Leganés vs Castellón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Leganés - Castellón
Result
0:1
29/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, Dsports 9
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
chileChileDirecTV Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.380.56
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
710
Shots on target
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
78% (325/417)71% (228/322)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.380.56
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.76
Total shots
710
Shots on target
01
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2024
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
2018
Passes
78% (325/417)71% (228/322)
Long passes
31% (18/58)33% (20/61)
Passes in final third
48% (39/81)52% (55/106)
Crosses
24% (7/29)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.51
Throw-ins
3515
Fouls
1820
Tackles
21% (3/14)65% (13/20)
Duels won
6167
Clearances
2445
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.760.00
Goals prevented
-0.240.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', Doue M. 🟨,
  • 21', Diawara A. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Cipenga B. ,
  • 40', Brignani F. , Ruiz S. ,
  • 44', Aguilar Lopez G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Duk , Franquesa E. ,
  • 50', Millan A. 🟨,
  • 60', Melero G. , Lopez R. ,
  • 60', Millan A. , Guirao C. ,
  • 69', Ronaldo , Barri ,
  • 69', Jakobsen A. , Camara O. ,
  • 75', Garcia N. , Pauwels B. ,
  • 81', Mamah K. , Mabil A. ,
  • 81', Cruz J. , Garcia D. ,
  • 81', Doue M. , Gerenabarrena B. ,
  • 83', Mellot J. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2swhtem8

Chances of winning


Leganés
39.7%
Draw
28.2%
Castellón
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 26.2% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 26% 29.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Leganés - Castellón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.12)
    3.36
    (3.53)
    2.97
    (3.08)
    5.7%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Leganés - Castellón?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Castellón will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 35.7%80.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leganés (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 21 in the zone Relegation).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Leganés is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Leganés: Cisse S. (Red Card) Pulido R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Castellón: Camara O. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Leganés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Leganés
    20.09.2025 Leganés - Las Palmas 0:1
    14.09.2025 Granada - Leganés 0:2
    07.09.2025 Leonesa - Leganés 0:0
    22.08.2025 Leganés - Cádiz 1:1
    Latest results of Castellón
    20.09.2025 Leonesa - Castellón 1:3
    14.09.2025 Castellón - Ceuta 3:3
    05.09.2025 Córdoba - Castellón 2:1
    30.08.2025 Castellón - Zaragoza 1:1
    22.08.2025 Castellón - Valladolid 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. La Coruna743016:51115
    2Cadiz CF74309:5415
    3Andorra742112:8414
    4Racing Santander741218:14413
    5Burgos CF733112:7512
    6Eibar732210:6411
    7Valladolid73228:5311
    8Las Palmas73227:5211
    9Almeria732213:13011
    10Huesca73136:9-310
    11Gijon730410:11-19
    12Castellon722310:11-18
    13Malaga72236:7-18
    14Albacete722314:16-28
    15Ceuta72237:12-58
    16Leganes71426:607
    17Mirandes72148:11-37
    18Cultural Leonesa72147:12-57
    19Real Sociedad B71339:11-26
    20Zaragoza71334:7-36
    21Cordoba71338:12-46
    22Granada CF71246:13-75

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