Result
2:0
16/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 22
- Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | Nova Sports 6 |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 2 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (285/358) | 85% (368/435) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (285/358) | 85% (368/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (14/37) | 55% (32/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (105/136) | 62% (40/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 5% (1/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (17/21) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, Mabil A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Santiago P. ↓, Cipenga B. ↑,
- 65', Jimenez A. 🟨,
- 68', Camara O. ↓, Jakobsen A. ↑,
- 68', Mabil A. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
- 68', Lopez R. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
- 68', Garcia N. ↓, Pauwels B. ↑,
- 73', Barri 🟨,
- 74', Millan A. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
- 74', Cisse S. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
- 81', Gerenabarrena B. 🟨,
- 84', Plano O. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 0, Suero I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 89', Franquesa E. ↓, Guirao C. ↑,
- 90', Calatrava A. ↓, Mamah K. ↑,
- 90', Gerenabarrena B. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Castellón
61% | Draw
22.3% | Leganés
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellón's performance.Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leganés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellón that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Castellón - Leganés Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.84) |
4.17 ↑
(3.51) |
5.64 ↑
(4.14) |
6.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Castellón - Leganés?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.75 - Castellón (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Leganés (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Castellón will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Castellón will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Castellón (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Leganés (votes: 1 - 8.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).
- Castellón is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Leganés has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Castellón is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Leganés: Duk
(Injury)
Figueredo S.
(Injury)
Pulido R.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Leganés?
Castellón has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leganés won against Castellón?
Leganés has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Leganés were as follows:
29.09.2025
Leganés
-
Castellón
0:1
Latest results of Castellón
Latest results of Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
