Result
2:0
31/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 7
- Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Canada | beIN Connect |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2 |
Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV |
Ukraine | Sport 2 |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.99 | 0.92 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
80% (316/397) | 77% (277/361) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.99 | 0.92 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.48 | 1.07 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
20 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
80% (316/397) | 77% (277/361) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (18/43) | 44% (22/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (73/100) | 65% (63/97) |
Crosses |
---|
54% (7/13) | 26% (5/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.27 | 0.50 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 20 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (4/8) | 50% (8/16) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 49 |
Clearances |
---|
30 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.07 | 1.48 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.07 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Rallis D. ⚽, Wojtuszek N. (A),
- 43', 2 - 0, Imaz J. ⚽, Pozo A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
- 55', Pietuszewski O. 🟨,
- 57', Viunnyk B. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
- 57', Sezonienko K. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
- 60', Rallis D. ↓, Pululu A. ↑,
- 60', Romanczuk T. ↓, Flach L. ↑,
- 62', Zhelizko I. 🟨,
- 69', Olsson E. 🟨,
- 71', Drachal D. 🟨,
- 77', Imaz J. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
- 77', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
- 84', Vital B. 🟨,
- 85', Bobcek T. 🟨,
- 86', Kapic R. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑,
- 89', Pozo A. ↓, Polak C. ↑,
- 90+1', Awad M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok 55% | Draw 23.3% | Lechia Gdańsk 21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Lechia Gdańsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↓ (1.82) |
4.02 ↑ (3.65) |
4.33 ↑ (3.9) |
6.4% (8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Lechia Gdańsk?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Jagiellonia Białystok will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 3.
- Jagiellonia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lechia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lechia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Jagiellonia is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Lechia: Sarnavskyi B.
(Knee Injury)
Tsarenko A.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Lechia: Pllana B.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Jagiellonia will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
29.03.2025
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:0
21.09.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Lechia Gdańsk
3:2
10.04.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:0
17.09.2022
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:2
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Wisla Plock | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
2 | Cracovia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
3 | Gornik Zabrze | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
4 | Jagiellonia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
5 | Korona Kielce | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
6 | Lech Poznan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
7 | Pogon Szczecin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
8 | Radomiak Radom | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
9 | Termalica B-B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
10 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
11 | Arka Gdynia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
12 | Legia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
13 | Widzew Lodz | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
14 | GKS Katowice | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
15 | Zaglebie | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 6 |
16 | Rakow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1