Result
1:0
29/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 26
- Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (256/342) | 80% (337/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 50 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (256/342) | 80% (337/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (23/64) | 53% (23/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (57/93) | 69% (105/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 28% (8/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.41 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 63 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 46 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Pila D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', Hansen K. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
- 63', Kubicki J. ↓, Flach L. ↑,
- 63', Pululu A. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Viunnyk B. ⚽, Pllana B. (A),
- 79', Stojinovic D. ↓, Wojtuszek N. ↑,
- 82', Mena C. ↓, Wojtowicz T. ↑,
- 84', Churlinov D. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
- 85', Neugebauer T. ↓, Tsarenko A. ↑,
- 90+3', Kalahur M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lechia Gdańsk
31% | Draw
27.1% | Jagiellonia Białystok
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.01 ↑
(2.96) |
3.47 ↓
(3.49) |
2.24 ↓
(2.26) |
6.7%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
Jagiellonia Białystok will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lechia won 1.
- Lechia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Jagiellonia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Lechia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Jagiellonia will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Dieguez A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lechia: Brylowski B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Stojinovic D.
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lechia won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 32:28 (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lechia won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:12 (average 2.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
21.09.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Lechia Gdańsk
3:2
10.04.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:0
17.09.2022
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:2
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Radomiak Radom | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Termalica B-B | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Legia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Rakow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Zaglebie | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 5 |
| 13 | Korona Kielce | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:17 | -6 | -3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
