Lech Poznań vs Puszcza Niepołomice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
8:1
03/05/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 31
  • Referee: Stefanski D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.910.87
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
89
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
90% (532/591)79% (226/286)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.910.87
xG on target (xGOT)
5.192.68
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
89
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
2214
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
85
Passes
90% (532/591)79% (226/286)
Long passes
65% (13/20)51% (25/49)
Passes in final third
81% (128/158)62% (53/86)
Crosses
18% (2/11)38% (8/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.79
Throw-ins
1416
Fouls
58
Tackles
75% (6/8)80% (8/10)
Duels won
3428
Clearances
2315
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
80
xGOT faced
2.685.19
Goals prevented
1.68-2.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (5 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Gholizadeh A. , Pereira J. (A),
  • 14', 2 - 0, Gholizadeh A. , Pereira J. (A),
  • 16', 3 - 0, Ishak M. , Gholizadeh A. (A),
  • 21', 3 - 1, Atanasov J. , Craciun A. (A),
  • 32', 4 - 1, Sousa A. , Hakans D. (A),
  • 35', 5 - 1, Sousa A. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Craciun A. , Solowiej L. ,
  • 46', Stepien M. , Radecki M. ,
  • 46', Abramowicz D. , Yakuba R. ,
  • 56', 6 - 1, Ishak M. ,
  • 61', Gholizadeh A. , Hotic D. ,
  • 61', Kozubal A. , Lisman K. ,
  • 64', 7 - 1, Lisman K. , Hakans D. (A),
  • 67', Atanasov J. , Stec J. ,
  • 67', Serafin J. , Blagaic J. ,
  • 69', Sousa A. , Dudek S. ,
  • 69', Ishak M. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 79', Hakans D. , Fiabema B. ,
  • 82', 8 - 1, Hotic D. , Milic A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lech Poznań
73.7%
Draw
16.4%
Puszcza Niepołomice
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.6% 16.5% 9.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • The chances for Puszcza Niepołomice have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Lech Poznań - Puszcza Niepołomice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.27)
    5.77
    (5.67)
    9.55
    (9.46)
    6.2%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Puszcza Niepołomice?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Puszcza will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 62.2%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 50%). Puszcza (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Lech (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lech (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Puszcza (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
    • Lech is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Puszcza is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Puszcza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Puszcza has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Lech is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Lech: Dagerstal F. (Ankle Injury) Douglas A. (Inactive) Thordarson G. (Broken collarbone)
    • There will not play in Puszcza: Barkovsky G. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lech won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lech won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Puszcza Niepołomice were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Puszcza Niepołomice - Lech Poznań 2:0
    13.04.2024 Puszcza Niepołomice - Lech Poznań 2:1
    06.10.2023 Lech Poznań - Puszcza Niepołomice 4:1
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan311510656:411555
    2Gornik Zabrze30147943:34949
    3GKS Katowice311451248:42647
    4Jagiellonia301210848:371146
    5Rakow301371043:37646
    6Zaglebie311291043:36745
    7Wisla Plock311291032:31145
    8Radomiak Radom3111101049:44543
    9Pogon Szczecin311251443:45-241
    10Piast Gliwice311171340:41-140
    11Legia31913935:36-140
    12Korona Kielce311091238:37139
    13Cracovia319121035:38-339
    14Motor Lublin319121039:46-739
    15Lechia Gdansk311271258:57138
    16Widzew Lodz311061536:38-236
    17Arka Gdynia30971431:54-2334
    18Termalica B-B31771737:60-2328

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1