Korona Kielce vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Exbud Arena (Kielce).

Ekstraklasa - Round 22
Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.35	2.01
Ball possession
42%	58%
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
1	4
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
1	5
Passes
82% (305/372)	84% (435/519)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.35	2.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.10	2.23
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
1	4
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked shots
3	2
Shots inside the box
4	7
Shots outside the box
4	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
1	5
Touches in opposition box
8	26
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
16	12
Passes
82% (305/372)	84% (435/519)
Long passes
38% (20/53)	39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
65% (47/72)	72% (127/177)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	0% (0/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.45	1.94
Throw ins
18	19
Fouls
12	16
Tackles
54% (7/13)	78% (14/18)
Duels won
47	47
Clearances
26	24
Interceptions
8	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	0
xGOT faced
2.23	0.10
Goals prevented
0.23	-0.90

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Gholizadeh A. ⚽, Bengtsson L. (A),
45+1', 0 - 2, Milic A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jagiello F. ↓, Walemark P. ↑,
51', Smolarczyk B. 🟨,
54', 1 - 2, Stepinski M. ⚽, Dlugosz W. (A),
64', Remacle M. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
64', Bengtsson L. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
70', Cebula M. ↓, Niski N. ↑,
80', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Ismaheel T. ↑,
80', Rodriguez P. ↓, Ouma T. ↑,
83', Antonin ↓, Nono ↑,
86', Ouma T. 🟨,
90+6', Walemark P. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Korona Kielce
35%

Draw
27.2%

Lech Poznań
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

29.2%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Korona Kielce's performance.

Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (3.16)	3.42 ↑ (3.06)	2.5 ↑ (2.1)	7% (11.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 26.7% – 80.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lech (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 1.
Korona is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Lech has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Korona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Korona: Resta P. (Injury)
There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A. (Injury) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Lisman K. (Inactive) Murawski R. (Surgery)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Korona won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Lech Poznań?

Korona Kielce has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Korona Kielce?

Lech Poznań has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań were as follows:

16.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce 1:1

05.04.2025 Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce 2:0

29.09.2024 Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań 2:3

25.05.2024 Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce 1:2

02.12.2023 Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań 0:1

Latest results of Korona Kielce

13.02.2026 Radomiak Radom - Korona Kielce 0:2 ✺

06.02.2026 Korona Kielce - Zagłębie Lubin 1:2 ✺

01.02.2026 Legia Warsaw - Korona Kielce 1:2 ✺

23.01.2026 Korona Kielce - Vojvodina Canceled ✺

20.01.2026 Korona Kielce - Dynamo Kyiv 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Lech Poznań

19.02.2026 KuPS Kuopio - Lech Poznań 0:2 ✺

15.02.2026 Lech Poznań - Piast Gliwice 3:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań 0:1 ✺

03.02.2026 Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań 1:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk 1:3 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	26	12	8	6	46:37	9	44
2	Zaglebie	26	11	8	7	40:30	10	41
3	Jagiellonia	26	11	8	7	43:34	9	41
4	Gornik Zabrze	26	11	6	9	36:32	4	39
5	Wisla Plock	26	10	9	7	28:25	3	39
6	Rakow	26	11	5	10	35:33	2	38
7	Motor Lublin	26	9	10	7	35:38	-3	37
8	Korona Kielce	26	10	6	10	33:29	4	36
9	Cracovia	26	9	9	8	31:28	3	36
10	GKS Katowice	26	11	3	12	35:35	0	36
11	Piast Gliwice	26	10	5	11	32:33	-1	35
12	Lechia Gdansk	26	11	6	9	51:48	3	34
13	Pogon Szczecin	26	10	4	12	36:40	-4	34
14	Radomiak Radom	26	8	9	9	42:40	2	33
15	Legia	26	6	12	8	30:31	-1	30
16	Arka Gdynia	26	8	6	12	25:44	-19	30
17	Widzew Lodz	26	8	5	13	31:34	-3	29
18	Termalica B-B	26	5	7	14	30:48	-18	22

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      Relegation ~ Division 1