Result
3:0
15/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 21
- Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (354/433) | 83% (383/464) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (354/433) | 83% (383/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (18/40) | 34% (16/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (88/115) | 72% (89/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 47% (8/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.90 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 2.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.59 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Gholizadeh A. ⚽,
- 13', 2 - 0, Rodriguez P. ⚽, Gholizadeh A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
- 51', Juande 🟨,
- 62', Bengtsson L. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
- 63', Rodriguez P. ↓, Ouma T. ↑,
- 63', Jagiello F. ↓, Walemark P. ↑,
- 63', Vallejo H. ↓, Sanca L. ↑,
- 71', Lesniak O. ↓, Lima I. ↑,
- 76', Barkovskiy G. ↓, Dalmau A. ↑,
- 76', Felix J. ↓, Katsantonis A. ↑,
- 76', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Ismaheel T. ↑,
- 86', Chrapek M. 🟨,
- 90', 3 - 0, Agnero Y. ⚽, Gurgul M. (A),
- 90+1', Gurgul M. ↓, Moutinho J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lech Poznań
54.5% | Draw
25.3% | Piast Gliwice
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Lech Poznań - Piast Gliwice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.65) |
3.69 ↑
(3.6) |
4.68 ↑
(4.2) |
6.5%
(12.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Piast Gliwice?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Piast will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Piast (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Piast (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 2 - 50%). Piast (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 2.
- Piast has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Piast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lech is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Lech: Hakans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Ishak M.
(Yellow Cards)
Lisman K.
(Inactive)
Murawski R.
(Surgery)
- There will not play in Piast: Boisgard Q.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Piast Gliwice?
Lech Poznań has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Lech Poznań?
Piast Gliwice has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Piast Gliwice were as follows:
03.02.2026
Piast Gliwice
-
Lech Poznań
1:0
03.12.2025
Piast Gliwice
-
Lech Poznań
0:2
24.05.2025
Lech Poznań
-
Piast Gliwice
1:0
29.11.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Lech Poznań
0:0
29.06.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Lech Poznań
1:0
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zaglebie | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 41 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:32 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:36 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 38 |
| 5 | Rakow | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Motor Lublin | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 41:37 | 4 | 33 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 49:47 | 2 | 31 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 25:41 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Legia | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 29 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 28 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
