Result
1:0
03/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 2.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (277/355) | 77% (299/390) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 2.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 44 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (277/355) | 77% (299/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (29/59) | 44% (27/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (76/113) | 70% (82/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 32% (9/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.18 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Boisgard Q. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
- 28', Dziczek P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 35', Gholizadeh A. 🟨,
- 45', Milic A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Chrapek M. ↓, Tomasiewicz G. ↑,
- 61', Sanca L. ↓, Vallejo H. ↑,
- 61', Palma L. ↓, Jagiello F. ↑,
- 61', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Walemark P. ↑,
- 62', Bengtsson L. ↓, Ismaheel T. ↑,
- 76', Lesniak O. ↓, Katsantonis A. ↑,
- 76', Twumasi E. ↓, Borowski F. ↑,
- 79', Rodriguez P. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
- 81', Gumny R. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 0, Katsantonis A. ⚽, Felix J. (A),
- 90', Dziczek P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Piast Gliwice
30.7% | Draw
29.1% | Lech Poznań
40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↓
(3.15) |
3.23 ↓
(3.39) |
2.34 ↑
(2.25) |
6.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Lech (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to european competitions.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 2.
- Piast is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lech is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Lech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Lech might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Piast: Dalmau A.
(Injury)
Katsantonis A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lech: Baranski B.
(Muscle Injury)
Hakans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Jagiello F.
(Injury)
Murawski R.
(Leg Injury)
Sousa A.
(Inactive)
Walemark P.
(Surgery)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Piast won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:27. (average 0.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Piast won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Lech Poznań?
Piast Gliwice has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Piast Gliwice?
Lech Poznań has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań were as follows:
03.12.2025
Piast Gliwice
-
Lech Poznań
0:2
24.05.2025
Lech Poznań
-
Piast Gliwice
1:0
29.11.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Lech Poznań
0:0
29.06.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Lech Poznań
1:0
10.12.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Piast Gliwice
0:1
Latest results of Piast Gliwice
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 33 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 33 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Cracovia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 26:21 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Rakow | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 27:25 | 2 | 29 |
| 6 | Zaglebie | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 31:26 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Korona Kielce | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 23:20 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 35:30 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 30:30 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | Motor Lublin | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 40:38 | 2 | 23 |
| 12 | Piast Gliwice | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
| 13 | GKS Katowice | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 23 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 29:34 | -5 | 21 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 15:32 | -17 | 21 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 27:31 | -4 | 20 |
| 17 | Legia | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 20:23 | -3 | 19 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 24:36 | -12 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
