Legia Warsaw vs Lincoln Red Imps – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
18/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Nikolic D. (Srb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 15
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 14
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.170.63
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
314
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
101
Passes
86% (472/551)75% (261/347)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.170.63
xG on target (xGOT)
3.380.33
Total shots
314
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
141
Shots inside the Box
261
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
7310
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
516
Passes
86% (472/551)75% (261/347)
Long passes
53% (18/34)34% (20/58)
Passes in final third
80% (158/198)62% (45/73)
Crosses
36% (10/28)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.140.38
Throw-ins
1815
Fouls
165
Tackles
74% (17/23)58% (14/24)
Duels won
5353
Clearances
1338
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.333.38
Goals prevented
-0.67-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Colak A. , Kapustka B. (A),
  • 29', Urbanski K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 57', Krasniqi E. , Bichakhchyan V. ,
  • 62', 2 - 0, Kapustka B. , Urbanski K. (A),
  • 63', Munoz R. , Gomez K. ,
  • 63', Dabo B. , Juanje ,
  • 68', Colak A. , Rajovic M. ,
  • 68', Reca A. , Vinagre R. ,
  • 70', 3 - 0, Rajovic M. , Zewlakow J. (A),
  • 71', Torrilla G. , El Ghobashy A. ,
  • 76', Zewlakow J. , Weisshaupt N. ,
  • 76', Urbanski K. , Goncalves C. ,
  • 81', Kolega T. , Casciaro L. ,
  • 81', Joe , Toscano J. ,
  • 82', El Ghobashy A. 🟨,
  • 83', 4 - 0, Bichakhchyan V. ,
  • 89', 4 - 1, De Barr T. , Juanje (A),

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
70.4%
Draw
18%
Lincoln Red Imps
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.7% 16.4% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Lincoln Red Imps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Legia Warsaw - Lincoln Red Imps Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.31)
    5.28
    (5.72)
    8.03
    (7.94)
    5.6%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Lincoln Red Imps?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Lincoln Red Imps will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln Red Imps: 29.2%76.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lincoln Red Imps (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Legia (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Lincoln Red Imps (2.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Lincoln Red Imps (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Lincoln Red Imps (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Legia (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Lincoln Red Imps (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Legia is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Legia is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Legia: Elitim J. (Injury) Jedrzejczyk A. (Knee Injury) Kapuadi S. (International duty) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pankov R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lincoln Red Imps: Britto E. (Knee Injury) Mandi (Yellow Cards) Villacanas V. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lincoln Red Imps: Garcia T. (Injury) Rutjens C. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of Lincoln Red Imps
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2