Result
0:1
14/12/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (319/416) | 78% (295/380) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (319/416) | 78% (295/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/52) | 37% (23/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (58/101) | 58% (59/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (16/22) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Borowski F. 🟨,
- 59', Bichakhchyan V. 🟨,
- 60', Piatkowski K. 🟨,
- 67', Vallejo H. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
- 67', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Boisgard Q. ↑,
- 67', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
- 74', Urbanski W. ↓, Kapustka B. ↑,
- 74', Rajovic M. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
- 76', Barkovskiy G. ↓, Dalmau A. ↑,
- 77', Sanca L. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 1, Chrapek M. ⚽,
- 84', Arreiol H. ↓, Szymanski D. ↑,
- 84', Krasniqi E. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
- 87', Kapustka B. 🟨,
- 90+1', Borowski F. ↓, Czerwinski J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw
47.8% | Draw
27.9% | Piast Gliwice
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Legia Warsaw's form might have worsened.Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Piast Gliwice's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+14.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Piast Gliwice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.55) |
3.39 ↓
(4.1) |
3.84 ↓
(5.7) |
6.3%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Piast will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 34.3% – 74.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 2.
- Legia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Piast has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Legia is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Legia: Goncalves C.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Piast: Dalmau A.
(Injury)
Katsantonis A.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Legia will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Piast Gliwice?
Legia Warsaw has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Legia Warsaw?
Piast Gliwice has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice were as follows:
06.12.2025
Piast Gliwice
-
Legia Warsaw
2:0
08.02.2025
Piast Gliwice
-
Legia Warsaw
1:0
04.08.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Piast Gliwice
1:2
17.03.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Piast Gliwice
3:1
16.09.2023
Piast Gliwice
-
Legia Warsaw
1:1
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 55:41 | 14 | 52 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 32:28 | 4 | 45 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 43:41 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 44 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 9 | Motor Lublin | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 39:45 | -6 | 39 |
| 10 | Piast Gliwice | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 39:40 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 40:45 | -5 | 38 |
| 15 | Legia | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 34:36 | -2 | 37 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 36:37 | -1 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
