Middlesbrough vs Leeds United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough).

Championship - Round 41
Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	SuperSport 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	ESPN 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
World	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.19	1.01
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
17	5
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
86% (480/557)	84% (417/496)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19	1.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.30	1.28
Total shots
17	5
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
9	2
Blocked Shots
6	0
Shots inside the Box
9	4
Shots outside the Box
8	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
24	23
Through passes
0% (0/1)	0% (0/2)
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
11	11
Passes
86% (480/557)	84% (417/496)
Long passes
46% (19/41)	45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
73% (122/168)	63% (61/97)
Crosses
13% (2/15)	29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.92	0.88
Fouls
11	11
Tackles
43% (6/14)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
42	39
Clearances Total
15	29
Interceptions
9	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.28	0.30
Goals prevented
0.28	0.30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, James D. ⚽, Solomon M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Iheanacho K. ↓, Whittaker M. ↑,
68', Solomon M. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
68', Firpo J. ↓, Byram S. ↑,
73', Piroe J. ↓, Bamford P. ↑,
73', James D. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
74', Morris A. 🟨,
75', Byram S. 🟨,
80', Burgzorg D. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
90+1', Aaronson B. ↓, Guilavogui J. ↑,
90+1', Morris A. ↓, Fry D. ↑,

Chances of winning

Middlesbrough
22%

Draw
24.2%

Leeds United
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

24.1%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

25.9%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leeds United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Middlesbrough - Leeds United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↓ (4.63)	3.92 ↓ (3.93)	1.77 ↑ (1.7)	5% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Leeds United?

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 13 - 28.9%). Leeds will win (votes: 28 - 62.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 48% – 76.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Leeds (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Middlesbrough (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Leeds (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 1.
Middlesbrough is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Leeds is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Leeds could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Leeds is a favorite.
There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Dieng S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Doak B. (Thigh Injury) Edmundson G. (Ankle Injury) Fry D. (Calf Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Neto Borges (Injury)
There are questionable in Leeds: Struijk P. (Injury)
Last 19 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 20:26 (average 1.1:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Leeds United?

Middlesbrough has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Leeds United won against Middlesbrough?

Leeds United has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Leeds United were as follows:

10.12.2024 Leeds United - Middlesbrough 3:1

14.08.2024 Leeds United - Middlesbrough 0:3

22.04.2024 Middlesbrough - Leeds United 3:4

02.12.2023 Leeds United - Middlesbrough 3:2

Latest results of Middlesbrough

04.04.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough 0:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Middlesbrough - Oxford United 2:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Luton Town - Middlesbrough 0:0 ✺

11.03.2025 Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Swansea City - Middlesbrough 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Leeds United

05.04.2025 Luton Town - Leeds United 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Leeds United - Swansea City 2:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Leeds United 2:2 ✺

12.03.2025 Leeds United - Millwall 2:0 ✺

09.03.2025 Portsmouth - Leeds United 1:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	42	25	10	7	84:42	42	85
2	Ipswich	40	21	12	7	71:40	31	75
3	Millwall	42	21	10	11	56:47	9	73
4	Middlesbrough	42	20	12	10	62:42	20	72
5	Southampton	41	19	12	10	70:50	20	69
6	Hull	42	20	8	14	64:60	4	68
7	Wrexham	42	17	13	12	63:60	3	64
8	Derby	42	18	9	15	61:53	8	63
9	Norwich	42	17	7	18	55:50	5	58
10	Bristol City	42	16	10	16	52:51	1	58
11	QPR	42	16	10	16	58:63	-5	58
12	Watford	42	14	15	13	52:51	1	57
13	Preston	42	14	15	13	50:53	-3	57
14	Swansea	42	16	9	17	50:54	-4	57
15	Birmingham	42	15	11	16	51:52	-1	56
16	Stoke	42	15	10	17	49:46	3	55
17	Sheffield Utd	42	16	6	20	59:59	0	54
18	Charlton	42	12	13	17	39:51	-12	49
19	Blackburn	42	12	12	18	38:50	-12	48
20	West Brom	42	11	13	18	42:56	-14	46
21	Portsmouth	41	11	12	18	41:57	-16	45
22	Oxford Utd	42	10	14	18	41:54	-13	44
23	Leicester	42	11	14	17	54:64	-10	41
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	42	1	11	30	25:82	-57	-4

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One