Middlesbrough vs Leeds United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough).

Championship - Round 41
Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	SuperSport 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	ESPN 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
World	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.19	1.01
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
17	5
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
86% (480/557)	84% (417/496)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19	1.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.30	1.28
Total shots
17	5
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
9	2
Blocked Shots
6	0
Shots inside the Box
9	4
Shots outside the Box
8	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
24	23
Through passes
0% (0/1)	0% (0/2)
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
11	11
Passes
86% (480/557)	84% (417/496)
Long passes
46% (19/41)	45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
73% (122/168)	63% (61/97)
Crosses
13% (2/15)	29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.92	0.88
Fouls
11	11
Tackles
43% (6/14)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
42	39
Clearances Total
15	29
Interceptions
9	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.28	0.30
Goals prevented
0.28	0.30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, James D. ⚽, Solomon M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Iheanacho K. ↓, Whittaker M. ↑,
68', Solomon M. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
68', Firpo J. ↓, Byram S. ↑,
73', Piroe J. ↓, Bamford P. ↑,
73', James D. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
74', Morris A. 🟨,
75', Byram S. 🟨,
80', Burgzorg D. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
90+1', Aaronson B. ↓, Guilavogui J. ↑,
90+1', Morris A. ↓, Fry D. ↑,

Chances of winning

Middlesbrough
22%

Draw
24.2%

Leeds United
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

24.1%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

25.9%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leeds United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Middlesbrough - Leeds United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↓ (4.63)	3.92 ↓ (3.93)	1.77 ↑ (1.7)	5% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Leeds United?

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 13 - 28.9%). Leeds will win (votes: 28 - 62.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 48% – 76.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Leeds (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Middlesbrough (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Leeds (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 1.
Middlesbrough is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Leeds is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Leeds could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Leeds is a favorite.
There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Dieng S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Doak B. (Thigh Injury) Edmundson G. (Ankle Injury) Fry D. (Calf Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Neto Borges (Injury)
There are questionable in Leeds: Struijk P. (Injury)
Last 19 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 20:26 (average 1.1:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Leeds United?

Middlesbrough has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Leeds United won against Middlesbrough?

Leeds United has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Leeds United were as follows:

10.12.2024 Leeds United - Middlesbrough 3:1

14.08.2024 Leeds United - Middlesbrough 0:3

22.04.2024 Middlesbrough - Leeds United 3:4

02.12.2023 Leeds United - Middlesbrough 3:2

Latest results of Middlesbrough

04.04.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough 0:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Middlesbrough - Oxford United 2:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Luton Town - Middlesbrough 0:0 ✺

11.03.2025 Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Swansea City - Middlesbrough 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Leeds United

05.04.2025 Luton Town - Leeds United 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Leeds United - Swansea City 2:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Leeds United 2:2 ✺

12.03.2025 Leeds United - Millwall 2:0 ✺

09.03.2025 Portsmouth - Leeds United 1:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	46	28	11	7	97:45	52	95
2	Ipswich	46	23	15	8	80:47	33	84
3	Millwall	46	24	11	11	64:49	15	83
4	Southampton	46	22	14	10	82:56	26	80
5	Middlesbrough	46	22	14	10	72:47	25	80
6	Hull	46	21	10	15	70:66	4	73
7	Wrexham	46	19	14	13	69:65	4	71
8	Derby	46	20	9	17	67:59	8	69
9	Norwich	46	19	8	19	63:56	7	65
10	Birmingham	46	17	13	16	57:56	1	64
11	Swansea	46	18	10	18	57:59	-2	64
12	Bristol City	46	17	11	18	59:59	0	62
13	Sheffield Utd	46	18	6	22	66:66	0	60
14	Preston	46	15	15	16	55:62	-7	60
15	QPR	46	16	10	20	61:73	-12	58
16	Watford	46	14	15	17	53:65	-12	57
17	Stoke	46	15	10	21	51:56	-5	55
18	Portsmouth	46	14	13	19	49:64	-15	55
19	Charlton	46	13	14	19	44:58	-14	53
20	Blackburn	46	13	13	20	42:56	-14	52
21	West Brom	46	13	14	19	48:58	-10	51
22	Oxford Utd	46	11	14	21	45:59	-14	47
23	Leicester	46	12	16	18	58:68	-10	46
24	Sheffield Wed	46	2	12	32	29:89	-60	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One