Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 40
- Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | DStv Now, ESPN 1, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Variety 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6 |
Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay, Vodafone Sport |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Ireland | NOW |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Kenya | Gotv |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Nigeria | SuperSport Football Plus |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Viaplay |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2 |
Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-africa | SuperSport ESPN, SuperSport Variety 2, SuperSport Variety 3 |
South-america | ESPN 5 South |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
Turkey | Exxen |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports 1, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.82 | 1.03 |
Ball Possession |
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34% | 66% |
Total shots |
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8 | 8 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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0 | 5 |
Passes |
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61% (140/231) | 81% (370/459) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.82 | 1.03 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.24 | 0.91 |
Total shots |
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8 | 8 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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1 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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2 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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6 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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0 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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24 | 24 |
Through passes |
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0% (0/1) | 67% (2/3) |
Offsides |
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2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 15 |
Passes |
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61% (140/231) | 81% (370/459) |
Long passes |
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36% (19/53) | 36% (22/61) |
Passes in final third |
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51% (61/119) | 70% (87/124) |
Crosses |
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26% (5/19) | 27% (6/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.85 | 1.04 |
Fouls |
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15 | 13 |
Tackles |
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35% (8/23) | 68% (17/25) |
Duels won |
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72 | 79 |
Clearances Total |
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52 | 67 |
Interceptions |
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3 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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0.91 | 1.24 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.09 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Jones I. ⚽, Clark J. (A),
- 22', Jones I. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 1, James D. ⚽,
- 40', Bogle J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Adebayo E. ↓, Chong T. ↑,
- 59', Solomon M. 🟨,
- 63', Gnonto W. ↓, Bamford P. ↑,
- 77', Jones I. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
- 77', Doughty A. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
- 78', Walsh L. ↓, Dabo L. ↑,
- 79', Piroe J. ↓, Aaronson B. ↑,
- 86', Struijk P. ↓, Wober M. ↑,
- 87', Solomon M. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
- 87', Bogle J. ↓, Byram S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Luton Town 17.4% | Draw 23.3% | Leeds United 59.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leeds United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Luton Town - Leeds United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.56 ↓ (5.59) |
4.08 ↓ (4.2) |
1.6 ↑ (1.55) |
4.9% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Leeds United?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Leeds will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 52.1% – 90.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leeds (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- Luton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Leeds is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Leeds is a favorite.
- There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S.
(Muscle Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Groin Injury)
Nakamba M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Leeds: Bamford P.
(Hamstring Injury)
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Luton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Leeds United?
Luton Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leeds United won against Luton Town?
Leeds United has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Leeds United were as follows:
27.11.2024
Leeds United
-
Luton Town
3:0
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Leeds United
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Blackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Derby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Charlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Norwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Preston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | QPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Sheffield Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Stoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | West Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Swansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Oxford Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One