Luton Town vs Leeds United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Luton Town - Leeds United
Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 40
  • Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, ESPN 1, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Variety 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kenyaKenyaGotv
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport ESPN, SuperSport Variety 2, SuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
turkeyTurkeyExxen
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports 1, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.03
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
05
Passes
61% (140/231)81% (370/459)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.91
Total shots
88
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
11
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
27
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
05
Touches in opposition box
2424
Through passes
0% (0/1)67% (2/3)
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
61% (140/231)81% (370/459)
Long passes
36% (19/53)36% (22/61)
Passes in final third
51% (61/119)70% (87/124)
Crosses
26% (5/19)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.04
Fouls
1513
Tackles
35% (8/23)68% (17/25)
Duels won
7279
Clearances Total
5267
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.911.24
Goals prevented
-0.090.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Jones I. , Clark J. (A),
  • 22', Jones I. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 1, James D. ,
  • 40', Bogle J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Adebayo E. , Chong T. ,
  • 59', Solomon M. 🟨,
  • 63', Gnonto W. , Bamford P. ,
  • 77', Jones I. , Alli M. ,
  • 77', Doughty A. , Nordas L. ,
  • 78', Walsh L. , Dabo L. ,
  • 79', Piroe J. , Aaronson B. ,
  • 86', Struijk P. , Wober M. ,
  • 87', Solomon M. , Schmidt I. ,
  • 87', Bogle J. , Byram S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
17.4%
Draw
23.3%
Leeds United
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.8% 22.4% 60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3% 24.6% 66.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leeds United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luton Town - Leeds United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.56
    (5.59)
    4.08
    (4.2)
    1.6
    (1.55)
    4.9%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Luton Town - Leeds United?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Leeds will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 52.1%90.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leeds (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • Luton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Leeds is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Leeds is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S. (Muscle Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury) Nakamba M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leeds: Bamford P. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Luton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.5:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Leeds United were as follows:
    27.11.2024 Leeds United - Luton Town 3:0
    Latest results of Luton Town
    29.03.2025 Hull City - Luton Town 0:1
    15.03.2025 Luton Town - Middlesbrough 0:0
    11.03.2025 Cardiff City - Luton Town 1:2
    08.03.2025 Burnley - Luton Town 4:0
    01.03.2025 Luton Town - Portsmouth 1:0
    Latest results of Leeds United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stoke33008:269
    2Middlesbrough33006:159
    3Coventry321012:487
    4West Brom32105:327
    5Birmingham32104:227
    6Preston32104:227
    7Leicester32014:316
    8Millwall32013:4-16
    9Bristol City31205:235
    10Southampton31114:404
    11Portsmouth31113:304
    12Watford31113:304
    13Swansea31112:204
    14Charlton31111:104
    15Hull31113:5-24
    16Blackburn31024:313
    17Norwich31024:5-13
    18Ipswich30212:3-12
    19Wrexham30125:7-21
    20Derby30125:9-41
    21Sheffield Wed30123:7-41
    22QPR30123:10-71
    23Oxford Utd30032:5-30
    24Sheffield Utd30031:6-50

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One