Result
0:1
08/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 41
- Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
Albania | SuperSport 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
France | beIN Sports MAX 4 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Ireland | NOW |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kenya | Gotv |
Mexico | ESPN 4 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Poland | Viaplay |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
Turkey | Exxen |
United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra |
Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.19 | 1.01 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
86% (480/557) | 84% (417/496) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.19 | 1.01 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.30 | 1.28 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 23 |
Through passes |
---|
0% (0/1) | 0% (0/2) |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
86% (480/557) | 84% (417/496) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (19/41) | 45% (23/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (122/168) | 63% (61/97) |
Crosses |
---|
13% (2/15) | 29% (2/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.92 | 0.88 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
43% (6/14) | 69% (11/16) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 39 |
Clearances Total |
---|
15 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.28 | 0.30 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.28 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, James D. ⚽, Solomon M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 66', Iheanacho K. ↓, Whittaker M. ↑,
- 68', Solomon M. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
- 68', Firpo J. ↓, Byram S. ↑,
- 73', Piroe J. ↓, Bamford P. ↑,
- 73', James D. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
- 74', Morris A. 🟨,
- 75', Byram S. 🟨,
- 80', Burgzorg D. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
- 90+1', Aaronson B. ↓, Guilavogui J. ↑,
- 90+1', Morris A. ↓, Fry D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Middlesbrough 22% | Draw 24.2% | Leeds United 53.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leeds United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Middlesbrough - Leeds United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.34 ↓ (4.63) |
3.92 ↓ (3.93) |
1.77 ↑ (1.7) |
5% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Leeds United?
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 13 - 28.9%). Leeds will win (votes: 28 - 62.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 48% – 76.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Leeds (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 1.
- Middlesbrough is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Leeds is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Leeds could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Leeds is a favorite.
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Dieng S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Doak B.
(Thigh Injury)
Edmundson G.
(Ankle Injury)
Fry D.
(Calf Injury)
Lenihan D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Neto Borges
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Leeds: Struijk P.
(Injury)
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 20:26 (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Leeds United?
Middlesbrough has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leeds United won against Middlesbrough?
Leeds United has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Leeds United were as follows:
10.12.2024
Leeds United
-
Middlesbrough
3:1
14.08.2024
Leeds United
-
Middlesbrough
0:3
22.04.2024
Middlesbrough
-
Leeds United
3:4
02.12.2023
Leeds United
-
Middlesbrough
3:2
Latest results of Middlesbrough
Latest results of Leeds United
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Blackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Derby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Charlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Norwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Preston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | QPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Sheffield Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Stoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | West Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Swansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Oxford Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One