Result
0:1
09/04/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 35
- Referee: Caparros I. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Ponferradina
34% | Draw
33.6% | Leganés
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Ponferradina - Leganés Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↑
(2.67) |
2.78 ↓
(2.87) |
2.91 ↑
(2.73) |
6.5%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Leganés?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Leganés will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18).
- Ponferradina has the most likely position - 20 (37.12%), project points - 44, currently - 35, a good chance of relegated (73%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- Leganés has the most likely position - 18 (20.34%), project points - 49, currently - 40, a chance of relegated (18%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 27, importance 63, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 1.
- Recent matches Ponferradina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Leganés has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Leganés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-14.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Leganés?
Ponferradina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leganés won against Ponferradina?
Leganés has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Leganés were as follows:
05.11.2022
Leganés
-
Ponferradina
2:1
Latest results of Ponferradina
Latest results of Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
