Result
06/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Lechia Gdańsk 37% | Draw 26.4% | Jagiellonia Białystok 36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.5 ↓ (2.57) |
3.52 ↑ (3.2) |
2.53 ↑ (2.39) |
7.9% (12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Jagiellonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
31.08.2025
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Lechia Gdańsk
2:0
29.03.2025
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:0
21.09.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Lechia Gdańsk
3:2
10.04.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:0
17.09.2022
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:2
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 40:34 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 37:34 | 3 | 29 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:45 | 1 | 28 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Legia | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29:33 | -4 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1