Lechia Gdańsk vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Polsat Plus Arena (Gdansk).

Ekstraklasa - Round 24
Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Strike, Strike
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
World	Sport 1 Baltic

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.04	0.88
Ball possession
36%	64%
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
7	2
Big chances
4	0
Corner kicks
2	9
Passes
72% (218/301)	81% (417/517)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
2.04	0.88
xG on target (xGOT)
2.31	0.31
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked shots
1	4
Shots inside the box
6	8
Shots outside the box
4	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
4	0
Corner kicks
2	9
Touches in opposition box
13	24
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	2
Free kicks
8	10
Passes
72% (218/301)	81% (417/517)
Long passes
33% (19/57)	47% (28/60)
Passes in final third
65% (59/91)	59% (81/138)
Crosses
14% (1/7)	38% (10/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.98	1.10
Throw ins
17	28
Fouls
10	8
Tackles
53% (10/19)	71% (5/7)
Duels won
49	42
Clearances
37	20
Interceptions
8	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.31	2.31
Goals prevented
0.31	-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Kapic R. ⚽, Zhelizko I. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Konstantopoulos A. 🟨,
62', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Nahuel M. ↑,
62', Wdowik B. ↓, Montoia G. ↑,
64', Vojtko M. 🟨,
73', Pululu A. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
74', Mena C. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Cirkovic A. ⚽, Dyachuk M. (A),
88', Mazurek B. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
89', Sezonienko K. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑,
90+2', Sylla Y. 🟨,
90+4', Wojtowicz T. ↓, Kludka B. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 0, Cirkovic A. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Lechia Gdańsk
39.6%

Draw
26.1%

Jagiellonia Białystok
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

27.9%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

27.2%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lechia Gdańsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+4%)

Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.57)	3.57 ↑ (3.2)	2.71 ↑ (2.39)	6.9% (12%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 16.3% – 56.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Jagiellonia Białystok?

Lechia Gdańsk has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Lechia Gdańsk?

Jagiellonia Białystok has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:

31.08.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Lechia Gdańsk 2:0

29.03.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:0

21.09.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Lechia Gdańsk 3:2

10.04.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Lechia Gdańsk 1:0

17.09.2022 Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:2

Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk

27.02.2026 Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk 2:2 ✺

23.02.2026 Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Lubin 0:2 ✺

15.02.2026 Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk 2:3 ✺

06.02.2026 Lechia Gdańsk - Cracovia 1:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok

01.03.2026 Jagiellonia Białystok - Legia Warsaw 2:2 ✺

26.02.2026 Fiorentina - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:4 ✺

22.02.2026 Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom 1:1 ✺

19.02.2026 Jagiellonia Białystok - Fiorentina 0:3 ✺

14.02.2026 Cracovia - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:0 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	26	12	8	6	46:37	9	44
2	Zaglebie	26	11	8	7	40:30	10	41
3	Jagiellonia	26	11	8	7	43:34	9	41
4	Gornik Zabrze	26	11	6	9	36:32	4	39
5	Wisla Plock	26	10	9	7	28:25	3	39
6	Rakow	26	11	5	10	35:33	2	38
7	Motor Lublin	26	9	10	7	35:38	-3	37
8	Korona Kielce	26	10	6	10	33:29	4	36
9	Cracovia	26	9	9	8	31:28	3	36
10	GKS Katowice	26	11	3	12	35:35	0	36
11	Piast Gliwice	26	10	5	11	32:33	-1	35
12	Lechia Gdansk	26	11	6	9	51:48	3	34
13	Pogon Szczecin	26	10	4	12	36:40	-4	34
14	Radomiak Radom	26	8	9	9	42:40	2	33
15	Legia	26	6	12	8	30:31	-1	30
16	Arka Gdynia	26	8	6	12	25:44	-19	30
17	Widzew Lodz	26	8	5	13	31:34	-3	29
18	Termalica B-B	26	5	7	14	30:48	-18	22

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1