Result
0:1
09/04/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 35
- Referee: Caparros I. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Ponferradina 34% | Draw 33.6% | Leganés 32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Ponferradina - Leganés Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.77 ↑ (2.67) |
2.78 ↓ (2.87) |
2.91 ↑ (2.73) |
6.5% (9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Leganés?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Leganés will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18).
- Ponferradina has the most likely position - 20 (37.12%), project points - 44, currently - 35, a good chance of relegated (73%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- Leganés has the most likely position - 18 (20.34%), project points - 49, currently - 40, a chance of relegated (18%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 27, importance 63, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 1.
- Recent matches Ponferradina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Leganés has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Leganés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-14.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Leganés?
Ponferradina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leganés won against Ponferradina?
Leganés has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Leganés were as follows:
05.11.2022
Leganés
-
Ponferradina
2:1
Latest results of Ponferradina
Latest results of Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Valladolid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
2 | Racing Santander | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Gijon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Burgos CF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 4 |
5 | Eibar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
6 | Las Palmas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
7 | Andorra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
8 | Dep. La Coruna | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
9 | Almeria | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Malaga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
11 | Cadiz CF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
12 | Huesca | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
13 | Real Sociedad B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
14 | Leganes | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
15 | Albacete | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Mirandes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Cordoba | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Castellon | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
19 | Zaragoza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
20 | Ceuta | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
21 | Cultural Leonesa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
22 | Granada CF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation