Aston Villa vs Leeds United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 27
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
bangladeshBangladeshToffee Live
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
boliviaBoliviaESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, FuboTV
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 7, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
germanyGermanySky Sport Premier League
greeceGreeceNova Sports 5
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 2
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
irelandIrelandPremier Sports 1 ROI
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 7, Sky Sport Premier League
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
pakistanPakistanARY ZAP
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 4
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandCanal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFubo Sports Network, NBCSN, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldSport 24

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.401.36
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
44
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
72
Passes
85% (435/513)70% (176/251)
Yellow cards
14
Expected goals (xG)
1.401.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.501.11
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
76
Blocked shots
54
Shots inside the box
68
Shots outside the box
106
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
45
Free kicks
1611
Passes
85% (435/513)70% (176/251)
Long passes
44% (16/36)34% (15/44)
Passes in final third
77% (158/206)51% (37/72)
Crosses
25% (7/28)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.230.71
Throw ins
2316
Fouls
1116
Tackles
57% (8/14)59% (13/22)
Duels won
6053
Clearances
2040
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
1.111.50
Goals prevented
0.110.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Stach A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gudmundsson G. , Bijol J. ,
  • 61', Bailey L. , Sancho J. ,
  • 61', Onana A. , Barkley R. ,
  • 62', Bijol J. 🟨,
  • 69', Darlow K. 🟨,
  • 73', Buendia E. 🟨,
  • 73', Aaronson B. , Nmecha L. ,
  • 75', Buendia E. , Abraham T. ,
  • 79', Bogle J. 🟨,
  • 83', Stach A. , Longstaff S. ,
  • 87', Douglas Luiz , Bogarde L. ,
  • 87', Cash M. , Garcia A. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Abraham T. ,
  • 90+2', Gruev I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
52.1%
Draw
26%
Leeds United
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 25.3% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 25% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Aston Villa - Leeds United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.79)
    3.69
    (3.79)
    4.36
    (4.55)
    4.4%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Leeds United?
  • Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 56 - 78.9%). Leeds will win (votes: 6 - 8.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 12.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 69.4%88.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Leeds (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Aston Villa (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Leeds (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aston Villa will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 25 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 20 - 80%). Leeds (votes: 2 - 8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Leeds may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Aston Villa is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Bizot M. (Red Card) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) McGinn J. (Knee Injury) Tielemans Y. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Leeds: Okafor N. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Alysson (Knock) Garcia A. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Leeds United were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Leeds United - Aston Villa 1:2
    13.01.2023 Aston Villa - Leeds United 2:1
    02.10.2022 Leeds United - Aston Villa 0:0
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    Latest results of Leeds United
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal29197358:223664
    2Manchester City28185557:253259
    3Manchester Utd28149550:381251
    4Aston Villa28156738:30851
    5Liverpool28146847:371048
    6Chelsea28129749:331645
    7Brentford281341144:40443
    8Everton281171032:33-140
    9Fulham281241240:42-240
    10Bournemouth28912744:46-239
    11Brighton28910938:35337
    12Sunderland28910929:34-537
    13Newcastle281061240:42-236
    14Crystal Palace28981130:34-435
    15Leeds287101137:47-1031
    16Tottenham28781338:43-529
    17Nottingham28761526:41-1527
    18West Ham28671534:54-2025
    19Burnley28471732:56-2419
    20Wolves29272020:51-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship