Lechia Gdańsk vs Motor Lublin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
11/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 4
  • Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.940.65
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
73% (247/339)77% (230/299)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.940.65
xG on target (xGOT)
3.361.95
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
158
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
3624
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
73% (247/339)77% (230/299)
Long passes
41% (19/46)37% (16/43)
Passes in final third
68% (113/166)66% (69/104)
Crosses
50% (8/16)33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.50
Throw-ins
2919
Fouls
1112
Tackles
57% (12/21)64% (7/11)
Duels won
6549
Clearances
3735
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.953.36
Goals prevented
-1.050.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Viunnyk B. , Bobcek T. (A),
  • 38', 1 - 1, Czubak K. , Palacz K. (A),
  • 41', 1 - 2, Rodrigues I. , Czubak K. (A),
  • 45+1', 2 - 2, Bobcek T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Palacz K. , Luberecki F. ,
  • 51', Rodrigues I. 🟨,
  • 52', Zhelizko I. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 3, Wolski B. ,
  • 59', Viunnyk B. , Neugebauer T. ,
  • 62', Ndiaye M. , Haxha F. ,
  • 68', Rodrigues I. , Scalet M. ,
  • 69', Sezonienko K. , Awad M. ,
  • 69', Kapic R. , Kurminowski D. ,
  • 76', Bobcek T. , Glogowski M. ,
  • 79', 3 - 3, Mena C. , Jaunzems A. (A),
  • 80', Wojcik F. , Stolarski P. ,
  • 80', Czubak K. , Dadashov R. ,
  • 82', Awad M. 🟨,
  • 84', Ede B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lechia Gdańsk
45.5%
Draw
26.1%
Motor Lublin
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 29.2% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 29.6% 28.7%

Lechia Gdańsk - Motor Lublin Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.09
(2.22)
3.66
(3.18)
3.45
(3.19)
4.1%
(8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Motor Lublin?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Motor will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 21.5%71.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lechia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Motor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lechia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Motor has had a series of home games.
    • Lechia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Lechia: Sarnavskyi B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Motor: Bartos M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Motor Lublin were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk 5:3
    01.02.2025 Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk 1:1
    26.07.2024 Lechia Gdańsk - Motor Lublin 0:2
    16.12.2023 Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk 1:0
    28.07.2023 Lechia Gdańsk - Motor Lublin 0:1
    Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
    Latest results of Motor Lublin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock1989223:131033
    2Gornik Zabrze19103631:25633
    3Jagiellonia1895432:221032
    4Cracovia1986526:21530
    5Rakow1992827:25229
    6Zaglebie1977531:26528
    7Korona Kielce1976623:20327
    8Radomiak Radom1875635:30526
    9Lech Poznan1968530:30026
    10Motor Lublin1959525:29-424
    11Lechia Gdansk1984740:38223
    12Piast Gliwice1965821:21023
    13GKS Katowice1872925:28-323
    14Pogon Szczecin19631029:34-521
    15Arka Gdynia1863915:32-1721
    16Widzew Lodz19621127:31-420
    17Legia1947820:23-319
    18Termalica B-B19541024:36-1219

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          Relegation ~ Division 1