Crvena Zvezda Belgrade vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań
Result
1:1
12/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
polandPolandTVP 2, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, SportKlub 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
10
Total shots
811
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
11
Corner Kicks
33
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1513
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
1115
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Veljkovic M. 🟨,
  • 8', Gumny R. , Szymczak F. ,
  • 22', Bruno Duarte 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Ndiaye C. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Thordarson G. , Ouma T. ,
  • 57', Rodrigo 🟥,
  • 58', Bruno Duarte , Milosavljevic V. ,
  • 72', Babicka S. , Lucic V. ,
  • 72', Olayinka P. , Milson ,
  • 72', Kozubal A. , Rodriguez P. ,
  • 72', Szymczak F. , Fiabema B. ,
  • 79', Palma L. , Lisman K. ,
  • 80', Milson 🟨,
  • 80', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
  • 81', Krunic R. 🟨,
  • 86', Ndiaye C. , Katai A. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Ishak M. ,

Chances of winning


Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
63.9%
Draw
21.7%
Lech Poznań
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 22.3% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 21.5% 17.7%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.51
(1.62)
4.45
(4.3)
6.89
(5.21)
3.1%
(4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (52 of 61 users predict this - 85.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.35%94.15%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (14 of 18 users predict this - 77.78%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
    • Crvena Zvezda has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Lech is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Crvena Zvezda is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Crvena Zvezda will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Crvena Zvezda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    06.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:3
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG330013:3109
    2Bayern Munich330012:2109
    3Inter33009:099
    4Arsenal33008:089
    5Real Madrid33008:179
    6Dortmund321012:757
    7Manchester City32106:247
    8Newcastle32018:266
    9Barcelona32019:456
    10Liverpool32018:446
    11Chelsea32017:436
    12Sporting CP32017:436
    13Qarabag32016:516
    14Galatasaray32015:6-16
    15Tottenham31203:215
    16PSV31118:624
    17Atalanta31112:5-34
    18Marseille31026:423
    19Atl. Madrid31027:8-13
    20Club Brugge KV31025:7-23
    21Ath Bilbao31024:7-33
    22Eintracht Frankfurt31027:11-43
    23Napoli31024:9-53
    24Royale Union SG31023:9-63
    25Juventus30216:7-12
    26Bodo/Glimt30215:7-22
    27Monaco30213:6-32
    28Slavia Prague30212:5-32
    29Pafos30211:5-42
    30Bayer Leverkusen30215:10-52
    31Villarreal30122:5-31
    32FC Copenhagen30124:8-41
    33Olympiacos Piraeus30121:8-71
    34Kairat Almaty30121:9-81
    35Benfica30032:7-50
    36Ajax30031:11-100

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