Result
1:1
12/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1 |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Poland | TVP 2, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, SportKlub 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', Veljkovic M. 🟨,
- 8', Gumny R. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
- 22', Bruno Duarte 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Ndiaye C. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Thordarson G. ↓, Ouma T. ↑,
- 57', Rodrigo 🟥,
- 58', Bruno Duarte ↓, Milosavljevic V. ↑,
- 72', Babicka S. ↓, Lucic V. ↑,
- 72', Olayinka P. ↓, Milson ↑,
- 72', Kozubal A. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
- 72', Szymczak F. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
- 79', Palma L. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
- 80', Milson 🟨,
- 80', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
- 81', Krunic R. 🟨,
- 86', Ndiaye C. ↓, Katai A. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Ishak M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
63.9% | Draw
21.7% | Lech Poznań
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.62) |
4.45 ↑
(4.3) |
6.89 ↑
(5.21) |
3.1%
(4.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win
(52 of 61 users predict this - 85.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.35% – 94.15%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (14 of 18 users predict this - 77.78%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
- Crvena Zvezda has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Lech is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Lech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Crvena Zvezda is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Crvena Zvezda will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Crvena Zvezda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Crvena Zvezda Belgrade won against Lech Poznań?
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
Lech Poznań has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań were as follows:
06.08.2025
Lech Poznań
-
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
1:3
Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Draw
Qualification1/8-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 2 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
| 5 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Qarabag | |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 10 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
| 13 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 15 | Pafos | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 17 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 25 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 29 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 30 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 32 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Basel | Bye | |
| 37 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 38 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 39 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
| 40 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 41 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 45 | Nice | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 49 | Rangers | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
| 51 | Plzen | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Servette | |
| 53 | Brann | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Salzburg | |
| 56 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 13 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 15 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 17 | Basel | Bye | |
| 19 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 20 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 23 | Nice | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 25 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Shkendija | Qarabag | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 7 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 8 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Basel | Bye | |
| 10 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | 0 : 5, 0 : 0 |
| 11 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | 2 : 5, 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nice | Benfica | 0 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rangers | Plzen | 1 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ferencvaros | Qarabag | 3 : 2, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | Pafos | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | Sturm Graz | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Celtic | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Basel | FC Copenhagen | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | Benfica | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 7 | Rangers | Club Brugge KV | 0 : 6, 1 : 3 |
