Legia Warsaw vs Piast Gliwice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
14/12/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.430.50
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
77% (319/416)78% (295/380)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.430.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.210.33
Total shots
910
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
43
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1711
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
77% (319/416)78% (295/380)
Long passes
38% (20/52)37% (23/62)
Passes in final third
57% (58/101)58% (59/102)
Crosses
33% (6/18)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.30
Throw-ins
1716
Fouls
1414
Tackles
73% (16/22)57% (8/14)
Duels won
5746
Clearances
2431
Interceptions
1515
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.330.21
Goals prevented
-0.670.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', Borowski F. 🟨,
  • 59', Bichakhchyan V. 🟨,
  • 60', Piatkowski K. 🟨,
  • 67', Vallejo H. , Chrapek M. ,
  • 67', Tomasiewicz G. , Boisgard Q. ,
  • 67', Bichakhchyan V. , Urbanski K. ,
  • 74', Urbanski W. , Kapustka B. ,
  • 74', Rajovic M. , Colak A. ,
  • 76', Barkovskiy G. , Dalmau A. ,
  • 77', Sanca L. , Felix J. ,
  • 83', 0 - 1, Chrapek M. ,
  • 84', Arreiol H. , Szymanski D. ,
  • 84', Krasniqi E. , Stojanovic P. ,
  • 87', Kapustka B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Borowski F. , Czerwinski J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
47.8%
Draw
27.9%
Piast Gliwice
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 22.9% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 22.3% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Legia Warsaw's form might have worsened.
  • Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Piast Gliwice's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Piast Gliwice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.55)
    3.39
    (4.1)
    3.84
    (5.7)
    6.3%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Piast will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 34.3%74.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 2.
    • Legia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Piast has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Legia is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Legia: Goncalves C. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Piast: Dalmau A. (Injury) Katsantonis A. (Knee Injury)
    • We predict that Legia will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.5:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Piast Gliwice - Legia Warsaw 2:0
    08.02.2025 Piast Gliwice - Legia Warsaw 1:0
    04.08.2024 Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice 1:2
    17.03.2024 Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice 3:1
    16.09.2023 Piast Gliwice - Legia Warsaw 1:1
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of Piast Gliwice
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia21107437:241337
    2Zaglebie2298535:27835
    3Lech Poznan2298536:31535
    4Gornik Zabrze22104832:28434
    5Rakow22104828:25334
    6Wisla Plock2289524:18633
    7Cracovia2289527:22533
    8Korona Kielce2286827:24330
    9Radomiak Radom2177736:33328
    10Pogon Szczecin22841032:35-328
    11Lechia Gdansk2295844:43127
    12GKS Katowice21831028:31-327
    13Motor Lublin2269730:37-727
    14Piast Gliwice22751023:26-326
    15Arka Gdynia21741019:36-1725
    16Legia2259825:27-224
    17Widzew Lodz22731229:32-324
    18Termalica B-B22561126:39-1321

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