84
    31Club Brugge KV61148:16-84
    32Bodo/Glimt60339:13-43
    33Slavia Prague60332:11-93
    34Ajax61055:18-133
    35Villarreal60154:13-91
    36Kairat Almaty60154:15-111

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