Spartak Trnava vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
17/08/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS
  • Referee: Grado C. S. (Esp)

Chances of winning


Spartak Trnava
28.1%
Draw
27.1%
Lech Poznań
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.4% 27.2% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3% 27.1% 46.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spartak Trnava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Spartak Trnava - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (3.6)
    3.44
    (3.5)
    2.1
    (2.05)
    6.4%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Spartak Trnava - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: Lech Poznań will win (33 of 36 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.64%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Recent matches Trnava is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lech is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Lech will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Trnava won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Trnava - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    10.08.2023 Lech Poznań - Spartak Trnava 2:1
    Latest results of Spartak Trnava
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)4 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)2 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)2 : 0, 0 : 4
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)AZ Alkmaar (14)
    2Crystal Palace (10)Fiorentina (15)
    3Rayo Vallecano (5)AEK Athens (3)
    4Mainz (7)Strasbourg (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2