Result
3:1
10/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 4
- Referee: Kos D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (371/473) | 71% (237/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (371/473) | 71% (237/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (24/62) | 39% (27/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (129/184) | 49% (44/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | -1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', 1 - 0, Wszolek P. ⚽, Jedrzejczyk A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Pankov R. 🟨,
- 48', Wszolek P. 🟨,
- 58', Alfarela M. ↓, Morishita R. ↑,
- 62', Rosolek M. ↓, Zrelak A. ↑,
- 69', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
- 69', Goncalves C. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
- 83', Blad A. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Nowak B. ⚽, Wasielewski M. (A),
- 85', Nsame J. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
- 85', Vinagre R. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
- 88', Urbanski W. 🟨,
- 90+4', Kudla D. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Jedrzejczyk A. ⚽, Wszolek P. (A),
- 90+7', 3 - 1, Morishita R. ⚽, Stojanovic P. (A),
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw
66.2% | Draw
19.3% | GKS Katowice
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Legia Warsaw - GKS Katowice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.54) |
4.83 ↑
(4.1) |
6.5 ↑
(5.32) |
6.2%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - GKS Katowice?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). GKS Katowice will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 58.6% – 97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Legia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- GKS Katowice has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, GKS Katowice has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Legia is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in GKS Katowice: Milewski S.
(Inactive)
Rogala G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Legia: Elitim J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Legia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 3.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against GKS Katowice?
Legia Warsaw has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Legia Warsaw?
GKS Katowice has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - GKS Katowice were as follows:
26.04.2025
GKS Katowice
-
Legia Warsaw
1:3
27.10.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
GKS Katowice
4:1
24.03.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
GKS Katowice
3:0
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Radomiak Radom | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Termalica B-B | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Legia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Rakow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Zaglebie | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Pogon Szczecin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:17 | -6 | -3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
