Result
1:1
12/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1 |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Poland | TVP 2, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, SportKlub 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', Veljkovic M. 🟨,
- 8', Gumny R. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
- 22', Bruno Duarte 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Ndiaye C. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Thordarson G. ↓, Ouma T. ↑,
- 57', Rodrigo 🟥,
- 58', Bruno Duarte ↓, Milosavljevic V. ↑,
- 72', Babicka S. ↓, Lucic V. ↑,
- 72', Olayinka P. ↓, Milson ↑,
- 72', Kozubal A. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
- 72', Szymczak F. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
- 79', Palma L. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
- 80', Milson 🟨,
- 80', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
- 81', Krunic R. 🟨,
- 86', Ndiaye C. ↓, Katai A. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Ishak M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
63.9% | Draw
21.7% | Lech Poznań
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.62) |
4.45 ↑
(4.3) |
6.89 ↑
(5.21) |
3.1%
(4.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.25 - Crvena Zvezda (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Crvena Zvezda (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Crvena Zvezda (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- DC - Lech (2.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 - Lech (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win
(52 of 61 users predict this - 85.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.35% – 94.15%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (33 of 38 users predict this - 86.84%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 43 high ROI users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 36 - 83.7%). Lech (votes: 3 - 7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 9.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
- Crvena Zvezda has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Lech is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Lech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Crvena Zvezda is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Crvena Zvezda will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Crvena Zvezda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Crvena Zvezda Belgrade won against Lech Poznań?
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
Lech Poznań has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań were as follows:
06.08.2025
Lech Poznań
-
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
1:3
Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | 3 : 0, 5 : 2 |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | 2 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | 1 : 4, 1 : 6 |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | 2 : 7, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | 0 : 5, 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Liverpool (3) | |
| 2 | Real Madrid (9) | Bayern Munich (2) | |
| 3 | Barcelona (5) | Atl. Madrid (14) | |
| 4 | Sporting CP (7) | Arsenal (1) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
