Luton Town vs Portsmouth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
01/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 35
  • Referee: Allison S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.840.58
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
107
Shots on Goal
21
Shots off Goal
32
Blocked Shots
54
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
27
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Free Kicks
1410
Offsides
21
Fouls
1014
Yellow Cards
23
Throw-ins
1823
Touches in the Opposition Box
2118
Passes
59% (185/312)70% (263/374)
Passes in the final third
45% (59/131)59% (79/134)
Crosses
17% (2/12)8% (3/36)
Tackles
83% (10/12)71% (10/14)
Clearances Total
4037
Interceptions
811

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', Dozzell A. 🟨,
  • 16', Ritchie M. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Clark J. ,
  • 39', Murphy J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ritchie M. , Gordon K. ,
  • 55', Brown J. 🟨,
  • 57', Brown J. , Alli M. ,
  • 63', Murphy J. , Yengi K. ,
  • 69', Doughty A. , McGuinness M. ,
  • 70', Walsh L. , Nelson Z. ,
  • 73', Swanson Z. , Bramall C. ,
  • 73', Aouchiche A. , Saydee C. ,
  • 81', Hayden I. , Devlin T. ,
  • 90', Kaminski T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Morris C. , Adebayo E. ,
  • 90+5', Saydee C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
45.8%
Draw
27.9%
Portsmouth
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 26.9% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 27.7% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Luton Town - Portsmouth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.1)
    3.42
    (3.51)
    3.63
    (3.37)
    4.9%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Luton Town - Portsmouth?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 25.5%74.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 2.
    • Luton is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Portsmouth is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Portsmouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Luton will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Luton: Burke R. (Hip Injury) Hashioka D. (Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) McGuinness M. (Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Portsmouth: Bowat I. (Tendon Injury) Farrell J. (Leg Injury) Lane P. (Knee Injury) Lang C. (Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Injury) Williams J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Morris C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portsmouth: Atkinson R. (Injury) Swanson Z. (Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Luton won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:13 (average 0.7:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Portsmouth were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Portsmouth - Luton Town 0:0
    Latest results of Luton Town
    Latest results of Portsmouth
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich402112771:403175
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    5Southampton4119121070:502069
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Blackburn4212121838:50-1248
    20West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    21Portsmouth4111121841:57-1645
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One