Leganés vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes).

LaLiga2 - Round 10
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.59	1.13
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
15	14
Shots on target
8	5
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
7	5
Passes
79% (248/312)	88% (407/465)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59	1.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.82	0.65
Total shots
15	14
Shots on target
8	5
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
11	6
Shots outside the Box
4	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
7	5
Touches in opposition box
28	27
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
7	9
Passes
79% (248/312)	88% (407/465)
Long passes
46% (28/61)	56% (19/34)
Passes in final third
66% (59/90)	73% (87/119)
Crosses
35% (7/20)	7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.58	0.70
Throw-ins
18	18
Fouls
9	7
Tackles
62% (13/21)	60% (12/20)
Duels won
53	46
Clearances
27	15
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	5
xGOT faced
0.65	1.82
Goals prevented
0.65	-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Garcia D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Galilea E. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
46', Chupe ↓, Merino I. ↑,
58', Duk ↓, Millan A. ↑,
58', de la Fuente M. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
70', Marvel ↓, Saenz J. ↑,
70', Garcia D. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Millan A. ⚽, Pena R. (A),
74', Juanpe ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
74', Rodriguez R. ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
82', Munoz J. ↓, Abaida H. ↑,
88', Cruz J. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
90', Garcia N. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3u64h7k5

Chances of winning

Leganés
56.1%

Draw
27%

Málaga
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

27.6%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

27.3%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Leganés - Málaga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.81)	3.73 ↑ (3.4)	6.23 ↑ (4.53)	0.7% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Leganés - Málaga?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Málaga will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 47.7% – 95.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Leganés (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 3.
Leganés has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Málaga is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Leganés is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Leganés: Cisse S. (International duty) Pulido R. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Málaga: Diarra M. (Knee Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Nino A. (Ankle Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Puga C. (Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Leganés won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Leganés won against Málaga?

Leganés has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Leganés?

Málaga has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Leganés - Málaga were as follows:

27.03.2023 Málaga - Leganés 2:0

12.10.2022 Leganés - Málaga 1:0

Latest results of Leganés

13.10.2025 Leganés - Levante 3:3 ✺

11.10.2025 Mirandés - Leganés 0:0 ✺

04.10.2025 FC Andorra - Leganés 1:2 ✺

29.09.2025 Leganés - Castellón 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Leganés - Las Palmas 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Málaga

12.10.2025 Málaga - Deportivo La Coruña 3:0 ✺

05.10.2025 Racing Santander - Málaga 3:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Burgos - Málaga 2:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Málaga - Cádiz 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Huesca - Málaga 1:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	28	16	5	7	56:36	20	53
2	Castellon	28	14	7	7	46:29	17	49
3	Almeria	28	14	7	7	53:40	13	49
4	Dep. La Coruna	28	14	7	7	44:31	13	49
5	Malaga	28	14	5	9	41:31	10	47
6	Las Palmas	28	11	12	5	34:22	12	45
7	Ceuta	28	13	5	10	36:39	-3	44
8	Burgos CF	28	12	7	9	30:26	4	43
9	Gijon	28	12	6	10	38:36	2	42
10	Cordoba	28	11	8	9	38:37	1	41
11	Eibar	28	10	8	10	31:30	1	38
12	Andorra	28	9	8	11	35:40	-5	35
13	Albacete	28	9	8	11	33:39	-6	35
14	Cadiz CF	28	9	8	11	29:35	-6	35
15	Leganes	28	8	10	10	29:28	1	34
16	Real Sociedad B	28	9	7	12	38:39	-1	34
17	Granada CF	28	7	11	10	32:33	-1	32
18	Valladolid	28	8	8	12	29:38	-9	32
19	Huesca	28	8	6	14	26:37	-11	30
20	Cultural Leonesa	28	7	6	15	27:44	-17	27
21	Mirandes	28	6	6	16	28:45	-17	24
22	Zaragoza	28	5	9	14	23:41	-18	24

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