Luton Town vs Leeds United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 40
  • Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, ESPN 1, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Variety 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kenyaKenyaGotv
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport ESPN, SuperSport Variety 2, SuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
turkeyTurkeyExxen
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports 1, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.03
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
05
Passes
61% (140/231)81% (370/459)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.91
Total shots
88
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
11
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
27
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
05
Touches in opposition box
2424
Through passes
0% (0/1)67% (2/3)
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
61% (140/231)81% (370/459)
Long passes
36% (19/53)36% (22/61)
Passes in final third
51% (61/119)70% (87/124)
Crosses
26% (5/19)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.04
Fouls
1513
Tackles
35% (8/23)68% (17/25)
Duels won
7279
Clearances Total
5267
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.911.24
Goals prevented
-0.090.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Jones I. , Clark J. (A),
  • 22', Jones I. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 1, James D. ,
  • 40', Bogle J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Adebayo E. , Chong T. ,
  • 59', Solomon M. 🟨,
  • 63', Gnonto W. , Bamford P. ,
  • 77', Jones I. , Alli M. ,
  • 77', Doughty A. , Nordas L. ,
  • 78', Walsh L. , Dabo L. ,
  • 79', Piroe J. , Aaronson B. ,
  • 86', Struijk P. , Wober M. ,
  • 87', Solomon M. , Schmidt I. ,
  • 87', Bogle J. , Byram S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
17.4%
Draw
23.3%
Leeds United
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.8% 22.4% 60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3% 24.6% 66.8%

Luton Town - Leeds United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
5.56
(5.59)
4.08
(4.2)
1.6
(1.55)
4.9%
(6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Leeds United?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Leeds will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 52.1%90.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leeds (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • Luton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Leeds is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Leeds is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S. (Muscle Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury) Nakamba M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leeds: Bamford P. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Luton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.5:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Leeds United were as follows:
    27.11.2024 Leeds United - Luton Town 3:0
    Latest results of Luton Town
    29.03.2025 Hull City - Luton Town 0:1
    15.03.2025 Luton Town - Middlesbrough 0:0
    11.03.2025 Cardiff City - Luton Town 1:2
    08.03.2025 Burnley - Luton Town 4:0
    01.03.2025 Luton Town - Portsmouth 1:0
    Latest results of Leeds United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry26157457:292852
    2Middlesbrough26137637:261146
    3Ipswich25128542:241844
    4Preston261110536:251143
    5Millwall26127729:33-443
    6Watford25118637:29841
    7Hull25125840:38241
    8Stoke261241032:23940
    9Wrexham261010638:32640
    10Bristol City26116938:29939
    11QPR261151038:39-138
    12Leicester26107937:38-137
    13Derby2698935:35035
    14Birmingham26971035:36-134
    15Southampton2689938:38033
    16Sheffield Utd251021336:38-232
    17Swansea26951227:33-632
    18West Brom26941329:35-631
    19Charlton25781025:32-729
    20Blackburn25771124:30-628
    21Portsmouth24671121:35-1425
    22Norwich26661428:39-1124
    23Oxford Utd25571325:35-1022
    24Sheffield Wed25181618:51-33-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One