Nottingham Forest vs Leicester City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/05/2025 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

City Ground (Nottingham).

: Premier League - Round 36
Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.31	1.08
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
4	3
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
85% (355/420)	79% (267/337)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31	1.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.56	2.39
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
5	0
Shots inside the Box
9	7
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
2	1
Big Chances
4	3
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
17	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
10	11
Passes
85% (355/420)	79% (267/337)
Long passes
59% (20/34)	33% (16/48)
Passes in final third
75% (82/109)	56% (40/71)
Crosses
30% (8/27)	33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.63	0.49
Throw-ins
16	17
Fouls
11	10
Tackles
41% (7/17)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
47	43
Clearances
22	30
Interceptions
4	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
2.39	1.56
Goals prevented
0.63	-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Coady C. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Gibbs-White M. ⚽, Elanga A. (A),
39', Justin J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 2 - 1, Wood Ch. ⚽, Gibbs-White M. (A),
59', Thomas L. 🟨,
60', Morato 🟨,
60', Skipp O. ↓, Soumare B. ↑,
61', Ayew J. ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
69', Aina O. 🟨,
73', Anderson E. 🟨,
74', Dominguez N. ↓, Yates R. ↑,
77', Thomas L. ↓, Kristiansen V. ↑,
77', McAteer K. ↓, Monga J. ↑,
79', Buonanotte F. 🟨,
81', 2 - 2, Buonanotte F. ⚽, Vardy J. (A),
83', Sangare I. ↓, Awoniyi T. ↑,
90+1', Anderson E. ↓, Jota Silva ↑,
90+3', El Khannouss B. ↓, Okoli C. ↑,

Chances of winning

Nottingham Forest
68.8%

Draw
19%

Leicester City
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

17.7%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

10.6%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-25.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nottingham Forest that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leicester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nottingham Forest - Leicester City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)	5.09 ↓ (5.45)	7.94 ↓ (9.25)	3.5% (3.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest - Leicester City?

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 56 - 84.8%). Leicester will win (votes: 4 - 6.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 76.1% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Nottingham (votes: 11 - 100%).

AH -1.25 - Nottingham (votes: 3 - 75%).

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nottingham Forest will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
Leicester is Relegated to Championship
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 3.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Leicester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Nottingham is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Nottingham: Hudson-Odoi C. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Leicester: De Cordova-Reid B. (Injury) Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Hermansen M. (Groin Injury) Mavididi S. (Muscle Injury) Pereira R. (Muscle Injury) Souttar H. (Ankle Injury) Winks H. (Coach's decision)
There are questionable in Nottingham: Murillo (Thigh Injury) da Silva Moreira E. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Nottingham Forest won against Leicester City?

Nottingham Forest has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Leicester City won against Nottingham Forest?

Leicester City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nottingham Forest - Leicester City were as follows:

25.10.2024 Leicester City - Nottingham Forest 1:3

14.01.2023 Nottingham Forest - Leicester City 2:0

03.10.2022 Leicester City - Nottingham Forest 4:0

Latest results of Nottingham Forest

05.05.2025 Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest 1:1 ✺

01.05.2025 Nottingham Forest - Brentford 0:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 0:2 ✺

21.04.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Nottingham Forest 1:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Nottingham Forest - Everton 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Leicester City

03.05.2025 Leicester City - Southampton 2:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leicester City 3:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Leicester City - Liverpool 0:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Leicester City 2:2 ✺

07.04.2025 Leicester City - Newcastle United 0:3 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Manchester Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	West Ham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Burnley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wolves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Nottingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Nottingham Forest - Leicester City?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	SuperSport 5
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2, VOOsport World 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	fubo Sports Network 5 DRM
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ Premier League
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Siminn Sport 2, Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports Select 2
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, SKY NET Sports 2, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Tubi TV
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana, Max
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab